nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalUS Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that Democrats will win to stay in the majority.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)VT(Leahy-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)12/2022 general election runoff.
51)NH(Hassan-D vs Sununu-R)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that Democrats will win to remain in the majority.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)VT(Leahy-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D) in the 12/2022 general election runoff.
51)NH(Hassan-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Dem.held US Sen.seats up for re-election in 22,24,&26 from most to least Democratic.
2022
VT(Leahy-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
HI(Schatz-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
WA(Murray-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
Republican held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 from most to least Democratic.
PA(Fetterman-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
+2D
2024
VT(Sanders-I)
MA(Warren-D)
MD(Cardin-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
CA(Feinstein-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
WA(Cantrell-D)
DE(Carper-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
ME(King-I)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
PA(Casey-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
AZ(Sinema-D)
Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 from red states.
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
2026
MA(Markey-D)
RI(Reed-D)
DE(Coons-D)
IL(Durbin-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
NJ(Booker-D)
CO(Hickenlooper-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
VA(Warner-D)
NH(Shaheen-D)
MN(Smith-D)
MI(Peters-D)
GA(Ossoff-D)
Republican held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2026 from most to least Democratic.
ME(Collins-D)
US Senate seats that will keep Democrats in the majority after 2022 is PA,NH,and GA.
The GA US Senate Race(Warnock-D vs Walker-R) is most likely going to be decided in the 12/2022 general election runoff.
Democrats need to have 50 US Senate seats before the 12/2022 general election runoff in GA.
37)HI(Schatz-D) unopposed
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Leahy-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D) vs Sununu-R
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)12/2022 general election runoff.
Democrats need to have 54 US Senate seats after 2022 to overcome losses in-
AZ(Sinema-D) and WV(Manchin-D) and make sure Democrats remain in the majority after 2024.
In 2024, Democrats are going to hold onto-
1)CA(Feinstein-D or Breed-D)
2)CT(Murphy-D)
3)DE(Carper-D or Blunt Rochester-D)
4)HI(Hirono-D or Gabbard-D)
5)ME(King-I/D or Golden-D)
6)MD(Cardin-D or J. Sarbanes-D)
7)MA(Warren-D)
8)MI(Stabenow-D)
9)MN(Klobuchar-D)
10)NV(Rosen-D)
11)NJ(Menendez-D)
12)NM(Heinrich-D)
13)NY(Gillibrand-D)
14)PA(Casey-D)
15)RI(Whitehouse-D)
16)VT(Sanders-I/D or Donovan-D)
17)VA(Kaine-D)
18)WA(Cantwell-D)
19)WI(Baldwin-D)
Democrats have a 50 percent chance of winning-
AZ(Sinema-D) Democrats need to make a top tier Democrat challenges and defeats Sinema-D in the Democratic Primary. Former Phoenix Mayor and current 9th AZ US Representative Greg Stanton-D.
MT(Tester-D) has narrowly defeated top tier Republican challengers in 2012(Rehberg-R) and 2018(Rosendale-R).
OH(Brown-D) has won re-election in 2012 and 2018 by a 6 percent margin.
WV(Manchin-D) is a lost cause.
Democrats need to have a top tier candidate to challenge and defeat Sinema-D in the Democratic primary- Greg Stanton- former Phoenix mayor and current AZ-9th CD US Representative.
MT(Tester-D) and OH(Brown-D) will get re-elected by a narrow margin.
In 2022 Democrats need to win-
37)VT(Leahy-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Jackson-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
Democrats will end up with 49 to 53 US Senate seats after 2022!
Democrats are favored to win-
37)VT(Leahy-D)unopposed
38)HI(Schatz-D)unopposed
39)CA(Padilla-D) defeats Horton-D or Bradley-R?
40)NY(Schumer-D) defeats Tucker-R
41)MD(Van Hollen-D) defeats Klacik-R
42)CT(Blumenthal-D) defeats Hyde-R
43)OR(Wyden-D) defeats Rae Perkins-R
44)WA(Murray-D) defeats Smiley-R
45)IL(Duckworth-D) defeats Hubbard-R
46)CO(Bennet-D) defeats Bremer-R.
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D) defeats Laxalt-R.
48)AZ(Kelly-D) defeats Brnovich-R.
49)PA(Fetterman-D) defeats Parnell-R.
Tossups
50)GA(Warnock-D) in the 12/2022 general election runoff.
51)NH(Hassan-D) vs Sununu-R
52)WI(Barnes-D) vs Johnson-R.
53)NC(Jackson-D) vs McCrory-R,
US Senate seats the Democrats need to win in 2022 in order to stay in the majority after 2022.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D) in the 12/2022 general election runoff,NH(Hassan-D) vs Sununu-D,or WI(Barnes-D) vs Johnson-D).
Draft Steve King to run for the US Senate from IA in 2022 as an Ind./3rd party candidate!
This might hurt Grassley in the general election!
Too make sure Democrats remain in the majority in the US Senate after 2024, they need to-
In 2024, the Red State Democratic US Senate seats up for re-election are-
WV(Manchin-D)
MT(Tester-D)
OH(Brown-D)
Make sure Democrats are able to win those seats in 2024 or try to get 53 seats after 2022.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NH(Hassan-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Jackson-D or Beasley-D)
In 2024, Will the Democrats be able to hold onto AZ if Sinema loses the Democratic nomination to a low tier Democratic nominee?
Democrats need a top tier nominee to unseat Sinema- Ruben or Kate Gallego, or Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton would be the perfect candidate to unseat Sinema in the primary and win in the general election.
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win to retain control after 2022.
37)CA(Padilla-D) is likely to face a Democrat in the general election like Harris did in 2016 and Feinstein did in 2018.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NH(Hassan-D) Sununu-R does not run. Sununu-R runs but gets defeated in the primary or runs a bad campaign in the general election.
50/51)GA(Warnock-D) is more likely to be forced to compete in the general election runoff like he did in 2020.
50/51/52)WI(Barnes-D) if he wins big in Milwaukee and Madison(Dane County). Does well in
Eau Claire, La Crosse and Rock County.
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