CA-Newsom-D 1
CO-Polis-D 2
CT-Drew-D 3
DE-Carney-D 4
FL-Graham-D 5
HI-Hanabusa-D 6
IL-Pritzker-D 7
LA-Bel Edwards-D 8
ME-Mills-D 9
MI-Whitmer-D 10
MN-Walz-D 11
MT-Bullock-D 12
NV-Miller-D 13
NJ-Murphy-D 14
NM-Lujan Grisham-D 15
NY-Cuomo-D 16
NC-Cooper-D 17
OR-Brown-D 18
PA-Wolf-D 19
RI-Raimondo-D 20
VA-Northam-D 21
WA-Inslee-D 22
22 Democratic Governors after 2018 midterm election.
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2018
Democrats are strongly favored to hold onto
CA-Feinstein-D 24
CT-Murphy-D 25
DE-Carper-D 26
HI-Hirono-D 27
ME-King-I/D 28
MD-Cardin-D 29
MA-Warren-D 30
MI-Stabenow-D 31
MN-Klobuchar-D 32
NJ-OPEN Menendez-D 33
NM-Heinrich-D 34
NY-Gillibrand-D 35
PA-Casey-D 36
RI-Whitehouse-D 37
VT-Sanders-I/D 38
VA-Kaine-D 39
WA-Cantwell-D 40
Democrats are slightly favored to hold onto
FL-Nelson-D 41
MT-Tester-D 42
ND-Heitkamp-D 43
OH-Brown-D 44
WV-Manchin-D 45
WI-Baldwin-D 46
Democrats are slightly favored to pick up
AZ-Sinema-D 47
NV-Rosen-D 48
2020
Democrats are strongly favored to hold onto
DE-Coons-D 38
IL-Durbin-D 39
MA-Markey-D 40
MI-Peters-D 41
MN-Franken-D 42
NJ-Booker-D 43
NM-Udall-D 44
OR-Merkley-D 45
RI-Reed-D 46
VA-Warner-D 47
Democrats are slightly favored to hold onto
NH-Shaheen-D 48
Democrats are slightly favored to pick up
AZ Special-Stanton-D 49
CO-Perlmutter-D 50
NC-Wood-D 51
2022
Democrats are strongly favored to hold onto
CA-Harris-D 40
CO-Bennet-D 41
CT-Blumenthal-D 42
HI-Schatz-D 43
IL-Duckworth-D 44
MD-Van Hollen-D 45
NY-Schumer-D 46
VT-Leahy-D 47
WA-Murray-D 48
Democrats are slightly favored to hold onto
AZ-Stanton-D 49
NV-Cortez Masto-D 50
NH-Hassan-D 51
If Trump is president after 2022, Democrats are slightly favored to pick up
FL-Soto-D 52
PA-Shapiro-D 53
WI-Kind-D 54
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Republican Favored to a Tossup?
Could Begich-D benefit from Governor Bill Walker's coattails and Trump's unpopularity?
Democrats could also pick up the SD US House seat in 2018 if former SD US Attorney Brendan Johnson ran, Johnson is the son of former US Senator Tim Johnson.
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Must be from a state with a Democratic Governor.
Harris/Klobuchar ticket can turn MN,WI,MI,and PA into blue states and IA and OH into purple states.
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Democrats hold onto
DE (Coons-D)
IL (Durbin-D)Madigan-D if Durbin retires.
MA (Markey-D)
MI (Peters-D)
MN (Franken-D)
NH (Shaheen-D)
NJ (Booker-D)
NM (Udall-D)
OR (Merkley-D)
RI (Reed-D)
VA (Warner-D)
Democrats pick up
AZ Special (OPEN McCain-R) Stanton-D
CO (Gardner-R) Perlmutter-D
IA (Ernst-R) Loebsack-D
MT (Daines-R)Bullock-D
NC (Tillis-R) Stein-D
2018
Democrats pick up
AZ (Flake-R)Sinema-D
NV (Heller-R)Rosen-D
Democrats could lose
IN (Donnelly-D)Messer-R or Rokita-R
MO (McCaskill-D)Hawley-R
Democrats could end up with 53 to 55 seats in 2021.
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Most Likely to win to Least Likely to win.
CO (Udall-D vs Gardner-D)Tossup Democratic/Lean Democratic
NC (Hagan-D vs Tillis-R)Tossup Republican/Tossup Democratic
AK (Begich-D vs Sullivan-R) Tossup Republican/Lean Republican
LA(Landrieu-D vs Cassidy-R)Lean Republican/Likely Republican
AR (Cotton-R vs Pryor-D) Likely Republican/Solid Republican
Udall-CO,Hagan-NC and Begich-AK have a decent chance of winning a rematch.
