nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalMaryland US Congressional Delegation after 2024.
US Senate
Chris Van Hollen-D
Angela Alsobrooks-D
US House
1)Andy Harris-R
2)Dutch Ruppersberger-D or John Olszewski-D
3)John Sarbanes-D
4)Glenn Ivey-D
5)Steny Hoyer-D or Jazz Lewis-D
6)Lesley Lopez-D or Joe Vogel-D
7)Kweisi Mfume-D
8)Jamie Raskin-D
Jazz Lewis is favored to win the Democratic nomination for the 2024 MD-5 US House Election if Steny Hoyer does not run.
Jazz Lewis was a community organizer
worked for Steny Hoyer as field director,executive director,and senior policy advisor,
When Lewis tried to run for the US House in 2022 from MD-5, Hoyer endorsed Lewis before Lewis dropped out.
currently the MD House Democratic Whip.
will be the 1st black US House member from MD-5
In MD-6 it will be Lesley Lopez or Joe Vogel. Lopez will be the first female US House Member from MD since Donna Edwards left in 2017 and from MD-6 since Beverly Byron left in 1993.
Joe Vogel will be the 2nd youngest US House Member- 1 week older than Maxwell Frost of FL.
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2024 by a solid to slight margin.
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I/D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I/D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2024 from a landslide to narrow margin.
CA(Schiff-D vs Porter-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I/D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I/D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
MT(Tester-D)
OH(Brown-D)
Who is more likely to get elected to the US Senate? Sheehy(R-MT) or Moreno(R-OH)?
MT and OH are red states with popular Democratic incumbents(Tester-MT and Brown-OH).
The Democratic majority in the US Senate will come down to those seats.
Democrats will lose WV(Manchin-D).
Democrats will will narrowly win AZ(Gallego-D),MI(Slotkin-D),NV(Rosen-D) and WI(Baldwin-D)
Democrats need to win both MT and OH to remain in the majority.
Sheehy(R-MT) and Moreno(R-OH) are gaffe prone which helps the Democrats.
Alsobrooks is the only female seeking the Democratic nomination for 2024 MD US Senate Election.
The only female Democratic statewide elected officials in MD are Aruna Miller and Brooke Lierman.
Female Democratic County Executive in MD other than Alsobrooks is Jessica Fitzwater of Frederick County.
We can send a Democratic female to the US House of Representatives in MD if Lesley Lopez is the Democratic nominee for MD-6 and if Steny Hoyer does not seek re-election, Monique Anderson Walker in MD-5. Monique Anderson Walker was Peter Franchot’s runningmate for the 2022 Democratic Primary Election for MD Governor.
In the Democratic Primary, Alsobrooks will win-
Anne Arundel
Baltimore
Baltimore City
Charles
Howard
Montgomery
Prince George’s
In the General Election, Alsobrooks will win-
Anne Arundel
Baltimore
Baltimore City
Charles
Frederick
Kent
Howard
Montgomery
Prince George’s
Talbot
These are the counties Biden,Moore,and Van Hollen carried.
Anthony Brown lost Talbot in the MD Attorney General’s Election.
Brooke Lierman lost Kent and Talbot in the MD Comptroller’s Election.
Which US Senate Seat up for re-election in 2024 is going to be the Democrats 51st seat?
TX(Allred-D) or MO(Kunce-D)
Democrats are favored to win
CA(Schiff-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I/D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I/D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
MT(Tester-D)
OH(Brown-D)
TX(Allred-D)
MO(Kunce-D)
Which 2024 US Senate Elections that the Democrats could lose by a single digit margin.
TX(Colin Allred-D vs Ted Cruz-R)
MO(Lucas Kunce-D vs Josh Hawley-R)
FL(Alan Grayson-D vs Rick Scott-R)
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Senate Elections in AZ,MI,MT,NV,OH,PA,and WI?
AZ- Kari Lake or Blake Masters.
MI- Nikki Snyder or James Craig.
MT- Tim Sheehy or Matt Rosendale.
NV- Sam Brown or Jim Marchant.
OH- Bernie Moreno or Frank LaRose.
PA- David McCormick or Mehmet Oz.
WI- David Clarke,Eric Hovde,or Tom Tiffany.
Who are the MI Democratic US House Delegation going to support in the 2024 MI US Senate Election?
Haley Stevens is endorsing Elissa Slotkin.
Hillary Scholten,Debbie Dingell,Dan Kildee and Andy Levin are likely to endorse Slotkin.
The question is who will Rashida Tlaib,Brenda Lawrence, and Shri Thanedar going to endorse.
In MD, Angela Alsobrooks has endorsements from 1/2 of the MD Democratic US House Delegation in the 2024 MD Democratic Primary Race for the US Senate.
Steny Hoyer
Kweisi Mfume
Glenn Ivey’s wife and son are endorsing Alsobrooks. Glenn Ivey will join them.
Jamie Raskin and John Sarbanes are most likely going to endorse Alsobrooks.
Dutch Ruppersberger could go either way.
Garlin Gilchrist(D-MI) should seek the Democratic nomination for the 2024 MI US Senate Election.
Garlin Gilchrist will be the 4th Black Democratic candidate for the 2024 MI US Senate Election whose first letter of the first name is the same as the first letter of the last name.
Hill Harper,Leslie Love,Pamela Pugh,and Garlin Gilchrist.
Garlin Gilchrist is a 2 term Lt Governor who has a strong political base in Detroit,MI. The Democratic nominee in the 2022 US Senate Election in PA(John Fetterman-D) and WI(Mandela Barnes-D) were Lt Governors when they won the Democratic nomination for the 2022 US Senate Election. MI is more Democratic than WI and PA. Mandela Barnes lost to Ron Johnson(a two term Republican incumbent) by a less than 1 percent margin.
The Republican nominee is either going to be-
Nikki Snyder
James Craig
Bill Huizenga
Pete Meijer
Mike Rogers
Bill Schuette
Gilchrist is a much stronger candidate than Snyder,Craig,Huizenga,Meijer,Rogers,and Schuette.
Gilchrist will face a tough challenge for the Democratic nomination in the 2026 MI Gubernatorial Election against Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson and Attorney General Dana Nessel.
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