nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalHow many counties in DE will Lisa Blunt Rochester and Joe Biden will win in 2024 with over
60 percent of the popular vote.
New Castle County.
Biden and Blunt Rochester loses Sussex County.
Biden and Blunt Rochester wins Kent County with less than 55 percent of the popular vote.
The 2024 OH US Senate Election will be like the 1988 OH US Senate Election.
In the 1988 OH US Presidential Election George H.W. Bush-R defeated Michael Dukakis-D by(55-44). In the 1988 OH US Senate Election Howard Metzenbaum-D defeated George Voinovich-R by(57-42).
In the 2024 OH US Presidential Election Joe Biden-D loses to Donald Trump-R by(47-52)
In the 2024 OH US Senate Election Sherrod Brown-D defeats Frank LaRose-R by (54-45).
Is Jon Ossoff-GA going to be the longest serving US Senator in history assuming he survives a
challenge from Brian Kemp.
Ossoff was elected to the US Senate in 2020 at the age of 33. He wins re-election in 2026,plus another 7 or 8 terms.
Who will be OH's next US Senator?
Sherrod Brown-D wins re-election next year.
JD Vance-R is up for re-election in 2028. There are 2 Democratic US House members from OH that are strong candidates for statewide office in OH in 2028. Greg Landsman-D and Emilia Sykes-D. I will pick Landsman because he comes from a safer Democratic District and is 10 years older than Sykes. Landsman was born in 1976, Sykes was born in 1986.
Sherrod Brown is not expected to be in the US Senate until he leaves in a body bag. He is going to be 72 years old in 2024. The latest Sherrod Brown leaves is in 2042 or 2048 if he wants to be in the US Senate after 90 years old.
Greg Landsman runs against JD Vance in 2028.
Emilia Sykes runs to replace Sherrod Brown in 2036.
JD Vance-OH will be the 2nd most vulnerable Republican US Senator up for re-election in 2028 after Ron Johnson-WI and Budd-NC.
Johnson’s 2028 Democratic opponent will be either Lt Governor Sara Rodriguez,Secretary of State Sarah Godlewski,or Attorney General Josh Kaul. Either of them will be the next US Senator from WI.
Buddy’s 2028 Democratic opponent will be Jeff Jackson.
The Democratic nominee for the 2028 US Senate Elections in FL,IA,MO,NC,OH,SC,and WI.
FL(Jared Moskowitz-D)
IA(Rob Sand-D)
MO(Quinton Lucas-D)
NC(Jeff Jackson-D)
OH(Emilia Sykes-D)
SC(Joe Cunningham-D)
WI(Sarah Godlewski-D)
Who will be the next Governor of CO?
Phil Weiser-D?
Jena Griswold-D?
Joe Neguse-D?
Jason Crow-D?
Jon Tester's performance in all of his MT US Senate Races.
2006 against Conrad Burns-R (49.16-48.29)
2012 against Denny Rehberg-R(48.58-44.86)
2018 against Matt Rosendale-R(50.33-46.78)
2024
Tester-D/51
Sheehy-R/49
Who is going to be Sherrod Brown's US Senate Sucessor?
Frank LaRose-R,Bernie Moreno-R,or Matt Dolan-R in 2024 or
Greg Landsman-D or Emilia Sykes-D in 2030 or 2036.
If Gallego-AZ,Slotkin-MI,Kunce-MO,Tester-MT,Rosen-NV,Brown-OH,Allred-TX,and Baldwin-WI win in 2024,
Which of them will win another term in 2030?
Gallego-AZ
Slotkin-MI
Rosen-NV
Baldwin-WI
Which of them will lose re-election in 2030?
Kunce-MO
Tester-MT,Brown-OH,and Allred-TX fate depends on the Republican nominee. If Brown-OH does not seek re-election in 2030, US Representatives Greg Landsman or Emilia Sykes will suceed Brown. If Tester-MT does not seek re-election in 2030, He will be succeed by a Republican.
2024 is likely to be Sherrod Brown's last election because I believe he will retire in 2030.
Sherrod Brown has been in elected office since 1974.
OH State House of Representative from 1975-1983.
OH Secretary of State from 1983-1991
US House of Representative from 1993-2007
US Senator since 2007.
Brown will have to face another tough re-election campaign in 2030. During Brown’s political career, Brown has lost 1 election, Re-election to a 3rd term for OH Secretary of State in 1990 against Bob Taft III. Republicans will win every other statewide election in OH in 2030 by a high single/low double digit margin.
Sherrod Brown is the OH version as Russ Feingold and Bernie Moreno is the OH version of Ron Johnson and OH is more Republican than WI. Feingold a progressive US Senator lost re-election to a 4th US Senate term to a wealthy conservative tea party MAGA businessman.
Feingold’s last US Senate election that he won was in 2004 against Tim Michels by an 11 percent margin. The Brown-D vs Moreno-R election will also be like the Feingold-D vs Michels-R election.
Sherrod Brown does not seek re-election in 2030 and allows Greg Landsman or Emilia Sykes to be the Democratic nomine for Brown’s US Senate seat.
Emilia Sykes won a R+1 US House District by a 5.4 percent margin.
Greg Landsman won a D+2 US House District by a 5.6 percent margin.
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