nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalClass of 2024 US Senators.
CA- Xavier Becerra-D is the most experienced. US House Member from 1993-2017, State Attorney General from 2017-2021. and US Cabinet Secretary(Health and Human Sevices Secretary) since 2021.
DE- Lisa Blunt Rochester-D becomes the first black US Senator of DE. Tom Carper-D could retire or be challenged in the Democratic primary.
HI- Tulsi Gabbard-D.
ME- Jared Golden-D
MD- Anthony Brown-D will have an easier time defeating Larry Hogan-R and Michael Steele-R. MD only elects Republican for Gov/Lt. Gov./Atty Gen./Compt.
They only elect Democrat for US Senator.
NJ- Mike Sherrill-D, Bob Menendez-D never faced a top tier Democratic primary challenge in 2018.
US Senate Seats up for re-election in 2024 that are likely to flip.
Republican.
FL(Scott-R), Nikki Fried-D if she does not become Governor, Stephanie Murphy-D, Darren Soto-D, Kathy Castor-D, Ted Deutch-D, or Debbie Wasserman Schultz-D.
TX(Cruz-R), Julian or Joaquin Castro-D, Lizzie Fletcher-D, or Colin Allred-D.
Democrat.
MT(Tester-D), Ryan Zinke-R. or Matt Rosendale-R.
OH(Brown-D), Mike DeWine’s son Pat DeWine-R. Mike DeWine is more popular in 2024 than he was in 2006.
WV(Manchin-D) Alex Mooney-R, JB McCuskey-R, or Pat Morrisey-R.
Barbara Boxer is saying that Diane Feinstein needs to retire.
Here are list of states which the junior US Senator left before the senior US Senator and the states senior US Senator is still in office.
VT(Leahy-D) - Jeffords-I/D left office on 1/2007 and Sanders-I/D will probably leave on 1/2025. Leahy-D will leave after 1/2025 and before 1/2029.
RI(Reed-D)- Lincoln Chaffee-R lost re-election on 11/2006. Could Chaffee have stayed in office if he switched parties. Became a Democrat before 1/2006.
OR(Wyden-D)- Gordon Smith-R lost re-election on 11/2008.
OK(Inhofe-R)- Tom Coburn-R left office during the 2014 elections.
NY(Schumer-D)- Hillary Clinton-D become a cabinet Secretary on 1/2009.
NH(Shaheen-D)- Kelly Ayotte-R lost re-election on 11/2016. Maggie Hassan-D might lose in 2022.
MN(Klobuchar-D)- Al Franken-D left office due to a scandal.
KY(McConnell-R)- Jim Bunning-R left office on 1/2011.
IA(Grassley-R)- Tom Harkin-D left office on 1/2015.
IL(Durbin-D)- Peter Fitzgerald-R left office on 1/2005, Barack Obama-D became POTUS on 1/2009. Mark Kirk-R lost re-election on 11/2016. Any chance Tammy Duckworth-D becomes a cabinet Secretary during Biden’s 2nd term or Harris’s 1st term before the 2026 election.
CO(Bennet-D) Cory Gardner-R lost re-election on 11/2020.
CA(Feinstein-D) Barbara Boxer-D left office on 1/2017. Kamala Harris-D became VPOTUS on 1/2021.
AL(Shelby-R) Jeff Session-R became US Attorney General on 1/2017. Doug Jones-D lost re-election on 11/2020.
OH(Brown-D) Robert Portman-R is going to leave office on 1/2023.
PA(Casey-D) Pat Toomey-R is going to leave office on 1/2023.
The US Senate majority will hinge on NH(Hassan-D vs Sununu-R).
Democrats will win-
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D,Welch-D,Donovan-D, or Gray-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D) defeats Brnovich-R.
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D) defeats Laxalt-R.
49)PA(Fetterman-D) defeats Parnell-R.