Pryor-AR and Landrieu-LA have a zero chance of winning a rematch.
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Can Udall (D-CO) win in 2020?
Looking at both of the WI( Johnson-R vs Feingold-D) races,
Feingold-D lost in 2010 by a 4.84 percent margin.
Feingold-D lost in 2016 by a 3.35 percent margin.
Feingold's margin of defeat decreased by 1.49 percent
Obama-D carried WI in 2012 by a 6.94 percent margin
Trump-R carried WI in 2016 by a .77 percent margin.
7.71 percent movement to the Republican party.
Looking at both of the CO (Gardner-R vs Udall-D) races,
Udall-D lost in 2014 by a 1.9 percent margin.
Obama-D carried CO in 2012 by a 5.37 percent margin.
Clinton-D carried CO in 2016 by a 4.91 percent margin.
The 2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee will carry CO in 2020 by a 5 percent margin.
Udall-D will win the 2020 CO US Senate Race by 2.5 percent margin.
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1)Cochran (R-MS)H (1973-1978)S (1978-present) 46 years
2)Leahy(D-VT)S (1975-present) 44 years
3)Grassley (R-IA)H (1975-1981)S (1981-present) 44 years
4)Markey (D-MA)H (1976 -2013) S (2013- present) 42.25 years.
5)Hatch (R-UT)S (1977-present) 42 years
6)Shelby (R-AL)H (1979-1987)S (1987-present) 40 years
7)Wyden (D-OR)H (1981-1996)S (1996-present) 38 years
8)Roberts (R-KS)H (1981-1997)S (1997-present) 38 years
9)Schumer (D-NY)H (1981-1999)S (1999-present) 38 years
10)Durbin (D-IL)H (1983-1997)S (1997-present) 36 years
11)McConnell (R-KY)S (1985-present) 34 years
12)Inhofe (R-OK)H (1987-1994)S (1994-present) 32 years
13)Cardin (D-MD)H (1987-2007)S (2007-present) 32 years
14)Pallone (D-NJ)H (1988-2018)S (2018-present) 30.25 years
15)Nelson (D-FL)H (1979-1991)S (2001-present) 30 years
16)Reed (D-RI)H (1991-1997)S (1997-present) 28 years
17)Carper (D-DE)H (1983-1993)S (2001-present)28 years
18)Sanders (I-VT)H (1991-2007)S (2007-present)28 years
19)Feinstein (D-CA)S (1992-present)26.25 years.
20)Murray (D-WA)S (1993-present)26years.
21)Crapo (R-ID)H (1993-1999)S (1999-present)26 years.
22)Brown (D-OH)H (1993-2007)S (2007-present) 26 years.
23)Graham (R-SC)H (1995-2003)S (2003-present) 24 years.
24)Burr (R-NC)H (1995-2005)S (2005-present) 24 years.
25)Wicker (R-MS)H (1995-2007)S (2007-present) 24 years.
26)Collins (R-ME)S (1997-present) 22 years.
27)Enzi (R-WY)S (1997-present) 22 years.
28)Stabenow (D-MI)H (1997-2001) S (2001-present) 22 years.
29)Blunt (R-MO)H (1997-2011) S (2011-present)22 years.
30)Moran (R-KS)H (1997-2011) S (2011-present)22 years
31)Cantwell (D-WA)H (1993-1995) S (2001-present) 20 years.
32)Thune (R-SD)H (1997-2003) S (2005-present) 20 years.
33)Udall (D-NM)H (1999-2009 S (2009-present) 20 years.
34)Portman (R-OH) H (1993-2005)S (2011-present)20 years
35)Baldwin (D-WI)H (1999-2013)S (2013-present) 20 years.
36)Isakson (R-GA)H (1999-2005) S (2005-present) 19.75 years.
37)Moore Capito (R-WV) H (2001-2015) S (2015-present) 18 years
38)Boozman (R-AR)H (2001-2011)S (2011-present) 17.25 years.
39)Murkowski (R-AK)S (2002-present) 16 years.
40)Alexander (R-TN)S (2003-present) 16 years.
41)Cornyn (R-TX)S (2003-present) 16 years.
42)Van Hollen (D-MD)H (2003-2017)S (2017-present) 16 years.
43)Blackburn (R-TN)H (2003-2019)S (2019-present)16 years
44)Toomey (R-PA)H (1999-2005)S (2011-present) 14 years.
45)Casey (D-PA)S (2007-present) 12 years.
46)Klobuchar (D-MN)S (2007-present) 12 years.
47)Whitehouse (D-RI)S (2007-present) 12 years.
