nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalHow come the political experts are predicting that PA is going Republican?
Democrats have 2 top tier candidates- Fetterman-D and Lamb-D.
Republicans have sacrificial lamb candidates. Oz-R and Bartos-R.
The Democratic nominee for the 2022 PA US Senate Race will benefit from the 2022 PA Democratic Gubernatorial Nominee Shapiro-D coattails.
Democrats will win AZ(Kelly-D),GA(Warnock-D) and NV(Cortez Masto-D).
The 2022 WI US Senate Race is a Tossup.
2024 Republican US Senate challengers to Tester-MT,Brown-OH,and Manchin-WV
1)MT(Tester-D)
US Representatives
Rosendale-R
Zinke-R
Attorney General
Knudsen-R
Auditor
Downing-R
Secretary of State
Jacobsen-R
2)OH(Brown-D)
US Representatives
Davidson-R
Balderson-R
Lt Governor
Husted-R
Secretary of State
LaRose-R
Treasurer
Sprague-R
Auditor
Faber-R
3)WV(Manchin-D)
US Representative
Mooney-R
Attorney General
Morrisey-R
Auditor
McCuskey-R
Democratic Primary opponents to Sinema(D-AZ)
US Representatives
Gallego-D
Stanton-D
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.
Solid D
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
Likely D
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Lean D
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Slight D
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to tilt margin.
Solid D
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
Likely D
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Lean D
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Tilt D
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are likely to win.
Safe D
37)VT(Welch-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
Likely D
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Lean D
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Tilt D
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
US Senate seats the Democrats will have after 2022 is between 47 to 51.
37)VT(Welch-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
Democrats narrowly lose WI and NC.
Democrats lose OH and FL by a high single digit margin.
US Senate seats the Democrats will have after 2022 is between 47 to 52.
37)VT(Welch-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
Likely D
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Lean D
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Tilt D
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to tilt margin.
Solid
37)VT(Welch-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
Likely
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Lean
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Tilt
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
If Giffords had not been shot, would she be serving in the US Senate- occupying Sinema's seat?
Giffords was elected to the US House in 2006 and re-elected in 2008 and 2010. In 2012 AZ junior Republican US Senator Kyl decided not to seek re-election. The Republican nominee for the 2012 AZ US Senate Election was Flake. Would Giffords-D defeat Flake-R in 2012? If Giffords defeated Flake in 2012, She would have won re-election in 2018.
Regarding the McCain seat, Would Gallego-D run in the 2020 Special Election and win?
The minimum and maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will have after 2022.
Minimum- 47
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Maximum 52
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AMNumber of posts: 8,617
