nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalUS House Districts Democrats need to win to remain in the majority.
Democrats lose
1)AZ-2
2,3,4,5) FL CDs
6)GA-6
7)ME-2
8)TN-5
Democratic incumbents who have to leave due to Redistricting
9)CA-9
10)CA-42
11)GA-7
12)IL-6
13)MI-11
14)MI-12
15)TX-34
Democrats will win new CD’s
14)CA-13
13)CO-8
12)IL-3
11)IL-13
10)MI-13
9)NC-14
8)OR-6
7)TX-15
6)TX-35
Democrats will pick up Republican CDs
5)CA-22
4)CA-27
3)CA-45
2)MI-3
1)NM-2
0)NY-1
-1)NY-11
-2)NY-22
-3)OH-1
Democrats lose
-2)AZ-6
-1)IA-3
0)KS-3
1)MI-7
2)NJ-7
3)OH-9
4)PA-7
5)PA-8
6)VA-2
7)WI-3
Democrats will have a net loss of 7 seats.
US Senate Elections in 2022 in the states the Democrats are favored to win.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 in the states that the Democrats will definitely win.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D(
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
US Senate seats up re-election in 2022 in the states that the Democrats will win.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
Who is likely to be the next Governor of VA?
LG Winsome Sears-R
AG Jason Miyares-R
US Representative Elaine Luria-D
US Representative Abigail Spanberger-D
US Representative Jennifer Wexton-D
Democrats currently don’t occupy any statewide elected offices in VA. They narrowly lost every statewide elections in VA in 2021.
US Senate Elections in the states the Democrats are likely to win in 2022.
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D/R general election opponent.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D) in the 1/2023 runoff.
US Senate Elections in 2022 in the states the Democrats are likely to win.
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.
Democratic US Senate candidates in red states that don't have Democratic US Senators.
2024 TX- Colin Allred-D
2026 NC- Jeff Jackson-D
TX and NC are trending to the Democrats.
2016 TX- Trump won by a 9 percent margin.
2020 TX- Trump won by a 5.6 percent margin.
2016 NC- Trump won by a 3.7 percent margin.
2020 NC- Trump won by a 1.4 percent margin.
US Senate Elections in 2022 in the states the Democrats are going to win.
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R.
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023 runoff.
Will the Democrats win the 2022 OK US Senate special election if Pruitt is the Republican nominee?
Pruitt has been in a lot of scandals while serving as Trump’s EPA administrator. The Democratic nominee is former OK-5cd US Congresswoman Kendra Horn. OK-5 is the least Republican leaning district in OK.
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