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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
April 13, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.

37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023 runoff.

April 12, 2022

The 1/2023 GA US Senate Election runoff is going to decide which party controls the US Senate.

Democrats need to win 14 US Senate Elections in 2022 to get 50 seats plus VP Harris breaking the tie vote. Democrats need Murkowski and Collins to replace Sinema and Manchin.
Democrats are going to win-
1/37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R
2/38)HI(Schatz-D)
3/39)NY(Schumer-D)
4/40)VT(Welch-D)
5/41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
6/42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
7/43)IL(Duckworth-D)
8/44)OR(Wyden-D)
9/45)WA(Murray-D)
10/46)CO(Bennet-D)
11/47)NH(Hassan-D)
12/48)PA(Fetterman-D)
13/49)AZ(Kelly-D)
14/50)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023 runoff.

NV(Cortez Masto-D),WI(Barnes-D),NC(Beasley-D) and OH(Ryan-D) are in the pure Tossup category.

April 12, 2022

Who is likely to be the next Democratic US Senator from TX?

Scott Kelly-D(Mark Kelly’s Twin)
Julian or Joaquin Castro-D
Lizzie Fletcher-D)
Colin Allred-D)

When will it happen?
2024 or 2026?

April 12, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.

37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a Sacrificial Lamb D or R
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.

April 12, 2022

Which US Senate seat is going to keep Democrats in the majority?

NV or GA(1/2023 runoff)?

Democrats are going to win-
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a Sacrificial Lamb D or R.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)



April 12, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.

37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R.
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
WI(Barnes-D),NC(Beasley-D) and OH(Ryan-D) are in the Tossup category.

April 12, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.

37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023




April 12, 2022

2022 US House Election Prediction-

Democrats lose/Republicans gain.
1)WI-3
2)VA-2
3)TN-5
4)PA-7
5)PA-8
6)PA-17
7)OH-9
8)OH-13
9)NJ-7
10)NH-1
11)MI-7
12)MI-8
13)ME-2
14)KS-3
15)IA-3
16)FL-13
17)AZ-2
18)AZ-6
Democrats lose
19)CA-9
20)CA-42
21)GA-7
22)IL-6
23)MI-11
24)MI-12
25)TX-34
Democrats gain/Republicans lose
24)OH-1
23)NY-1
22)NY-11
21)NY-22
20)NM-2
19)MI-3
18)FL-26
17)FL-27
16)CA-22
15)CA-27
14)CA-45
Democrats gain
13)CA-13
12)IL-3
11)IL-13
10)MI-13
9)NC-14
8)OR-6
7)TX-15
6)TX-35


April 12, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that will keep Democrats in the majority. GA is the 51st.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023.

April 11, 2022

Could Democrats retain majority control of the US Senate without GA?

The answer is yes.

Democrats are favored to win-
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumethal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)


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