nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's Journal2018 US Senate Election- if there is a special election in AZ(McCain-R) and MS(Cochran-R).
Republican Victories are going to be limited to
MS(Wicker-R),NE(Fischer-R),UT(Romney-R),and WY(Barrasso-R).
Democrats will hold onto every vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2018 and pick up
AZ(Sinema-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
MS(Presley-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
TN(Bredesen-D)
TX(O'Rourke-D)
55D US Senators in 2019.
Chuck Schumer for Majority Leader in 2018 and President in 2020.
Let's give the Republicans their wish!
Too all of those ignorant and arrogant Republican politicians and pundits that are blaming 9 Democratic US Senators for not voting for the Trump budget. 5 Democrats voted to end the filibuster last night.
Jones-AL
Manchin-WV
Donnelly-IN
McCaskill-MO
Heitkamp-ND
All 5 of those Democratic US Senators deserve a Thank You from the Orange Osshole in the White House.
5 Republican US Senators voted against cloture last night.
Flake-AZ
The Turtle-KY
Paul-KY
Graham-SC
Lee-SC.
McCain-AZ was unable to vote.
Had all 5 of those Republicans voted the other way.
The Republicans will need 5 additional Democratic US Senators.
1)They could have offer Menendez(D-NJ) a plea deal. Vote for the Trump Budget deal and Sessions will not retry him.
2)Tester-MT
3)Bennet-CO
4)Nelson-FL
5)King-ME.
Every Democratic members of Congress should boycott every single Trump's State of the Union Address.
Donald Trump and every single of his political advisors and supporters should be treated like crap not with respect.
We need 67 US Senators to remove Trump from office.
Democrats guide to 67 seats is going to be in the 2022 US Senate Election cycle.
2018-Democrats need to hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2018 plus pick up AZ(Sinema-D),NV(Rosen-D),TN(Bredesen-D),and TX(O'Rourke-D). 53D 47R
2020-Democrats need to hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2020 plus pick up AZ(Kelly-D),CO(Hickenlooper-D),GA(Evans-D),LA(Landrieu-D),MT(Bullock-D),NC(Cooper-D),OK(Henry-D),TX(Castro-D) and WY(Freudenthal-D).62D 38R
2022-Democrats need to hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2022 plus pick up FL(Graham-D),GA(Reed-D),LA(Bel Edwards-D),NC(Foxx-D),OH(Ryan-D),PA(Shapiro-D),and WI(Schachtner-D). 69D 31R.
For the Republicans bashing US Senate Democrats for this Government Shutdown.
We Democrats gave you Republicans Jones-AL, Donnelly-IN,McCaskill-MO,Heitkamp-ND, and Manchin-WV.
Republicans could not hang onto the Turtle-KY,Paul-KY,Flake-AZ,McCain-AZ,Graham-SC,and Lee-UT.
2020 US Presidential Election- Democratic Ticket-Kamala Harris/Cory Booker???
Harris-Booker ticket energizes and unites the Democratic party base and forces Trump to double down on his bigotry.
Harris-Booker ticket will win all of the Clinton-Kaine 2016 states plus PA,MI,and WI- 278ev along with FL and NC.
I am listening to the TURTLE of the US Senate speak on the US Senate Floor. Is McConnell, Donald Trump's Waylon Smithers?. Mitch McConnell even looks like and acts like Waylon Smithers.
2018,2020,and 2022 US Senate Election- could Democrats make gains in 3 consecutive cycles?.
