nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalThe likely scenario for Democrats in the 2022 US Senate Election is they will end up with 51 seats.
Democrats are strongly favored to win
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Democrats are slightly favored to win
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
The No Clear Favorite US Senate Races are
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
Strongly favored (greater than 5 percent.)
Slightly favored(1 to 5 percent.)
No Clear Favorite(less than 1 percent)
Biden won HI,MD,CA,NY,OR,VT,CT,IL,WA,CO,and NH by a margin greater than 5 percent. The 2022 Democratic US Senate nominee for these states will perform better than Biden did.
Biden won AZ,PA,GA,and NV by a less than 5 percent margin. The 2022 Democratic US Senate nominee for these states will perform better than Biden did. The 2022 Republican US Senate nominee in AZ,PA,and GA are highly controversial.
WI,NC,OH,and FL are Tossup to Lean Republican states due to the outcome of the 2020 US Presidential Election. There is no clear favorite winner in these states.
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a Safe to Slight margin.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)VT(Welch-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
2022 US Senate Elections in NV or GA will determine which political party will be in the majority.
Democrats are favored to win-
46)CO
47)NH
48)AZ
49)PA
The 50th US Senate seat the Democrats will have is GA. Warnock wins in November or December. In order for Democrats to get 53 seats needed to pass any legislation without Manchin,Sinema,and Feinstein. Democrats will need to win NV,WI,and NC.
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will be likely going to win.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)IL(Duckworth-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)VT(Welch-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54]NC(Beasley-D)
At a minimum Democrats will gain 1 seat in the US Senate in 2022.
Democrats are going to win
37)MD(Van Hollen-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D) 12/2022 runoff.
52)WI(Barnes-D)
The recent 2022 WI US Senate Election poll conducted by ON MESSAGING a Republican internal poll has
Johnson-R up by 4. This means the 2022 WI US Senate Race is a tie.
538's 2022 US Senate Election Prediction in States the Democrats have a chance of winning.
HI(Schatz-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
VT(Welch-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
WA(Murray-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
Clinton 1992 and 1996 states that went Republican at the US Presidential and US Senate level.
1)AR
2)IA
3)KY
4)LA
5)MO
6)TN
7)WV
AR(2010 and 2014)
IA(2014)
KY(1998)
LA(2004 and 2014)
MO(2018)
TN(1994)
WV(2014 and 2024)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a solid to slight margin.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
How come Feingold(WI) lost re-election in 2010 while other vulnerable Democratic US Senators
up for re-election in 2010 like Bennet(CO) and Reid(NV) won re-election?
Bennet and Reid’s 2010 Republican opponent Buck(CO) and Angle(NV) were extremely crazy.
Are WI Independent voters saying Johnson(WI) is not crazy like Buck and Angle?
Johnson is also corrupt. Do the WI Independent voters prefer a Crazy/Corrupt/Conservative over a Liberal 3 term US Senator that is very ethical?
I hope the WI Independent voters don’t make the same mistake in 2022 like they did in 2010 and 2016.
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