50)NH(Hassan-D vs Sununu-R)Tossup/(Hassan-D vs Bolduc-R) Democrat Favored.
51)WI(Barnes-D vs Johnson-R)Tossup.(Barnes-D vs Duffy-R) Democrat Favored.
52)GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R) Election will be decided on 12/2022(General Election Runoff).
Class of 2022 US Senators.
1)Mo Brooks(R-AL)
2)Eric Greitans(R-MO),Eric Schmitt(R-MO).Vicky Hartzler(R-MO) or Billy Long(R-MO).
3)Pat McCrory(R-NC), Ted Budd(R-NC), Mark Walker(R-NC).Cheri Beasley(D-NC) or Jeff Jackson(D-NC)
4)Josh Mandel(R-OH) or Tim Ryan(D-OH).
5)John Fetterman(D-PA) or Conor Lamb(D-PA)
6)Mandela Barnes(D-WI) or Sarah Godlewski(D-WI)
7)Pat Grassley(R-IA)
8)Peter Welch(D-VT), TJ Donovan(D-VT), or Molly Gray(D-VT)
9)Kelly Tshibaka(R-AK)
10)Hershell Walker(R-GA) 12/2022 general election runoff.
11)Val Demmings(D-FL)
12)Chris Sununu(R-NH)
1)open seat AL
2)open seat MO
3)open seat NC
4)open seat OH
5)open seat PA
6)potential open seat or incumbent being defeated. WI
7)potential open seat IA
8)potential open seat VT
9)incumbent could be defeated. AK
10)incumbent could be defeated.GA
11)incumbent could be defeated. FL
12)incumbent could be defeated. NH.
US Senate Election that Democrats are gonna win in 2022 in order to remain in the majority.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D or Donovan-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D
50)NH(Hassan-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D) 12/2022 general election runoff.
2022 IL Congressional Districts
IL-16(Kinzinger-R) gets combined with another district.
IL-14(Underwood-D) gets DeKalb and Will from IL-16.
IL-17(Bustos-D) gets Winnebago and Boone from IL-16
IL-15(Miller-R) gets Iroquois,Ford,Livingston,Grundy, and LaSalle from IL-16.
IL-18(LaHood-R) gets Putnam,Bureau,Lee, and Ogle from IL-16.
US Senate seats that Democrats will win in 2022 in order to retain control of the US Senate.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)VT(Leahy-D or Donovan-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NH(Hassan-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D) 12/2022 general election runoff.
2022 IL US Congressional Redistricting plan
Making IL-14(Underwood-D) a Lean Democratic district.
Making IL-17(Busto-D) and IL-13(Davis-R) a Slight Democratic districts.
Eliminate IL-16(Kinzinger-R).
IL-14(Underwood-D) takes Northeastern Lake County(Waukegan) from IL-10(Schneider-D) and gives IL-10(Schneider-D) Southwestern Lake County.
IL-14(Underwood-D) takes DuPage County from IL-11(Foster-D) and gives IL-11(Foster-D) Will County.
IL-14(Underwood-D) takes DeKalb County and Eastern Boone County from IL-16(Kinzinger-R).
IL-17(Bustos-D) takes Winnebago County and Western Boone County from IL-16(Kinzinger-R).
IL-17(Bustos-D) takes Peoria County from IL-18(LaHood-D).
IL-13(Davis-R) takes McLean County and Sangamon County from IL-18(LaHood-R)
IL-18(LaHood-R) takes Western LaSalle County, Putnam County, Bureau County, Lee County, and Ogle County from IL-16(Kinzinger-R).
IL-15(Miller-R) takes Iroquois County, Ford County, Livingston County, Grundy County and Eastern LaSalle County from IL-16(Kinzinger-R)
IL-1(Rush-D) and IL-2(Kelly-D) take Will County from IL-16(Kinzinger-R).
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 in order to retain control of the US Senate.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D or Donovan-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NH(Hassan-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D) 12/2022 general election runoff.
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