48)Tester (D-MT)S (2007-present) 12 years.
49)Gillibrand (D-NY)H (2007-2009)S (2009-present) 12 years.
50)Murphy (D-CT)H (2007-2013)S (2013-present) 12 years.
51)Hirono (D-HI)H (2007-2013)S (2013-present) 12 years.
52)Barrasso (R-WY) S (2007-present) 11.5 years.
53)Shaheen (D-NH) S (2009-present) 10 years.
54)Warner (D-VA)S (2009-present) 10 years.
55)Risch (R-ID)S (2009-present) 10 years.
56)Merkley (D-OR)S (2009-present) 10 years.
57)Heinrich (D-NM)H (2009-2013) S (2013-present) 10 years
58)Peters (D-MI)H (2009-2015)S (2015-present) 10 years.
59)Cassidy (R-LA)H (2009-2015)S (2015-present) 10 years
60)Bennett (D-CO)S (2009-present) 10 years.
61)Franken (D-MN) S (2009-present) 9.5 years.
62)Manchin (D-WV) S (2010-present) 8.25 years.
63)Coons (D-DE)S (2010-present) 8.25 years.
64)Hoeven (R-ND)S (2011-present) 8 years
65)Rubio (R-FL)S (2011-present) 8 years
66)Johnson (R-WI)S (2011-present) 8 years
67)Paul (R-KY)S (2011-present) 8 years
68)Blumenthal (D-CT)S (2011-present) 8 years
69)Lee (R-UT)S (2011-present) 8 years
70)Scott (R-SC)H (2011-2013)S (2013-present) 8 years
71)Gardner (R-CO)H (2011-2015) S (2015- present) 8 years
72)Lankford (R-OK)H (2011-2015)S (2015- present) 8 years
73)Young (R-IN)H (2011-2017)S (2017- present) 8 years
74)Rokita (R-IN)H (2011-2019)S (2019-present) 8 years
75)Schatz (D-HI)S (2012-present) 6.25 years
76)King (I-VT)S (2013-present) 6 years
77)Kaine (D-VA)S (2013-present) 6 years
78)Cruz (R-TX)S (2013-present) 6 years
79)Warren (D-MA)S (2013-present) 6 years
80)Fischer (R-NE)S (2013-present) 6 years
81)Heitkamp (D-ND)S (2013-present) 6 years
82)Cotton (R-AR)H (2013-2015)S (2015-present) 6 years
83)Daines (R-MT)H (2013-2015)S (2015-present) 6 years
84)Duckworth (D-IL)H (2013-2017)S (2017-present) 6 years
85)Sinema (D-AZ)H (2013-2019)S (2019-present) 6 years
86)Booker (D-NJ)S (2013-present) 5.25 years
87)Rounds (R-SD)S (2015-present) 4 years
88)Perdue (R-GA)S (2015-present) 4 years
89)Thillis (R-NC)S (2015-present) 4 years
90)Ernst (R-IA)S (2015-present) 4 years
91)Sasse (R-NE)S (2015-present) 4 years
92)Sullivan (R-AK)S (2015-present) 4 years
93)Hassan (D-NH)S (2017-present) 2 years
94)Harris (D-CA)S (2017-present) 2 years
95)Kennedy (R-LA)S (2017-present) 2 years
96)Cortez Masto (D-NV)S (2017-present) 2 years
97)Rosen (D-NV)H (2017-present)S (2019-present) 2 years
98)Moore (R-AL)S (2018-present) 1 year
99)Kelly (D-AZ)S (2018- present) .25 years
100)Hawley (R-MO)S (2019-present)
Menendez (D-NJ) resigns in mid 1/2018 gets replaced by Pallone-D
Corker (R-TN)gets replaced by Blackburn-R
Donnelly (D-IN) loses re-election to Rokita-R
Flake (R-AZ)loses re-election to Sinema-D
Heller (R-NV)loses re-election to Rosen-D
McCaskill (D-MO) loses re-election to Hawley-R
Kelly (D-AZ) wins 2018 special election to replace McCain-R
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AZ-Sinema-D-US Representative of AZ9CD- Tossup Democratic
MS-Hood-D- MS Attorney General - Lean Republican
NE-Fahey-D- Former Mayor of Omaha,NE- Likely Republican
NV-Rosen-D- US Representative of NV3CD- Tossup Democratic
TN-Bredesen-D- Former TN Governor- Lean Republican
TX-O'Rourke-D- US Representative of TX16CD- Likely Republican
UT-Matheson-D- Former US Representative of UT4CD- Lean Republican
WY-Freudenthal-D Former WY Governor- Lean Republican
Democrats will hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat and pick up AZ and NV- 50 seats.
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