nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalMargin of victory of Democratic US Senators in 2016.
HI(Schatz-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
WA(Murray-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
Schumer(NY),Blumenthal(CT),and Duckworth(IL) margin of victory will be reduced.
Bennet(CO),Hassan(NH),Kelly(AZ) and Warnock(GA) margin of victory will be expanded.
The class of 2022 Democratic and Republican US Senators.
Democratic
VT(Welch-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
FL(Demings-D)
Republican
OK special(Mullin-R)
MO(Schmitt-R)
AL(Britt-R)
If we go by seniority.
Mullin(R-OK) is running in a special election so he will be seated before 1/2023.
Ryan(D-OH) has been in the US House since 2003.
Welch(D-VT) has been in the US House since 2007.
Demings(D-FL) has been in the US House since 2017.
Fetterman(D-PA) PA has 17 congressional districts.
Beasley(D-NC) NC has 14 congressional districts.
Barnes(D-WI)
Schmitt(R-MO)
Britt(R-AL)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will definitely win.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will win.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats are favored according to 538.
538
37)HI(Schatz-D)65-30
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)65-35
39)VT(Welch-D)62-33
40)CA(Padilla-D)63-37
41)NY(Schumer-D)60-37
42)OR(Wyden-D)57-38
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)57-40
44)IL(Duckworth-D)56-40
45)WA(Murray-D)57-43
46)CO(Bennet-D)53-43
47)NH(Hassan-D)52-46
48)AZ(Kelly-D)51-47
49)PA(Fetterman-D)50-47
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)49-48
51)GA(Warnock-D)50-49
The 52nd US Senate seat for Democrats will be either OH(Ryan-D) or WI(Barnes-D).
Democrats are going to have 50 seats to remain in the majority with the needed help of Joe and Kyrsten.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CT(Blumenthal-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
To get 52 seats, Democrats need to win GA(Warnock-D) and either OH(Ryan-D) or WI(Barnes-D). If Democrats win OH and WI before the 12/2022 runoff election in GA. GA would not matter to Democrats.
Democrats are going to win GA,WI,and OH.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CT(Blumenthal-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
To the people who question Tim Ryan's electablity in OH. Look at Jon Tester of MT.
Jon Tester is more liberal than Tim Ryan. MT is more Republican than OH. Tester defeated top tier Republican opponents Conrad Montana Burns. Dennis Rehberg, and Matt Rosendale. JD Vance is not a top tier candidate.
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats do have a chance of winning.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)IA(Franken-D)
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