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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
February 18, 2022

The maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats are to win in 2022 is 18.

1/37)HI(Schatz-D)
2/38)NY(Schumer-D)
3/39)CA(Padilla-D)
4/40)MD(Van Holden-D)
5/41)VT(Welch-D)
6/42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
7/43)OR(Wyden-D)
8/44)WA(Murray-D)
9/45)IL(Duckworth-D)
10/46)CO(Bennet-D)
11/47)NH(Hassan-D
12/48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
13/49)AZ(Kelly-D)
14/50)GA(Warnock-D)
15/51)PA(Fetterman-D)
16/52)NC(Beasley-D)
17/53)WI(Barnes-D)
18/54)OH(Ryan-D)

February 18, 2022

The maximum number of US Senate the Democrats will win in 2022 is 18.

1/37)HI(Schatz-D)
2/38)NY(Schumer-D)
3/39)VT(Welch-D)
4/40)CA(Padilla-D)
5/41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
6/42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
7/43)OR(Wyden-D)
8/44)WA(Murray-D)
9/45)IL(Duckworth-D)
10/46)CO(Bennet-D)
11/47)NH(Hassan-D)
12/48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
13/49)AZ(Kelly-D)
14/50)GA(Warnock-D)
15/51)PA(Fetterman-D)
16/52)WI(Barnes-D)
17/53)NC(Beasley-D)
18/54)OH(Ryan-D)


February 17, 2022

The maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats could win in 2022 is 19

1/37)HI(Schatz-D)
2/38)NY(Schumer-D)
3/39)CA(Padilla-D)
4/40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
5/41)VT(Welch-D)
6/42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
7/43)OR(Wyden-D)
8/44)IL(Duckworth-D)
9/45)WA(Murray-D)
10/46)CO(Bennet-D)
11/47)NH(Hassan-D)
12/48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
13/49)AZ(Kelly-D)
14/50)PA(Fetterman-D)
15/51)GA(Warnock-D)
16/52)WI(Barnes-D)
17/53)NC(Beasley-D)
18/54)OH(Ryan-D)
19/55)FL(Demings-D)

February 17, 2022

US Senate seats the Democrats win in 2022 to stay in the majority and forget Sinema and Manchin.

37)CA(Padilla-D) vs another D(Horton)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.

February 17, 2022

US House Seats Democrats need to win in 2022 to remain in the majority.

Democrats will lose(D vs D) districts.
CA-9(McNerney-D) 1
CA-42(Open Roybal Allard-D/Open Lowenthal-D) will be a Safe District. 2
GA-7(McBath-D/Bourdeaux-D) 3
IL-6(Casten-D/Newman-D) 4
MI-11(Stevens-D/Levin-D) 5
MI-12(Lawrence-D) 6
PA-17(Open Lamb-D/Open Doyle-D) will be a safe D District. 7
TX-34(Vela-D) 8
Democrats will lose(D vs R) districts. 9
NC-11(Manning-D) 10
OH-6(Ryan-D) 11
Democrats will lose districts to Republicans in
AZ-2(O’Halleran-D) 12
AZ-6(OPEN Kirkpatrick-D) 13
IA-3(Axne-D) 14
NJ-7(Malinowski-D) 15
PA-8(Cartwright-D) 16
TN-5(OPEN Cooper-D) 17
WI-3(OPEN Kind-D) 18
Democrats will pick up
1)CA-13
2)CA-22
3)CA-27
4)CA-45
5)CO-8
6)IL-3
7)IL-13
8)MI-3
9)MI-13
10)NM-2
11)NY-1
12)NY-11
13)NY-22
14)OR-6
15)TX-15
16)TX-35

Democrats will have net loss of 2 seats in the US House Representatives in 2022.

Democrats will hold onto
FL-7(OPEN Murphy-D)
FL-13(OPEN Crist-D)
KS-3(Davids-D)
ME-2(Golden-D)
MI-7(Slotkin-D)
MI-8(Kildee-D)
MN-2(Craig-D)
NH-1(Pappas-D)
OH-9(Kaptur-D)
VA-2(Luria-D)


February 17, 2022

2022 US Senate Elections from states that Biden-D lost in 2020 that Democrats could win.

OH(Ryan-D) strong Democrat vs weak Republican.
2022 US Senate Elections from states that Biden-D won in 2020 that Republicans could win.
WI(Barnes-D) Johnson-R might survive like he did last time.
GA(Warnock-D) if the seats goes into a 1/2023 runoff.

