nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalCO Democratic US Representatives that are strong general election candidates for statewide office.
1)Neguse- ran for statewide office(Secretary of State) in 2014(Republican Wave Year). Narrowly lost when every Democratic nominee for statewide office in CO except for Governor/Lt Governor lost. Udall narrowly lost re-election to his US Senate seat in 2014. CO has become a Democratic leaning state in 2018. Neguse’s US House District CO-2 has elected its representatives to statewide office.
Polis(Governor)2018
Udall(US Senate)2008
Wirth(US Senate)1986
2)Crow- got elected to the US House in a swing district(CO-6)in 2018 by unseating a Republican incumbent by a double digit margin. Crow won by an 11 percent margin in 2018,17 percent in 2020 and 23 percent in 2022.
3)Pettersen- got elected to the US House in a swing district(CO-7) in 2022 by a double digit margin(15 percent margin).
Which Democratic US Senator up for re-election in 2024 is going to announce their retirement?
Ben Cardin-MD and/or Bernie Sanders-VT.
Both of them are over 80 years old. Both of them were elected to the US Senate in 2006 after serving over a decade in the US House of Representatives.
Cardin’s US Senate successor is going to be John Sarbanes. Cardin’s US Senate predecessor Paul Sarbanes’ son.
Sander’s US Senatr successor is going to be Becca Ballint.
US Representatives of CO from the most profiled to the least profiled.
Neguse(Democratic nominee for CO Secretary of State in 2014 before getting elected to the US House in 2018.Chair of the US House Democratic Policy and Communications Committee)
Buck(Republican nominee for the US Senate in 2010 before getting elected to the US House in 2014.)
DeGette(Member of the US House of Representatives since 1997)
Boebert(for the wrong reasons)
Crow
Lamborn
Pettersen
Caraveo
2014 CO statewide elections vs 2022 CO statewide elections.
2014
Democrats won the Governors Election by a 3.5 percent margin.
Democrats lost the US Senate Election by a 2 percent margin.
Democrats lost the Secretary of State Election by a 2.5 percent margin.
Democrats lost the Treasurer Election by a 5 percent margin.
Democrats lost the Attorney General Election by a 9 percent margin.
Democrats had top tier nominee in
US Senate(Udall- incumbent)
Governor(Hickenlooper- incumbent)
Treasurer(Markey- challenger) former US House member.
Secretary of State Democratic nominee Neguse was a generic Democratic in 2014 but has became a top tier Democrat since getting elected to the US House of Representatives in 2018.
Neguse became the freshman class representatives in 2019 and chair of the Democratic Policy and Communication Committee since 2021.
2022
Democrats won the Governor Election by 19.5 percent margin.
Democrats won the US Senate Election by a 14.5 percent margin.
Democrats won the Secretary of State Election by a 13 percent margin.
Democrats won the Attorney General Election by a 11.5 percent margin.
Democrats won the Treasurer Election by a 10.5 percent margin.
The Democratic nominee for US Senate,Governor,Attorney General,Secretary of State and Treasurer are incumbents.
In 2026
CO will have an open seat statewide elections for
Governor/Lt Governor
Attorney General
Secretary of State
Treasurer.
The Democratic nominee for Governor will be Neguse,Weiser, or Griswold. Primavera and Young are too old to become Governor.
Neguse is more likely to run for the US Senate when there is going to be an open seat election.
The open seat CO US Senate Election will be in 2032. The incumbent US Senator Hickenlooper will be over 80 years old and will be completing his 2nd US Senate term.
The 2 most recent CO US House Members in CO-2(Neguse and Polis) could end up in the US Senate.
Polis first served in the CO State Board of Education- At Large from 2001-2007. Polis then served in the US House of Representatives in CO-2 from 2009-2018 and then served as Governor of Colorado from 2019-2027. Polis has to leave the CO Governors office in 2027 due to term limits. Polis could run for and get elected to the US Senate in 2026 if the current incumbent US Senator Hickenlooper chooses not to seek re-election.
Neguse first served in the University of Colorado Board of Regents representing CO-2cd from 2009-2015. Neguse then served in the US House of Representatives in CO-2 since 2019. In 2026, Neguse ends up running for and getting elected to CO Governor succeeding Polis. Neguse could end up running for and getting elected to the US Senate in 2034 after serving 2 terms as Governor and if the other current incumbent US Senator Bennet chooses not to seek re-election.
Board of Education/Regents 2001-2007/2009-2015
US House of Representatives 2009-2019/2019-2027
Governor 2019-2027/2027-2035
US Senator. 2027- present/2035-present.
CO US House Members likely to run for and get elected to statewide office in the near future.
Joe Neguse(D-CO2) and Jason Crow(D-CO6).
Neguse ran for statewide office(Secretary of State) in 2014(a Republican wave election year) and lost by a 2.5 percent margin. In 2014, Republicans won every statewide election in except for Governor. Hickenlooper won the 2014 CO Governor’s Election by a 4.5 percent margin.
Neguse got elected to the US House of Representatives from CO-2 in 2018 by a 27 percent margin when CO-2 was a +9D district. In 2020, Neguse won re-election by a 26 percent margin and in 2022, Neguse won re-election by a 42 percent margin. CO-2 is now a +17D district. During the last Congressional session, Neguse introduced the most bills. Two US House members introduced more bills than Neguse. (Eleanor Holmes Norton-DC who does not have voting power in Congress like the other 50 states and Carolyn Maloney-NY who is no longer in Congress.)
