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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
July 23, 2017

OJ Simpson is getting out of prison at the beginning of October of this year.

OJ Simpson also got out of jail at the beginning of October of 1995.
Is October OJ's favorite month?
The best thing about OJ being in jail from 2008 to 2017 is conservative Republicans cannot blame Obama for OJ.
OJ Simpson owes 1.44 million in back taxes. How much does Donald Trump owe in back taxes?

July 23, 2017

Candace Cameron's husband may have helped Donald Trump become President.

He is Russian
He and Candace are Conservative Republicans.

July 22, 2017

2018 US Senate Election-Announced Top Tier Democratic and Republican challengers.

Announced Top Tier Democratic challengers.
NV-Rosen-D Lean Democratic
TX-O'Rourke-D Lean Republican
Announced Top Tier Republican challengers.
OH-Mandel-R Lean Democratic
WV-Jenkins-R or Morrisey-R Lean Democratic
Top Tier Democratic challengers who have yet to announce.
AZ-Stanton-D Tossup against Flake-R/Lean Democratic against Ward-R If Stanton-D does not run but the Democrats end up with Friese-D theTuscon Area State Rep that treated Giffords-D, The race will be a Tossup against Flake-R/Slight Lean Democratic against Ward-R. If Friese-D and Stanton-D dont run but Democrats end up with Abboud-D or Russell-D, The race will be Lean Republican against Flake-R/Tossup against Ward-R.
Top Tier Republican challengers who have yet to announce.
FL-Scott-R Lean Democratic/Likely Democratic if someone else.
IN-Messer-R or Rokita-R Tossup/Lean Democratic if someone else.
ME-LePage-R Likely Independent/Solid Independent if someone else.
MI-Upton-R Likely Democratic/Solid Democratic if someone else.
MO-Hawley-R,Kinder-R,Lutekemeyer-R,or Schmitt-R Tossup/Lean Democratic if someone else.
MT-Rosendale-R or Stapleton-R Tossup/Lean Democratic if someone else.
NM-Berry-R or Sanchez-R Likely Democratic/Solid Democratic if someone else.
ND-Berg-R or Cramer-R Tossup/Lean Democratic if someone else.
PA-Barletta-R or Kelly-R Lean Democratic/Likely Democratic if someone else.
Kaine(D-VA) and Baldwin (D-WI) are unlikely to face opposition from a top tier Republican challenger.
2020
Top Tier Republican challengers
MI-Bishop-R or Trott-R Lean Democratic
MN-Lewis-R or Paulsen-R Lean Democratic
NH-Sununu-R Lean Democratic
VA-Comstock-R or Taylor Lean Democratic.
Top Tier Democratic challengers
AZ Special- Kelly-D or Sinema-D Lean Democratic.
CO-Hancock-D or Hickenlooper-D Lean Democratic.
GA-Reed-D Lean Republican
MT-Bullock-D Tossup
NC-Foxx-D Tossup
TX-Castro-D Lean Republican





July 22, 2017

The US Senate should censure Donald Trump because a censure is a slap in the wrist.

It says-You're a bad boy Donald Trump, You're a naughty boy Donald Trump. The American people knows that Donald Trump is a naughty bad boy. I am going to speak on behalf of the people in my home state that Donald Trump is even a nasty naughty bad boy.

July 22, 2017

2018 and 2020 US Senate Election cycle could be like 2006 and 2008 US Senate Election cycle.

Democrats will regain control of the US Senate in 2018 by holding onto every Democratic held seat including IN,MO,MT,ND,OH,and WV and pick up AZ(Stanton),NV(Rosen),and TX(O'Rourke)-which will be the Macaca race.
Democrats will expand their majority in the US Senate in 2020 by holding onto every Democratic held seat including MI,MN,NH,and VA and pick up AZ special(Sinema),CO(Hickenlooper),GA (Reed),IA (Vilsack),KY (Beasher),ME (Pingree),MT (Bullock),NC (Foxx),and TX (Castro) to get to 60 seats.

July 22, 2017

2018 US Senate Election-Most Vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats.

Most Vulnerable Democratic held seats.
MO (McCaskill-D) vs Hawley-R
IN (Donnelly-D) vs Messer-R
OH (Brown-D) vs Mandel-R
WV (Manchin-D) vs Morrisey-R
ND (Heitkamp-D) vs Cramer-R
MT (Tester-D) vs Rosendale-R
FL (Nelson-D) vs Scott-R
WI (Baldwin-D) vs Hovde-R
Most Vulnerable Republican held seats
NV (Heller-R) vs Rosen-D
AZ (Flake-R) vs Stanton-D
TX (Cruz-R) vs O'Rourke-D
In 2018 Democrats lose MO and IN and pick up NV and AZ 48D 52R
In 2020 Democrats hold onto most vulnerable seats in MI,NH,and VA and pick up CO,AZ-Special,and NC.



July 21, 2017

2018 NJ US Senate Race-Menendez-D goes on trial for bribery after Labor Day this year.

If the trial ends with an acquittal, Menendez-D will have to first go through a tough Democratic Primary Challenge. If Menendez-D wins the Democratic nomination, he is favored to win in the general.
If the trial ends with a conviction after the June 2018 Primary in which Menendez-D has won. NJ State Democratic Party will replace Menendez-D on the ballot with whoever incoming Governor Murphy-D appoints to the US Senate.
If the trial ends with a conviction after Christie-R leaves the Governorship and Murphy-D is sworn in. Murphy-D appoints successor. That person is likely to be favored to win in the primary and general.
If the trial ends with a conviction before Christie-R leaves the Governorship and Christie-R appoints successor. The successor will have to run in a special election which is likely to take place between January 2018(primary) and March 2018 (general)(The Special election to replace Lautenberg-D took place 4 months after Lautenberg's death)
We have to hope that Menendez-D does not resign or get expelled from the US Senate until after Murphy-D becomes Governor.

July 20, 2017

US Rep Mark Amodei(R-NV) is one of the US House Republicans angry at the US Senate for not passing

the American Health Careless Act aka Trumpcare. Any chance Amodei runs for the US Senate in 2018 to challenge Heller in the Republican Primary? Angle could succeed Amodei-R in the US House.

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