nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalUS Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 in order to make Manchin and Sinema irrevelant.
GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R) is going to be decided in the 1/2023 general election runoff.
Democrats need to get 51 or 52 seats before GA.
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs another Democrat like in 2016 and 2018.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)/NC(Beasley-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D)/GA(Warnock-D)
Who is more likely to win?
Mandela Barnes(D-WI) or Cheri Beasley(D-NC) or both or neither?
I expect Democrats to win AZ(Kelly-D),GA(Warnock-D),NV(Cortez Masto-D) and PA(Fetterman-D).
OH(Ryan-D) is a bonus seat for Democrats.
Comparing the 2022 OH US Senate Race to the 2010 and 2016 OH US Senate Race.
Portman- The Republican nominee in the 2010 and the 2016 OH US Senate Election is much stronger than all of the Republican candidates in the 2022 OH US Senate Election.
Ryan- The likely Democratic nominee in the 2022 OH US Senate Election is much stronger than Fisher(Democratic nominee in 2010) and Strickland(Democratic nominee in 2016).
If we average the OH US Senate Elections in 2006,2010,2012,2016,2018,and 2022.
+12,-17 +6,-21,+7= -13/5= -2.7
Ryan-D will lose by a 2.5 to 3 percent margin.
Newly elected US Senators in 2022/2023.
AL(Durant-R)
MO-In order for a Democrat(Kunce-D or Sifton-D) to take this seat, Greitens-R needs to be the Republican nominee.
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
OK special(Mullin-R)
PA(Fetterman-D)
VT(Welch-D)
Which 2022 Republican US Senate candidate in NC and OH is weaker? This will determine whether the Democrats win the 2022 US Senate elections in NC and OH?
Democrats guide to a working majority in the US Senate is winning
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Democrats are likely to gain 4 US Senate seats in 2022.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
2022 US Senate Election Prediction- Democrats will definitely gain 0-2 US Senate seats in 2022.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 in order to remain in the majority.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
In lieu of Sinema(AZ) and Manchin(WV)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 are going to be.
37)VT(Welch-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
US Senate seats the Democrats will win in 2022 are
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Profile Information
Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AMNumber of posts: 8,617
