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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AM
Number of posts: 7,894

Journal Archives

2018 US House Election-Congressional Districts Democrats need to win in 2018.

1)AZ-2 (McSally-R)
2)CA-10 (Denham-R)
3)CA-21 (Valdao-R)
4)CA-25 (Knight-R)
5)CA-39 (Royce-R)
6)CA-48 (Rohrabacher-R)
7)CA-49 (Issa-R)
8)CO-6 (Coffman-R)
9)FL-26 (Curbelo-R)
10)FL-27 ( Ros-Lehtinen-R)
11)GA-6 (Handel-R)
12)IA-1 (Blum-R)
13)IA-3 (Young-R)
14)KS-3 (Yoder-R)
15)ME-2 (Poliquin-R)
16)MI-8 (Bishop-R)
17)MI-11 (Trott-R)
18)MN-2 (Lewis-R)
19)MN-3 (Paulsen-R)
20)MT-AL (Gianforte-R)
21)NE-2 (Bacon-R)
22)NJ-7 (Lance-R)
23)NY-19 (Faso-R)
24)NY-22 (Tenney-R)
25)PA-6 (Costello-R)
26)PA-8 (Fitzpatrick-R)
27)PA-16 (Smucker-R)
28)TX-7 (Culberson-R)
29)TX-23 (Hurd-R)
30)VA-10 (Comstock-R)
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Jul 9, 2017, 10:51 AM (0 replies)

2018 US Senate Election

Democratic Held Seats
CA (Feinstein-D)Solid Democratic-if Feinstein-D faces a progressive Democrat in the November General Election-Feinstein is vulnerable.
CT (Murphy-D)Solid Democratic
DE (Carper-D)Solid Democratic-if Carper retires-Democrats are favored to win.
FL (Nelson-D)Lean/Likely Democratic
HI (Hirono-D)Solid Democratic
IN (Donnelly-D)Lean Democratic -Donnelly's 2018 Republican opponent can be just like his 2012 Republican opponent.
ME (King-I/D)Solid Independent/Democratic
MD (Cardin-D)Solid Democratic-if Cardin retires-Democrats are favored to win.
MA (Warren-D)Solid Democratic
MI (Stabenow-D)Likely Democratic
MN (Klobuchar-D)Solid Democratic
MO (McCaskill-D)Lean Democratic-McCaskill's 2018 Republican opponent can be just like her 2012 Republican opponent.
MT (Tester-D)Lean Democratic
NJ (Menendez-D)Likely/Solid Democratic-Menendez-D will likely resign from the US Senate early 2018.
NM (Heinrich-D)Likely Democratic
NY (Gillibrand-D)Solid Democratic
ND (Heitkamp-D)Lean Democratic
OH (Brown-D)Lean Democratic
PA (Casey-D)Likely Democratic
RI (Whitehouse-D)Solid Democratic
VT (Sanders-I/D)Solid Independent/Democratic
VA (Kaine-D)Likely Democratic
WA (Cantwell-D)Solid Democratic
WV (Manchin-D)Lean/Likely Democratic
WI (Baldwin-D)Lean/Likely Democratic
Republican Held Seats
AZ (Flake-R)Tossup/Lean Republican if Flake-R is the Republican nominee, Lean Democratic if Ward-R is the Republican nominee.
MS (Wicker-R)Solid Republican
NE(Fischer-R)Solid Republican
NV (Heller-R)Tossup/Lean Democratic
TN (Corker-R)Solid Republican-if Corker-R retires -Republicans are favored to win.
TX (Cruz-R)Lean Republican
UT (Hatch-R)Likely Republican
WY (Barrasso-R)Solid Republican
Democrats will end up with 49 to 50 seats after 2018 elections.
2020 will be the year Democrats regain control of the US Senate.
Democratic incumbents Franken (D-MN),Shaheen (D-NH),Booker (D-NJ),Udall (D-NM) and Warner (D-VA) will win in 2020 by a wider margin than in 2014. Democrats will pick up CO (Gardner-R) and NC (Tillis-R)
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Jul 9, 2017, 09:21 AM (0 replies)

Jacky Rosen (D-NV) is running for the US Senate in 2018 after serving one term in the US House

Tom Cotton (R-AR) and Steve Daines (R-MT) are the two current US Senators that became US Senator after serving one term in the US House.
Incoming US House Members likely to run for the US Senate in 2020
Joe Neguse (D-CO)vs Cory Gardner (R-CO)
Abby Finkenauer (D-IA) vs Joni Ernst (R-IA)