Crow ran for the US House of Representatives from CO-6 in 2018 by a 11 percent margin. Crow unseated a Republican incumbent Mike Coffman. CO-6 was a +2D district before the 2022 Redistricting. Crow won redistricting in 2020 by a 17 percent margin. CO-6 is now a +9D district. Crow won re-election in 2022 by a 23 percent margin.
Neguse has more political experience than Crow,Pettersen,and Caraveo.
Neguse served in the Board of Regents in the University of Colorado in CO-2 from 2009-2015.
Neguse served as Executive Director of the CO Department of Regulatory Agencies from 2015-2017.
Neguse has been a member of the US House of Representatives since 2019.
Pettersen served in the CO state House of Representatives from 2013-2019,CO state senate from 2019-2023,and US House of Representatives in CO-7 since 2023.
Crow has been a member of the US House of Representatives since 2019.
Caraveo served in the CO state House of Representatives from 2019-2023 and US House of Representatives in CO-8 since 2023.
Neguse’s resume kind of replicates Polis’s resume.
Polis served in the CO state board of education-at large from 2001-2007, US House of Representatives in CO-2 from 2009-2019. Governor from 2019-2027.
Neguse served in the University of CO Board of Regents in CO-2 from 2009-2015, US House of Representatives in CO-2 from 2019-2027. 2026 Neguse either runs for and gets elected Governor or US Senator.
All of the 2026 statewide elections in CO including the US Senate will be open seat elections.
Governor Polis, Lt Governor Primavera, Attorney General Weiser, Secretary of State Griswold, and Treasurer Young are unable to seek re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
Hickenlooper retires from the US Senate.
Democrats will win every statewide election in CO in 2026.
US Senate(Polis or Neguse)
Governor(Griswold or Neguse)
Neguse stays in the US House to become chairman of the US House Democratic Caucus.
CO US Senator Bennet will be serving with 4 other CO US Senators during his entire US Senate career.
1)Udall(2009-2015)
2)Gardner(2015-2021)
3)Hickenlooper(2021-2033)
4)Neguse(2033-2041)
Hickenlooper(D-CO) will leave the US Senate in 2033. Bennet(D-CO) will leave the US Senate in 2041.
In 2032/2033, Hickenlooper will be 80 years old. He will be the oldest US Senator of CO when he leaves the US Senate.
In 2040/2041 Bennet will be completing his 5th full 6 year term. He will be the longest serving US Senator of CO.
Hickenlooper will break Henry Teller’s record as the oldest US Senator of CO when he leaves office.
Bennet will break Henry Teller’s record as the longest serving US Senator of CO.
Neguse will be Hickenlooper’s US Senate successor. CO-2 is a CO US Congressional District that elected their US House members to statewide office.
1)Dominick(R)1962 US Senator
2)Wirth(D)1986 US Senator
3)Udall(D)2008 US Senator
4)Polis(D)2018 Governor
CO US House Members that will run for/get elected to the US Senate when Hickenlooper/Bennet retire.
1)Neguse(D-CO2)
2)Crow(D-CO6)
3)Pettersen(D-CO7)
Neguse’s first elected office was in 2014 for CO Secretary of State. Neguse lost that race by a 2.36 percent margin. 2014 was a Republican wave election year. Republicans won every statewide election in CO in 2014 except for Governor/Lt Governor. Hickenlooper-D won the 2014 CO Governors Election by a 3.35 percent margin. Republicans won the 2014 Attorney Generals Election by a 9.05 percent margin, Secretary of State Election by a 2.36 percent margin , Treasurer Election by a 4.93 percent margin and US Senate Election by a 1.95 percent margin.
In 2018 and 2022, Democrats won every statewide election.
Governor/Lt Governor Election by a 10.6 percent margin in 2018/19.3 percent margin in 2022
Attorney General Election by a 6.5 percent margin in 2018/11.7 percent margin in 2022
Secretary of State Election by a 8 percent margin in 2018/13 percent margin in 2022
Treasurer Election by a 7.3 percent margin in 2018/10.7 percent margin in 2022
US Senate Election by a 14.6 percent margin in 2022. In 2018,2020,and 2022, Neguse was elected and re-elected to the US House of Representatives by a 26.7 percent margin in 2018/26.1 percent margin in 2020/42 percent margin in 2022 after the 2022 redistricting.
Crow’s first elected office was for the 2018 US House Election in CO-6. Crow won that election by unseating Republican incumbent Coffman by a 11.2 percent margin. Crow was re-elected in 2020 by a 17.1 percent margin and in 2022 by a 23.2 percent margin.
Pettersen’s first election was for the CO state House of Representatives in 2012, she was re-elected in 2014 and 2016. In 2018 and 2020 Pettersen was elected and re-elected to the CO state senate. In 2022 Pettersen just got elected to the US House of Representatives.
In 2024, Neguse will win re-election to the US House by a 40 percent margin, Crow will win re-election to the US House by a 30 percent margin. Pettersen will win re-election to the US House by a 20 percent margin.
Neguse,Crow,and Pettersen will defeat whoever the Republicans nominate for a statewide election(US Senate).
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