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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
December 17, 2022

Democratic Nominees for the 2024 US Senate Elections.

CT(Murphy-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
ME(King-I)
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
CA(Khanna-D)
DE(Carper-D)
MD(Raskin-D)
MT(Tester-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
VA(Kaine-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
FL(Murphy-D)
TX(Allred-D)
IN(Hogsett-D)
MO(Kunce-D)
NE regular(Shelton-D)
ND(Christiansen-D)
No Democratic candidates in MS,NE special,TN,UT,and WY.


The newly elected Democratic US Senators are AZ(Gallego-D),CA(Khanna-D),and MD(Raskin-D)

Battleground US Senate Races in 2024 are AZ,FL,MI,MT,NV,OH,PA,TX,WV,and WI)
Democrats will win AZ,MI,MT,NV,OH,PA,and WI.
Republicans will win FL,TX, and WV.









December 17, 2022

Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2024 that are over 80 years old.

CA(Feinstein-D)
ME(King-I)
MD(Cardin-D)
VT(Sanders-I)

Feinstein-CA retires, gets replaced by Adam Schiff-D or Ro Khanna-D
King-ME runs again.

Cardin-MD and Sanders-VT have yet to announce.

Sanders-VT runs again.
Cardin-MD retires. gets replaced by John Sarbanes-D or Jamie Raskin-D

December 17, 2022

Battleground United States Senate Elections in 2024 that the Democrats are likely to win.

AZ(Gallego-D vs Lamb-R vs Sinema-I)
FL(Murphy-D vs Scott-R)
MI(Stabenow-D vs Kelley-R) Likely D
MT(Tester-D vs Zinke-R)
NV(Rosen-D vs Brown-R)
NJ(Menendez-D vs Cruz-R)
OH(Brown-D vs Dolan-R)
PA(Casey-D vs McCormick-R)
TX(Allred-D vs Cruz-R)
VA(Kaine-D vs Smith-R)
WV(Manchin-D vs Mooney-R)
WI(Baldwin-D vs Gallagher-R)

In MI, Ryan Kelley-R is a MAGA activist and indicted 1/6 rioter.
In AZ, Mark Lamb-R is a Sherriff that is being endorsed by Kari Lake-R.
NV(Sam Brown-R),OH(Matt Dolan-R),and PA(David McCormick-R)are 2022 Republican US Senate candidates.
MT(Zinke-R),WV(Mooney-R),and WI(Gallagher-R) are US House Members.

December 17, 2022

Incoming Democratic US Senators of 2024.

AZ(Ruben Gallego-D or Greg Stanton-D)
CA(Ro Khanna-D or Adam Schiff-D)
DE if Carper retires(John Carney-D or Lisa Blunt Rochester-D)
MD if Cardin retires(John Sarbanes-D or Jamie Raskin-D)
RI if Whitehouse retires(David Ciciline-D or Gina Raimondo-D)
VT if Sanders retires(David Zuckerman-P/D or TJ Donovan-D)

December 17, 2022

Who will the Democrats nominate for the 2024 US House Election in AZ-3rd CD?

Martin Quezada or Kate Gallego?

December 16, 2022

How much will Gallego win the 2024 AZ US Senate Race by against Sinema and the Republican not Ducey?

In the 2022 AZ US Senate Race between Kelly-D, Masters-R, and the 3rd party nominee,
Kelly-D received 51.5 percent.
Masters-R received 46.5 percent.
The 3rd Party nominee received 2 percent.

In the 2024 AZ US Senate Race,
Gallego-D will receive 49 percent.
The MAGA/Not Ducey-R will receive 46.5 percent.
Sinema-I will receive 4.5 percent.

December 16, 2022

Who is the ideal Democratic nominee for the 2024 TX US Senate Race?

Colin Allred
Joaquin Castro
Veronica Escobar
Lizzie Fletcher
Marc Veasey

December 16, 2022

In a 4 way 2024 AZ US Senate Race between Gallego-D,MAGA-R,Sinema-I,Green or Libertarian.

Green Nominee and/or Libertarian Nominee gets 2.5 percent.
Sinema gets 5 percent.
MAGA Republican Nominee gets 45 percent.
Gallego-D gets 47.5 percent.



December 16, 2022

How much does Gallego win in a 3 way General Election Race against MAGA Republican and Sinema?

Kelly-D won the 2022 AZ US Senate Election by 4.9 percent margin with the 3rd party(Libertarian) getting 2.1 percent.

The MAGA Republican Nominee will get 46.5 percent of the popular vote- same percent of the popular vote Blake Masters got in 2022.

Sinema will get between 2.5 to 5.0 percent of the popular vote.

Gallego-D will get between 47.5 to 50 percent of the popular vote.

Gallego-D) 47.5
MAGA-R) 46.5
Sinema-I) 4.5
Other-G/L)1.5


December 15, 2022

How about Former TX US Representive Filemon Vela run for the US Senate in 2024?

Vela left the US House of Representatives this year in order to help a fellow TX Democratic US House Member Vicente Gonzalez remain in the US House. Gonzalez was going to lose in the General Election if he ran in the TX-15 and in the Primary Election if he ran in TX-34. Now that Vela is no longer holding any elected office, running for the US Senate in TX will not be a problem.
Sitting TX Democratic US House members such as Colin Allred and Joaquin Castro are better off waiting until John Cornyn decides not to seek re-election.

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