2018-
Democrats hold onto CA(Feinstein-D),CT(Murphy-D),DE(Carper-D),FL(Nelson-D),HI(Hirono-D),IN(Donnelly-D),ME(King-I/D),MD(Cardin-D),MA(Warren-D),MI(Stabenow-D),MN(Klobuchar-D),MN(Smith-D),MO(McCaskill-D),MT(Tester-D),NJ(Menendez-D),NM(Heinrich-D),NY(Gillibrand-D),ND(Heitkamp-D),OH(Brown-D),PA(Casey-D),RI(Whitehouse-D),VT(Sanders-I/D),VA(Kaine-D),WA(Cantwell-D),WV(Manchin-D),and WI(Baldwin-D) and pick up AZ(Sinema-D) and NV(Rosen-D). +2D 49D 49R 2I/D
2020-
Democrats hold onto AL(Jones-D),DE(Coons-D),IL(Durbin-D),MA(Markey-D),MI(Peters-D),MN(Smith-D),NH(Shaheen-D),NJ(Booker-D),NM(Udall-D),OR(Merkley-D),RI(Reed-D),and VA(Warner-D) and pick up AZ(Kelly-D) and CO(Perlmutter-D) +2D 51D 47R 2I/D
2022-
Democrats hold onto AZ(Kelly-D),CA(Harris-D),CO(Bennet-D),CT(Blumenthal-D),HI(Schatz-D),IL(Duckworth-D),MD(Van Hollen-D),NV(Cortez Masto-D),NH(Hassan-D),NY(Schumer-D),OR(Wydsn-D),VT(Leahy-D), and WA(Murray-D) and pick up WI(Schactner-D)+1D 52D 46R 2I/D
Which year is the Democrats are likely to win back the White House-2020 or 2024?
2020- The election will be between a Republican incumbent with mediocre/poor approval ratings vs a lackluster Democratic challenger. The 2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee needs to win all of the states the 2016 Democratic Presidential Nominee won plus MI,PA,and WI. 278ev.
2024- OPEN seat election. After 8 years out of office- voters will want change. Ex. 2000,2008,and 2016.
Democratic Presidential Nominee could be either purple/red state Governors-Gwen Graham(D-FL) or purple/red state US Senators from states with Democratic Governor. Kyrsten Sinema(D-AZ),Catherine Cortez Masto(D-NV), or Tammy Baldwin(D-WI).
Gwen Graham would be the ideal Democratic Presidential Nominee- strong progressive from a battleground state FL.
2018 US Senate Election- Worse case and Best case scenario for Democrats.
Worse case scenario
Democrats hold onto CA,CT,DE,FL,HI,ME,MD,MA,MI,MN regular,MN special,MT,NJ,NM,NY,ND,OH,PA,RI,VT,VA,WA,WV,and WI. 47D(-2D)
Best case scenario
Democrats hold onto CA,CT,DE,FL,HI,IN,ME,MD,MA,MI,MN regular,MN special,MO,MT,NJ,NM,NY,ND,OH,PA,RI,VT,VA,WA,WV,and WI.
49D.
Democrats pick up AZ regular,AZ special(Mark Kelly-D),NV,TN,and TX. 54D.(+5D)
2018 US House Election-Democrats guide to a majority.
Democrats win Special Elections in AZ-8,OH-12,and PA-18. 197D
Democrats hold onto MN-1,NV-3, and NH-1. 197D
Democrats pick up
AZ-2 198D
CA-10 199D
CA-21 200D
CA-25 201D/200D
CA-39 202D/201D
CA-45 203D
CA-48 204D/202D
CA-49 205D/203D
CO-6 206D/204D
FL-26 207D/205D
FL-27 208D/206D
GA-6 209D
IL-6 210D/207D
IL-12 211D
IL-13 212D
IA-1 213D/208D
IA-3 214D
KS-2 215D
KS-3 216D
KY-6 217D
ME-2 218D
MI-8 219D
MI-11 220D/209D
MN-2 221D/210D
MN-3 222D
MT-AL 223D
NE-2 224D/212D
NJ-2 225D/213D
NJ-7 226D
NJ-11 227D/214D
NM-2 228D
NY-11 229D
NY-19 230D/215D
NY-22 231D/216D
NY-24 232D
NC-9 233D
PA-6 234D
PA-7 235D
PA-8 236D
PA-15 237D
PA-16 238D
TX-7 239D/217D
TX-23 240D/218D
TX-32 241D
UT-4 242D
VA-2 243D
VA-5 244D
VA-7 245D
VA-10 246D/219D
WA-8 247D/220D
2018 WI-10 State Senate Special Election Victor Patty Schachtner-D.
Schachtner-D won yesterday's special election by a 8 percent margin in a district that went for Trump-R by a 17 percent margin.
