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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
July 28, 2023

Andy Beasher should run for Mitch McConnell's US Senate seat which is up in 2026!

Andy Beasher will win re-election to a 2nd term for KY Governor this year. He is unable to run again in 2027 due to term limits. Beasher’s Lt Governor Jacqueline Coleman will be the front runner. Beasher can give Coleman the incumbency advantage if he becomes US Senator.

July 27, 2023

Which US Senators are going to leave in 2030?

FL-(Rick Scott-R) Maxwell Frost-D
HI-(Mazie Hirono-D)Jill Tokuda-D
ME-(Angus King-I)Jared Golden-D
MA-(Elizabeth Warren-D)Ayanna Pressley-D
MS-(Roger Wicker-R)Trent Kelly-R
NJ-(Robert Menendez-D)Robert Menendez-D due support in Newark and Jersey City.
OH-(Sherrod Brown-D)Emilia Sykes-D
TX-(Ted Cruz-R)Greg Casar-D
UT-(Mitt Romney-R) Blake Moore-R
VT-(Bernie Sanders-I)Becca Balint-D
WV-(Jim Justice-R) Riley Moore Capito-R
WY(John Barrasso-R)Harriet Hageman-R


July 27, 2023

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2026 and 2028 NC US Senate Election?

2026- Don Davis-D,Wiley Nickel-D,or Jeff Jackson-D.
2028- Don Davis-D,Wiley Nickel-D or Jeff Jackson-D.




July 26, 2023

Which Democrat is likely to challenge Ron Johnson-R in the 2028 WI US Senate Election?

Sara Rodriguez-D?
Sarah Godlewski-D?
Josh Kaul-D?

If Mandela Barnes were to get back into electoral politics, He runs for Gwen Moore’s US House seat.

July 26, 2023

Which GA US Senator is more vulnerable in losing re-election? Ossoff-D in 2026? Warnock-D in 2028?

Ossoff-D and Warnock-D were both elected to the US Senate in 2020 by winning the General Election Runoff by a narrow margin. Warnock-D narrowly defeated Herschel Walker-R in the General Election Runoff.
Ossoff-D is up for re-election in 2026. Ossoff’s toughest opponent is Brian Kemp-R(2 term Governor of GA) I believe the outcome of the 2026 GA US Senate Election will be decided in the runoff election.
Warnock is up for re-election in 2028. Warnock has more benefits in 2028 than Ossoff has in 2026. 2026 is a midterm election year while 2028 is a Presidential election year. The Democratic nominee for President in 2028 is likely to win the popular vote in GA. Warnock is unlikely to face a top tier Republican challenger like Brian Kemp. If Kemp wants to be US Senator. Kemp will run in 2026. 2028 is a Presidential Election year. Kemp is more likely to run for President than the US Senate. Warnock’s likely Republican opponent will be Marjorie Taylor Greene.

Raphael Warnock-D vs Marjorie Taylor Greene-R race in 2028 will be exciting.

July 25, 2023

My prediction of the 2024,2026,and 2028 US Senate Elections.

2024-Democrats lose 1 seat(WV-Manchin-D)
Democrats hold onto
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
PA(Casey-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
ME(King-I)
NM(Heinrich-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
HI(Hirono-D)
CA(Schiff-D/Porter-D)

2026- Democrats gain 1 seat(NC- Jackson-D or Nickel-D)
Democrats will hold onto
GA(Ossoff-D)
MI(Peters-D)
MN(Smith-D)
VA(Warner-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
NH(Shaheen-D)
CO(Hickenlooper-D)
OR(Merkley
NJ(Booker-D)
IL(Durbin-D)
DE(Coons-D)
RI(Reed-D)
MA(Markey-D)

2028- Democrats gain 2 seats(NC- Jackson-D or Nickel-D and WI- Rodriguez-D or Godlewski-D)
Democrats will hold onto
GA(Warnock-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
WA(Murray-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
VT(Welch-D)
HI(Schatz-D)

July 24, 2023

How much would NM US Senator Ben Ray Lujan win by in 2026?

Lujan-D was elected to the US Senate to succeed Tom Udall in 2020 by a 6 percent margin against Mark Ronchetti-R who later ran for Governor in 2022 against Michelle Lujan Grisham-D. Ronchetti-R lost to Lujan Grisham-D in the 2022 NM Governors Race by a 6 percent margin. Would Lujan-D win re-election in 2020 by a double digit margin?

July 23, 2023

Democratic Nominee for the 2026 CO US Senate and Governors Election.

US Senate- Hickenlooper-D decides not to seek re-election. Polis-D decides not to run.
Governor- Polis-D is not allowed to run due to term limits.
Current Attorney General Phil Weiser-D,Current Secretary of State Jena Griswold-D,and Current Treasurer Dave Young-D cannot seek re-election to their current positions due to term limits. Weiser and Griswold are most likely to run for Governor.
US Representatives Joe Neguse-D,Jason Crow-D,and Brittany Pettersen-D are most likely to run for the US Senate.

Jena Griswold for Governor
Joe Neguse for US Senator.

July 23, 2023

Battleground US Senate Elections in 2026.

CO(OPEN Hickenlooper-D)
GA(Ossoff-D)
IA(Ernst-R)
ME(Collins-R)if Golden-D is the Democratic nominee.
MI(Peters-D)
MN(Smith-D)
NH(OPEN Shaheen-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
NC(Tillis-R)
TX(Cornyn-R)
VA(OPEN Warner-D)

July 23, 2023

Could NC be a blue state in 2024?

Joe Biden-D wins the popular vote in NC by a less than 2.5 percent margin.
Josh Stein-D gets elected to the NC Governorship.
Rachel Hunt-D gets elected to the NC Lt Governorship.
Jeff Jackson-D gets elected to the NC Attorney Generals office.
Elaine Marshall-D gets re-elected to the NC Secretary of States office.
Beth Wood-D gets re-elected to the NC Auditors office.
Wesley Harris-D gets elected to the NC Treasurer’s office.

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