Far too many people here look at individual polls. Look at the average:



It swings up and down but the trend has been a strong Dem lead for a long time.

It’s the poll average that matters. Don’t people get that yet?

Pay attention to @VickerySec on twitter over the next few hours.

It might be nothing. But there are “rumors on the internet.”

https://twitter.com/theviewfromll2/status/972169650535653376?s=21

He will accept.


This is a terrible idea and a trap.

https://twitter.com/jengriffinfnc/status/971887659315613696?s=21

We won’t win but it’s gone from +73R on e-day to around +33R tonight with 48% precincts reporting.

5000 people would have a much easier time than Tankman

That Nunes altered his memo.

God I hope this is true.

That was actionable against McCabe.

Could be nefarious on a Wray’s part, or McCabe’s part or simply misleading enough to cause the FBI headaches.

(On edit Since some people can’t suss out these several options here they are in detail)


I’ll clarify the options for your benefit

1) It’s possible Wray is a bad actor.
2) It’s possible McCabe is a bad actor. If so it’s probably a paper handling level error but one the Rs can demogogue. Have to acknowledge the possibility
3) It’s also possible that entirely disingenuous allegations are more trouble than its worth for the FBI.

Think of this has a hostage negotiation. There were two hostages, CHIP and DACA. One hostage is now freed.

We haven't WON. But we are in a slightly better negotiating position than we were 24 hours ago.


Of course McConnell will renege somehow on the DACA vote. And DACA's chances in the House were always slim.
But we have two weeks to make our political case on this.