Should Schachtner-D run for the US House in 2020 against Duffy-R(WI-7) and then US Senate in 2022 against Johnson-R.
2018 US Governors Election Rating. Solid Republican to Solid Democratic
Solid Republican
AL(Ivey-R) Ivey-R vs Maddox-D 8R
AR(Hutchinson-R)Hutchinson-R vs Hendersen-D 9R
ID(OPEN-Otter-R)Labrador-R vs Balukoff-D 10R
NE(Ricketts-R)Ricketts-R vs Davis-D 11R
SC(McMaster-R)McMaster-R vs Smith-D 12R
SD(OPEN Daugaard-R)Noem-R vs Sutton-D 13R
TX(Abbott-R)Abbott-R vs White-D 14R
Likely Republican
AZ(Ducey-R) Ducey-R vs Garcia-D 15R
GA(OPEN-Deal-R) Cagle-R vs Abrams-D 16R
IA(Reynolds-R) Reynolds-R vs Hubbell-D 17R
KS(OPEN-Brownback-R)Kobach-R vs Brewer-D 18R
MA(Baker-R)Baker-R vs Warren-D 19R
OK(OPEN-Fallin-R) Lamb-R vs Edmondson-D 20R
TN(OPEN-Halsam-R) Black-R vs Dean-D 21R
VT(Scott-R) Scott-R vs Ehlers-D 22R
WY(OPEN-Mead-R) Murray-R vs Thorne-D 23R
Lean Republican
MD(Hogan-R)Hogan-R vs Baker-D 24R
NH(Sununu-R)Sununu-R vs Marchand-D 25R
OH(OPEN-Kasich-R)DeWine-R vs Cordray-D 26R
WI(Walker-R)Walker-R vs Evers-D 27R
Slight Republican
NV(OPEN-Sandoval-R)Laxalt-R vs Sisolak-D 28R
Lean Independent
AK(Walker-I)Walker-I vs Begich-D vs Miller-R 1I
Slight Democratic
FL(OPEN-Scott-R) Putnam-R vs Graham-D 8D
IL(Rauner-R) Rauner-R vs Pritzker-D 9D
MI(OPEN-Snyder-R)Schuette-R vs Whitmer-D 10D
Lean Democratic
CO(OPEN-Hickenlooper-D)Polis-D vs Tancredo-R 11D
CT(OPEN-Malloy-D ) Bronin-D vs Boughton-R 12D
ME(OPEN-LePage-R) Mayhew-R vs Eves-D 13D
MN(OPEN-Dayton-D) Walz-D vs Johnson-R 14D
NM(OPEN-Martinez-R) Lujan Grisham-D vs Pearce-R 15D
PA(Wolf-D) Wolf-D vs Wagner-R 16D
Likely Democratic
OR(Brown-D) Brown-D vs Buehler-R 17D
RI(Raimondo-D) Raimondo-D vs Fung-R 18D
Solid Democratic
CA(OPEN-Brown-D) Newsom-D vs Villagrosa-D 19D
HI(Ige-D) Hanabusa-D vs Carroll-R 20D
NY(Cuomo-D) Cuomo-D vs Kolb-R 21D
Democrats could win NV,WI,OH,and NH if 2018 is a Democratic Wave. 25D
In 2019
Democrats win KY(Beasher-D),LA(Bel Edwards-D),and MS(Hood-D) 27D
In 2020
Democrats win DE(Carney-D),MO(Kander-D),MT(Schweitzer-D),NH(Marchand-D),NC(Cooper-D),and WA(Inslee-D) 28D
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