nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalAre the Republican candidates for the 2024 OH US Senate Election(LaRose,Dolan,and Moreno) stronger
or weaker than Vance,Mandel, and Rennacci?
Brown-D won re-election by a 6 percent margin against Mandel-R in 2012.
Brown-D won re-election by a 7 percent margin against Rennacci-R in 2018.
Vance-R was elected by a 6 percent margin against against Ryan-D in 2022.
Every Republican statewide elected officials in OH from DeWine to LaRose won re-election by a landslide margin and none of these Democratic challengers were top tier like Ryan,Cordray,Sutton,and Space. How would the OH Democrats have done statewide in 2022 had Zack Space been the Democratic nominee for Governor?
If Mark Udall-CO won re-election in 2014, Would he and his cousin Tom Udall-NM ran for re-election
in 2020?
2008
Tom NM won by a landslide margin.
Mark CO won by a low double digit margin.
2014
Mark-CO narrowly lost
Tom-NM won by a low double digit margin.
2020
Tom-NM decided not to seek re-election.
It would be great had Mark and Tom been currently serving in the US Senate.
Another US Senator we should look at is Mark Warner-VA.
Warner-VA was elected in 2008 by a landslide margin, narrowly re-elected in 2014, and re-elected by a low double digit margin in 2020.
Kay Hagan-NC had sadly died before the 2020 elections. If Hagan won re-election in 2014, Governor Roy Cooper-D would select Hagan’s replacement.
Will 2024 be Sherrod Brown's last US Senate campaign or will Brown run again in 2030 if he wins?
2024- Sherrod Brown is facing a tough re-election US Senate Race. He has a 50 percent chance of winning.
2030- assuming Brown wins re-election in 2024, Brown will have to decide whether to run for a 5th term. Brown will be 78 years old which is how old John Glenn and Howard Metzenbaum were when they left. 2030 can be a midterm election year with a Democratic President.
Who is the best candidate for Democrats in the 2024 FL US Senate Election?
Debbie Mucarsel Powell?
Shevrin Jones?
Mucarsel Powell and Jones have expressed interest in running.
Shevrin Jones is a gay black Democratic state legislature that represents Miami Dade/Broward County.
Mucarsel Powell is a former Latino female Democratic US Representative from Miami Dade County.
Red state Democratic nominees for the US Senate in 2024 that have a strong chance of winning.(Tilt/Lean)
MT(Jon Tester-D) vs Tim Sheehy-R or Matt Rosendale-R
OH(Sherrod Brown-D) vs Frank LaRose-R or Bernie Moreno-R or Matt Dolan-R
TX(Colin Allred-D) vs Ted Cruz-R
FL(Debbie Mucarsel Powell-D or Shevrin Jones-D) vs Rick Scott-R.
MO(Lucas Kunce-D) vs Josh Hawley-R
Democrats are most likely going to win(Lean/Likely)
AZ(Gallego-D with or without Sinema-I) Sinema should run for POTUS on the No Labels Ticket.
WI(Baldwin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
PA(Casey-D)
Democrats will definitely win(Likely/Safe)
CA(Schiff-D and Porter-D will be the General Election candidates.)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I/D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I/D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2024 by a landslide to a tossup margin.
CA(Schiff-D vs Porter-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
OH(Brown-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
MT(Tester-D)
TX(Allred-D)
Which US Senate seat up for re-election in 2024 do the Democrats have a better chance of winning?
FL(Mucarsel Powell-D) or MO(Kunce-D)?
FL is less Republican than MO at the Presidential Level but Kunce-MO is a stronger candidate than Mucarsel Powell-FL.
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that the Democrats will win by a solid to slight margin.
CA(Schiff-D vs Porter-D) D vs D general election matchup
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I or Balint-D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
Will Gillibrand recieve more than 60 percent of the popular vote in 2024 NY US Senate Election?
In 2022, Schumer won re-election with 56 percent of the popular vote compared to 71 percent he received in 2016.
Gillibrand has won all her NY US Senate Races by more than 60 percent of the popular vote.
What type of poll is the USAToday/Suffolk University poll? Is it Democratic Leaning or Independent?
This poll was recently conducted for the 2024 OH US Senate Election.
Brown-D is leading Moreno-R by 7 percent(48.4-41.2)
Brown-D is leading Dolan-R by 3 percent(46.2-42.8)
Brown-D is leading LaRose-R by a less than 1 percent margin(45-44.6)
The Republican nominee is going to be Moreno because he has the most money and is the most conservative.
The red state Democratic incumbent US Senators in MT(Tester-D) and OH(Brown-D) are going to win re-election in 2024.
Democrats are going to win
AZ-Gallego-D vs Lake-R vs Sinema-I
MI-Slotkin-D vs Huizenga-R or Craig-R or Snyder-R
MT- Tester-D vs Sheehy-R or Rosendale-R
NV- Rosen-D vs Brown-R or Marchant-R
OH- Brown-D vs Moreno-R or LaRose-R
PA- Casey-D vs McCormick-R
WI- Baldwin-D vs Clarke-R or Hovde-R or Tiffany-R.
TX(Allred-D vs Cruz-R) is a Tossup.
Kunce(D-MO) loses to Hawley(R-MO) by a high single digit margin.
Which 2024 Democratic US Senate Nominee is going to win by a wider margin? Brown(OH) or Tester(MT)
Brown(OH) won his US Senate Races by
12 percent in 2006,
6 percent in 2012,
7 percent in 2018.
Tester(MT) won his US Senate Races by
1 percent in 2006
4 percent in 2012
4 percent in 2018.
In 2016,
Trump won MT by a 20.42 percent margin.
Trump won OH by a 8.13 percent margin.
In 2020
Trump won MT by a 16.37 percent margin.
Trump won OH by a 8.03 percent margin.
Trump’s margin of victory in MT decreased by 4.05 percent from 2016 to 2020 compared to OH which decreased by .1 percent.
I expect both Brown(OH) and Tester(MT) to win by a 5 percent margin.
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I/D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I/D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Cantwell-D)
PA(Casey-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
Profile Information
Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AMNumber of posts: 8,617