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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
May 24, 2018

GA Democrats must regain control of the GA State House and State Senate this year, Here is why.

If Stacey Abrams-D gets elected to the GA Governorship this year, she will have to deal with the Republican in the GA State Legislature. A large number of the Republicans currently serving in the GA State Legislature are bigoted. They will do everything to make Stacey Abrams' job governing difficult.

May 22, 2018

How many US House Seats will the Democrats win in 2018?

207- Clinton 2016 Districts.
9(216)- Democratic held Districts Trump carried by a less than 5 percent margin.
3(219)- OPEN Republican held Districts Trump carried by a less than 5 percent margin.
Democratic Incumbents from Districts Trump carried by a margin greater than 5 percent(Petersen-MN-7 and
Cartwright-PA-8)lose re-election.
OPEN Democratic held Districts that Trump carried by a double digit margin MN-1 and MN-8 will go Republican.

May 22, 2018

How Democrats could get 60 US Senate seats in 2020?

2018
Hold onto every Democratic held seat up in 2018 and Pick up AZ(Sinema-D),NV(Rosen-D),and TN(Bredesen-D)+3D 52D 48R
2020
AL(Jones-D) is the only Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2020 that is highly vulnerable and likely to flip against a non controversial GOP challenger. -1D 51D 49R
Democrats need to win 9 Republican held US Senate seats in 2020.
1)AZ special(Kelly-D or Stanton-D)
2)CO(Hickenlooper-D or Perlmutter-D)
3)GA(Evans-D or Reed-D)
4)IA(Vilsack-D or Loebsack-D)
5)ME OPEN(Pingree-D)
6)MT(Bullock-D or Schweitzer-D)
7)NC(Cowell-D or Foxx-D)
8)OK OPEN(Boren-D or Henry-D)
9)WY OPEN(Freudenthal-D)

May 21, 2018

10 US Senate seats likely to flip in 2018,2020,and 2022

2018
1)AZ(OPEN Flake-R)Lean Democratic
2)NV(Heller-R)Slight Democratic
3)TN(OPEN Corker-R)Tossup
4)ND(Heitkamp-D)Slight Democratic
5)IN(Donnelly-D)Slight Democratic
6)MO(McCaskill-D)Slight Democratic
7)FL(Nelson-D)Slight Democratic
8)WV(Manchin-D)Slight Democratic without Blankenship-C, Lean Democratic with Blankenship-C
9)MT(Tester-D)Lean Democratic
10)OH(Brown-D)Lean Democratic
+2 to +3D
2020
1)CO(Gardner-R)Likely Democratic(Hickenlooper-D),Lean Democratic(Perlmutter-D),Slight Democratic(the loser in the 2018 Democratic Primary for Governor)
2)AL(Jones-D)Slight Republican
3)NC(Tillis-R)Slight Democratic
4)AZ special(McCain replacement-R) Slight Democratic
5)ME(OPEN-Collins-R)Slight Democratic
6)MT(Daines-R)Slight Democratic with Bullock-D, Lean Republican without Bullock-D
7)IA(Ernst-R)Tossup with Vilsack-D or Loebsack-D
8)GA(Perdue-R)Slight Republican
9)NH(Shaheen-D)Lean Democratic
10)MI(Peters-D)Lean Democratic
+4 to +5D
2022
1)WI(OPEN Johnson-R)Lean Democratic
2)NC(OPEN Burr-R)Lean Democratic with McCready-D, Slight Democratic without McCready-D
3)PA(Toomey-R)Lean Democratic with Lamb-D, Slight Democratic without Lamb-D
4)IA(OPEN Grassley-R)Tossup with Finkenauer-D, Lean Republican without Finkenauer-D
5)GA(OPEN Isakson-R)Lean Republican
6)MO(Blunt-R)Lean Republican
7)AZ(Democratic Incumbent-D)Lean Democratic
8)NH(Hassan-D)Lean Democratic
9)NV(Cortez Mastro-D)Lean Democratic
10)CO(Bennet-D)Lean Democratic
+3D

May 21, 2018

Democrats guide to 60 US Senate seats.

