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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
March 15, 2022

Republican held US Senate seats the Democrats could win in 2022.

FL(Rubio-R)Demings-D
MO(OPEN Blunt-R)Kunce-D
NC(OPEN Burr-R)Beasley-D
OH(OPEN Portman-R)Ryan-D
PA(OPEN Toomey-R) Fetterman-D
WI(Johnson-R)Barnes-D

March 15, 2022

Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2022 that are vulnerable.

AZ(Kelly-D)
CO(Bennet-D) if the national environment is bad for Democrats.
GA(Warnock-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
NH(Hassan-D) if the national environment is bad for Democrats.

Democratic US Senators won their previous US Senate races by a narrow to high single digit margin.

March 15, 2022

Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2024 that are considered vulnerable.

AZ(Sinema-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
OH(Brown-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
These US Senators won in 2024 by a narrow to high single digit margin.

March 15, 2022

Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2026 that are vulnerable.

GA(Ossoff-D)
MI(Peters-D)
MN(Smith-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
These US Senators won in 2020 by a narrow to high single digit margin.

March 15, 2022

US Senate seats the Democrats need to win to remain in the majority in 2022,2024,and 2026!

2024 will be the year Democrats might lose 1 or 2 seats. WV(Manchin-D),MT(Tester-D), and possibly OH(Brown-D). The Republican nominee in those seats will benifit from the 2024 Republican presidential nominee coattails.
In 2022, Democrats need to hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2022 including AZ(Kelly-D,NV(Cortez Masto-D) and GA(Warnock-D) and pick up PA(Fetterman-D),WI(Barnes-D),and NC(Beasley-D).
In 2024, Democrats will hold onto AZ(Sinema-D),MI(Stabenow-D),MN(Klobuchar-D),NV(Rosen-D),PA(Casey-D), and WI(Baldwin-D).
In 2026, Democrats will pick up ME and NC. Democrats could lose GA

March 15, 2022

What seat is likely to be the Democrats 52nd US Senate seat?

NC(Beasley-D) or WI(Barnes-D)?

March 15, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats win to remain in the majority.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

March 15, 2022

Colorado Democratic US House Members Neguse and Crow are likely candidates for statewide office.

Which one runs for Governor? Polis-D is term limited in 2026.
Which one runs for US Senator in 2026 if Hickenlooper decides not to seek re-election and Polis decides not to run for the US Senate?
Which one runs for the US Senator in 2028 if Bennet decides not to seek re-election?

Neguse or Crow become Governor in 2026.
Polis,Neguse, or Crow become US Senator in 2026 if Hickenlooper decides not to seek re-election.
Polis,Neguse, or Crow become US Senator in 2028 if Bennet decides not to seek re-election.

March 15, 2022

Democratic US Senators running for re-election in 2022 likely retire in 2028.

CO(Bennet-D) Crow-D or Neguse-D
CT(Blumenthal-D) Hayes-D or Himes-D
NY(Schumer-D) S.P. Maloney-D or Delgado-D
OR(Wyden-D) Hoyle-D
WA(Murray-D) DelBene-D, Jayapal-D,Schrier-D, or Strickland-D)

March 15, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are definitely going to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are likely going to win.
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)



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