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jul 8, 2017, 09:15 PM (1 replies)

2018 CO Governors Race and 2020 CO US Senate Race-Who is likely to be the Democratic nominee?

2018 CO Governors Race
1)Cary Kennedy?
2)Ed Perlmutter?
3)Jared Polis?
2020 CO US Senate Race
1)John Hickenlooper?
2)2nd place finisher in the 2018 Democratic primary for CO-Governor (Cary Kennedy,Ed Perlmutter,or Jared Polis)?
3)Joe Salazar-Democratic nominee for the 2018 CO Attorney Generals Race? If Salazar becomes Attorney General-he'd be a US Senate candidate, If Salazar does not become Attorney General-he should run for US House in 2020 in CO-6 Congressional District against Mike Coffman-R assuming Coffman gets re-elected again.
4)Michael Hancock-Mayor of Denver?
5)Joe Neguse-incoming US Representative of CO-2nd Congressional District and Democratic nominee for 2014 CO Secretary of State Election?
6)Andy Kerr-incoming US Representative of CO-7th Congressional District and former CO State Senator and State Representative?
7)Jason Crow-incoming US Representative of CO-6th Congressional District?
Neguse,Kerr,or Crow can be the Jacky Rosen of CO- 1st term US House Members running for the US Senate.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jul 8, 2017, 05:27 PM (0 replies)

Are Trump State Democratic incumbent US Senators up for re-election in 2018 more popular than Trump?

Nelson-FL,Donnelly-IN,Stabenow-MI,McCaskill-MO,Tester-MT,Heitkamp-ND,Brown-OH,Casey-PA,Manchin-WV and Baldwin-WI.
None of the Democratic incumbent US Senators are going to get defeated.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jul 8, 2017, 04:12 PM (0 replies)

Wealthy business owners that get financial assistance from the government-huge tax cuts need to be

treated the same like poor people on food stamps. If Republican members of Congress want food stamp recipients to urinate in a cup, they should require tax cut or government bailout recipients to do the same thing.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jul 8, 2017, 03:57 PM (5 replies)

Big city Mayors running for the US Senate in 2018/2020.

AK-2020 -Anchorage Mayor Ethan Berkowitz-D vs Dan Sullivan-R
AZ-2018- Phoenix Mayor Greg Stanton-D vs Jeff Flake-R
CO-2020-Denver Mayor Michael Hancock-D vs Cory Gardner-R
GA-2020-Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed-D vs David Perdue-R
LA-2020-New Orleans Mayor-Mitch Landrieu-D vs Bill Cassidy-R
NC-2020-Charlotte Mayor Jennifer Roberts-D vs Thom Tillis-R



Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jul 8, 2017, 03:26 PM (2 replies)

Current or Former Democratic Governors running for the US Senate in Republican held seats in 2020.

AK (Sullivan-R) Walker-I/D
CO (Gardner-R) Hickenlooper-D
IA (Ernst-R) Vilsack-D
MT (Daines-R) Bullock-D
OK (Inhofe-R) Henry-D
WY(Enzi-R) Freudenthal-D

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jul 8, 2017, 10:10 AM (3 replies)

2018/2020 US Senate Election- 2020 will be the year Democrats regain control of the US Senate.

2018-
The best case scenario for Democrats is holding onto all highly vulnerable Democratic held seats and picking up AZ-if Flake-R loses in the Republican primary or a top tier Democratic candidate runs, and NV. 50D 50R Pence breaking the tie vote.
The worse case scenario for Democrats is losing IN and picking up NV. 48D 52R.
2020- Democrats need a net gain of 2 or 3 seats- depending on who wins the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats will hold onto every Democratic held seats and pick up CO,ME-if Collins-R retires or loses in the Republican primary and NC.
Winning AZ (Mark Kelly or Greg Stanton) and NV (Jacky Rosen) in 2018 and Winning CO (whoever comes in 2nd place in the 2018 Democratic primary for Governor or soon to be 2nd CD US Rep Joe Neguse) and NC (Janet Cowell or Josh Stein) in 2020 will get Democrat in the majority in the US Senate.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jul 8, 2017, 09:35 AM (2 replies)

2018 UT US Senate Race-Mrs. Hatch does not want Orrin to run again for another 6 year term.

Should Orrin listen to the Mrs. Hatch?
If Orrin runs again, will Mrs. Hatch support Orrin or will she back Evan McMullin?
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Jul 7, 2017, 10:43 PM (3 replies)
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