2018
Hold onto FL(Nelson-D),IN(Donnelly-D),MO(McCaskill-D),MT(Tester-D),ND(Heitkamp-D),OH(Brown-D),WV(Manchin-D),and WI(Baldwin-D)
Pick up AZ(Sinema-D),NV(Rosen-D),and TN(Bredesen-D) +3D 52D 48R
2020
Lose AL(Jones-D)
Pick up AZ special(Stanton-D or Kirkpatrick-D),CO(Hickenlooper-D or Perlmutter-D or Hancock-D),GA(Barrow-D or Reed-D),IA(Vilsack-D or Loebsack-D), ME(Collins-R retires or loses in the primary/Baldacci-D,Pingree-D,or Michaud-D), MT(Bullock-D or Schweitzer-D)and NC(Foxx-D or Stein-D) +6D 58D 42R
2022
Hold onto AZ(winner of 2020 Special election),CO(Bennet-D),NV(Cortez Masto-D),and NH(Hassan-D)
Pick up NC(McCready-D),PA(Lamb-D),and WI(Bryce-D) +3D 61D 39D

May 20, 2018

2020 US Senate Election- Top tier Democratic Nominees for each seat.

AL(Jones-D)
AK(Berkowitz-D)
AZ special(Kelly-D or Stanton-D)
AR(Beebe-D)
CO(Hickenlooper-D or Perlmutter-D)
DE(Coons-D)
GA(Barrow-D)
ID(Minnick-D)
IL(Durbin-D)
IA(Vilsack-D)
KS(Sebelius-D or Davis-D)
KY(Beshear-D)
LA(Mitch Landrieu-D)
ME(Baldacci-D)
MA(Markey-D)
MI(Peters-D)
MN(Smith-D)
MS(Hood-D)
MT(Bullock-D or Schweitzer-D)
NE(Ashford-D)
NH(Shaheen-D)
NJ(Booker-D or Oliver-D)
NM(Udall-D)
NC(Stein-D or Cowell-D)
OK(Henry-D or Boren-D)
OR(Merkley-D)
RI(Reed-D)
SC(Hodges-D)
SD(Herseth Sandlin-D)
TN(Dean-D)
TX(Castro-D)
VA(Warner-D)
WV(Ojeda-D)
WY(Freudenthal-D)

Democrats pick up AZ special,CO,GA,IA,ME,and NC

May 19, 2018

Could the Democratic Primary winner of CO-6 cd(Crow-D or Tillemann-D) run for the US Senate in 2020?

Cory Gardner(R-CO) is the most vulnerable Republican US Senator up for re-election in 2020. The top tier Democratic candidates John Hickenlooper-D and Ed Perlmutter-D are old boring moderates. CO Democrats should nominate a young charismatic progressive. Jason Crow-D is likely to win the Democratic Nomination for the 2018 US House Race in CO-6 and defeat Mike Coffman-R in the November General Election. Jason Crow-D could run for the US Senate in 2020 after 1 term in US House ie (Cotton-AR and Rosen-NV) and Levi Tilleman-D could be the Democratic nominee for the 2020 US House Election in CO-6.

May 18, 2018

2018/2020/2022 US Senate Election Prediction. How Democrats can gain US Senate seats in 18,20,22?

2018
Democrats will pick up AZ(Sinema-D),NV(Rosen-D),and TN(Bredesen-D).
Democrats could pick up TX(O'Rourke-D)
Democrats are in danger of losing IN(Donnelly-D) and ND(Heitkamp-D)
+1D to +4D
2020
Democrats will pick up AZ special,CO,GA,IA,ME(Collins-R retires or loses in the Primary),MT(Bullock-D),and NC.
Democrats could pick up LA(Mitch Landrieu-D) and TX(Joaquin Castro-D)
Democrats are in danger of losing AL(Jones-D)
+6D to +9D
2022
Democrats will pick up FL(Stephanie Murphy-D),GA,IA(Finkenauer-D),LA(Bel Edwards-D),MO(Galloway-D),NC(McCready-D),PA(Lamb-D),and WI(Pocan-D)
+8D

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