nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalUS Senate Races that Democrats need to win in 2022.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Leahy-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)NH(Hassan-D) vs Sununu-R
The worst case scenario for Democrats in the 2022 US Senate Elections is a 2 seat loss.
Democrats are going to win.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D) wins by a high single digit margin.
47)AZ(Kelly-D) wins by a narrow margin.
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D) wins by a narrow margin.
Democrats will win NH(Hassan-D) if Sununu-R does not run. 49
Democrats need to win GA(Warnock-D) in November or December. 50
Democrats need to win PA(Fetterman-D) and WI(Barnes-D) 52.
The 2021 VA Election Results are a fluke.
Democrats narrowly lost the Governor’s, Lt Governor’s, and Attorney General’s Election due to running a mediocre campaign.
2022- Democrats are going to win the US House Elections in -
VA-8(Beyer-D)
VA-11(Connolly-D)
VA-3(Scott-D)
VA-4(McEachin-D)
VA-10(Weston-D)
VA-2(Luria-D)
VA-7(Spanberger-D)
2023- Democrats will retain control of the VA state senate.
2024- US Senator Tim Kaine-D will win re-election by a double digit margin.
2026- US Senator Mark Warner-D will win re-election by a double digit margin.
2025- Democrats will regain control of the VA state house.
For the VA Governor’s, Lt Governor’s, and Attorney General’s position- Democrats need to nominate-
US Representatives Wexton-D, Luria-D, or Spanberger-D.
former VA House Speaker Eileen Filler-Corn-D
VA House Majority/Minority Leader Charniele Herring-D.
VA state Representative and 2021 Democratic candidate for VA Attorney General Jay Jones-D.
The 2021 VA election results prove that VA is a purple state.
2021- Republicans narrowly won the Governor’s, Lt Governor’s, and Attorney General’s Election. Republicans gained 6 seats in the VA state house. 51R 49D.
2022- Democratic US Representative Spanberger is the only VA US Representative that could lose. Luria-D, Scott-D, McEachin-D, Beyer-D, Wexton-D, and Connelly-D will win re-election in 2022.
2023- Democrats need to retain control of the VA state senate.
2024- US Senator Tim Kaine-D wins re-election by a low double digit margin. If Kaine-D decides not to seek re-election, Democratic nominee will be Northam-D, McEachin-D,Wexton-D, Luria-D or Spanberger-D.
2025- Democrats need to win the Governor’s, Lt Governor’s and Attorney General’s Election and regain control of the VA state house. McEachin-D,Wexton-D, Luria-D, or Spanberger-D are likely to be the Democratic nominee for Governor, Lt Governor, and Attorney General.
2026- US Senator Mark Warner-D wins re-election against Glenn Youngkin-R by a high single digit margin. If Warner-D decides not seek re-election, Democratic nominee will be McEachin-D, Wexton-D, Luria-D, or Spanberger.
VA Democrats need US Representatives McEachin-D, Wexton-D, Luria-D or Spanberger-D to run for statewide office in VA.
Must win US Senate races the Democrats need to win in 2022 are PA and WI.
Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that may go Republican.
GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R) will be decided in the 12/2022 runoff.
NH(Hassan-D vs Sununu-R) will go either way.
Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that is likely to go Democratic.
PA(OPEN Toomey-R) Fetterman-D
WI(Johnson-R vs Barnes-D)
Democrats will hold onto CO(Bennet-D), NV(Cortez Masto-D) and AZ(Kelly-D).
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that Democrats will definitely win.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)12/2022 runoff.
Democratic Governors of VA since 1981
1981- Chuck Robb
1985- Gerald Bailes
1989- Doug Wilder
2001- Mark Warner
2005- Tim Kaine
2013- Terry McAuliffe
2017- Ralph Northam
If Youngkin-R wins the 2021 VA Governors Election, He will be the Republican nominee for the 2026 VA US Senate Race against Mark Warner-D.
If Youngkin-R narrowly loses the 2021 VA Governors Election, He will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 VA US Senate Race against Tim Kaine-D.
Hala Ayala-D needs to win the 2021 VA Lt Governors Election in order to be the frontrunner for 2025 VA Democratic Gubernatorial Nomination.
Ayala-D will be the first female Governor of VA.
Democratic Governors of VA since 1981
1981- Chuck Robb
1985- Gerald Bailes
1989- Doug Wilder
2001- Mark Warner
2005- Tim Kaine
2013- Terry McAuliffe
2017- Ralph Northam
If Youngkin-R wins the 2021 VA Governors Election, He will be the Republican nominee for the 2026 VA US Senate Race against Mark Warner-D.
If Youngkin-R narrowly loses the 2021 VA Governors Election, He will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 VA US Senate Race against Tim Kaine-D.
Hala Ayala-D needs to win the 2021 VA Lt Governors Election in order to be the frontrunner for 2025 VA Democratic Gubernatorial Nomination.
Ayala-D will be the first female Governor of VA.
Who is going to be Governor of VA in 2025/2026?
Ralph Northam-D succeeds Terry McAuliffe-D the second time.
Hala Ayala-D - the incoming Lt. Governor.
Mark Herring-D -3 term Attorney General.
Jennifer Wexton-D - US Representative from VA-10cd. Abigail Spanberger-D - US Representative from VA-7cd. Elaine Lauria-D- US Representative from VA-2cd.
Donald McEachin-D - US Representative from VA-4cd.
Democrats are going to win the 2021 NJ and VA gubernatorial election.
NJ- Murphy-D
VA- McAuliffe-D
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