Democrats will definitely win the 2022 US Senate Elections in
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)

Democrats will win GA(Warnock-D) if there is no 1/2023 runoff.
Democrats will win WI(Barnes-D) does not run a lackluster campaign.
Democrats will win NC(Beasley-D) does not run a lackluster campaign.
Democrats will win OH(Ryan-D) does not run a lackluster campaign.

February 17, 2022

The states where Democrats pick up US House seats in 2022,

CA)+3D
CA-22(Valadao-R) Rudy Salas-D
CA-27(Garcia-R) Christy Smith-D
CA-45(Steel-R) Jay Chen-D
CO)+1D
CO-8(new) Yadira Caraveo-D
IL)+1D
IL-13(new) Nikki Budzinski-D
NM)+1D
NM-2(Herrell-R) Gabe Vasquez-D
NY)+3D
NY-1(Zeldin-R) Kara Hahn-D
NY-11(Malliotakis-R) Max Rose-D
NY-22(Katko-R) Samuel Roberts-D
OR)+1D
OR-6(new) Loretta Smith-D


+10D
Democrats will lose seats in
AZ-2(O’Halleran-D) 1
AZ-6(OPEN Kirkpatrick-D) 2
FL-7(OPEN Murphy-D) 3
GA-7(McBath-D or Bourdeaux-D) 4
IA-3(Axne-D) 5
KS-3(Davids-D) 6
ME-2(Golden-D) 7
MI-11(Levin-D or Stevens-D) 8
NH-1(Pappas-D) 9
NJ-7(Malinowski-D) 10
NC-11(Manning-D) 11
OH-6(OPEN Ryan-D) 12
OH-9(Kaptur-D) 13
PA-8(Cartwright-D) 14
PA-16(OPEN-Lamb-D) 15
TN-5(Cooper-D) 16
VA-2(Luria-D) 17
WI-3(OPEN Kind-D) 18

Democrats will not lose more than a net loss of 8 US House seats.
Democrats are probably going to hold onto
VA-2(Luria-D)
NH-1(Pappas-D)
ME-2(Golden-D)
KS-3(Davids-D)
IA-3(Axne-D)
Democrats are probably going to pick up
MI-3(Meijer-R) Hillary Scholten-D
Democrats will have a net loss of 2 US House seats.











February 17, 2022

2022 US Senate Elections in states that Biden-D won by margin over 1 percent.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D) safer for Democrats due to the fact Governor Scott-R is not running.
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D) safer for Democrats due to the fact Governor Hogan-R is not running.
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D) safer for Democrats due to the fact Governor Sununu-R is not running.
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
Democrats will win the 2022 US Senate Elections in the states listed above.
2022 US Senate Elections in states that Biden-D won by a margin under 1 percent.
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)





February 16, 2022

US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will be likely going to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
Democrats will come up short in OH and FL due to the fact the Republicans are favored to win the 2022 Governor’s Election’s in OH and FL by a high single digit margin.
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)

In 2018 OH Governors and US Senate Elections- DeWine-R won the Governor’s Race by a 4 percent margin. Brown-D won the US Senate Race by a 7 percent margin.
DeWine-R wins the 2022 Governor’s Election by a wider margin than he did in 2018.
Ryan-D wins the 2022 US Senate Election by a narrower margin than Brown-D did in 2018.

February 16, 2022

Incoming US House Members from Long Island NY.

NY-1)
Steve Bellone-D if he runs.
Bridget Fleming-D
Jackie Gordon-D
Kara Hahn-D
NY-3)
Allesandra Biaggi-D if Bronx/Westchester candidate can do well in a Long Island based Congressional District.
Jerome Kaiman-D
Josh Lafazan-D
NY-4)
Kevan Abrahams-D
Laura Curran-D if she runs.
Laura Gilles-D
Todd Kaminsky-D
Carrie Solages-D

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