elected to the US Senate. Here is why?
In GA, The winner needs to get over 50 percent of the popular vote in November or will have face voters again in December or January. Warnock-D can be in the same situation that Wyche Fowler-D was in in 1992 against Paul Coverdell-R.
In PA, Parnell-R is likely to get Santorumized. Fetterman-D will benefit from Democratic gubernatorial nominee Josh Shapiro’s coattails. Shapiro-D will defeat Barrett’s-R in the 2022 PA gubernatorial election.
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37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D) in 12/2022 -1/2023 General Election runoff.
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Strongly Favored
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Slightly Favored
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
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Strong Democratic Favored
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D or Lamb-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Tossup/Slight Democratic Favored.
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
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37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(OPEN Leahy-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Republican nominee in
HI,NY,CA,MD,CT,VT,OR,WA,IL,CO,and NH are sacrificial lamb.
Democrats have a 50 percent chance of winning
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
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A young 33 year old female vs An old 89 year old male.
Finkenauer can serve 9 terms in the US Senate to reach Grassley’s age.
Grassley is not likely to complete his 8th term.
IA voters should elect Finkenauer over Grassley.
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37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
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D-R
AZ(Kelly-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
R-D
PA(OPEN Toomey-R)
WI(Johnson-R)
Democrats will definitely pick up PA and hold onto AZ and NV.
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2010
Democrats lost
AR(Lincoln-D)
IL(OPEN Obama-D)
IN(OPEN Bayh-D)
ND(OPEN Dorgan-D)
PA(OPEN Specter-D)
WI(Feingold-D)
2014
Democrats lost
AK(Begich-D)
AR(Pryor-D)
CO(Udall-D)
IA(OPEN Harkin-D)
LA(Landrieu-D)
MT(OPEN Baucus/Walsh-D)
NC(Hagan-D)
SD(OPEN Johnson-D)
WV(OPEN Rockefeller-D)
2022
In a Republican wave election years
Democrats will lose
AZ(Kelly-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Democrats will hold onto CO(Bennet-D) and NH(Hassan-D).
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D-Ruben Gallego
R-Paul Gosar
I-Kyrsten Sinema
Who wins?
Who are the Moderate Republicans going to support?
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