nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's Journal2020 MS US Senate Election- Could Democrats win that election if
McDaniel-R is the sitting incumbent(winner of the 2018 Special election) or the 2020 Republican primary winner(unseats Cindy Hyde Smith-R in the Republican primary). Democratic Nominee is either Hood(if he narrowly loses the 2019 MS Governors Race),Baria-D or Presley.
2018 US House Election- Democrats guide to a majority.
Democratic held US House Seats that are in danger of going Republican
MN-1
MN-8
PA-14
-3D/+3R
Republican held US House Seats that will go Democratic by a margin greater than 5 percent.
AZ-2. -2D/+2R
CA-39. -1D/+1R
CA-49. 0D/0R
FL-27. +1D/-1R
MI-11. +2D/-2R
MN-2. +3D/-3R
NJ-2. +4D/-4R
NJ-11. +5D/-5R
PA-5. +6D/-6R
PA-6. +7D/-7R
PA-7. +8D/-8R
VA-10. +9D/-9R
WA-8. +10D/-10R
Republican held US House Seats that will go Democratic by a margin less than 5 percent.
CA-25. +11D/-11R
CA-48. +12D/-12R
CO-6. +13D/-13R
FL-26. +14D/-14R
IL-12. +15D/-15R
IA-1. +16D/-16R
MN-3. +17D/-17R
NE-2. +18D/-18R
NY-19. +19D/-19R
NY-22. +20D/-20R
PA-1. +21D/-21R
PA-17. +22D/-22R
TX-23. +23D/-23R
Republican held US House Seats that could go either way.
CA-10. +24D/-24R
NJ-7. +25D/-25R
2020 Democratic Presidential Ticket includes a White Southern Governor and a Black US Senator.
Southern Governors.
John Bel Edwards-LA
Roy Cooper-NC
Ralph Northam-VA.
Black US Senators
Kamala Harris-CA
Cory Booker-NJ
Southern states like FL,NC,and VA will be blue states. GA and TX will be purple states.
2020 US Presidential Election- Democrats guide to 270.
Clinton 2016 states (232ev) plus PA,MI,and WI. 278ev
Clinton 2016 states (232ev) plus AZ and FL 272ev
Clinton 2016 states (232ev) plus FL and NC. 276ev.
2018/2020/2022 US Senate Election- Democrats guide to majority in 2018,2020,and 2022.
2018
Holding onto vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seats in FL,IN,MI,MO,MT,ND,OH,PA,WV,and WI.
Picking up vulnerable Republican held US Senate seats in AZ and NV. +2D 51D 49R
2020
The most vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seat is AL. Democrats will hold onto DE,IL,MA,MI,MN,NH,NJ,NM,OR,RI,and VA -1D 50D 50R
Democrats will pick up vulnerable Republican held US Senate seats in AZ(special election),CO,ME-if Collins retires,MT-if Bullock runs,and NC. +2D 52D 48R
2022- If a Democrat is in the White House.
The vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seats are CO,NV,and NH. Democrats have a greater than 50 percent chance to hold onto CO,NV,and NH.
The vulnerable Republican held US Senate seats are AZ,FL,GA-if Isakson retires,IA,MO-if Kander runs,NC,PA,and WI.
If Trump or Pence is in the White House - Democrats could pick up AZ,FL,GA,IA,MO,NC,PA,and WI 60D 40R
2018 MS US Senate Special Election/2019 MS Governors Election/2020 MS US Senate Election.
Chris McDaniel-R narrowly wins the 2018 MS US Senate Special Election.
Jim Hood-D narrowly wins the 2019 MS Governors Election.
What are the Democratic party's chances of winning the 2020 MS US Senate Election if David Baria-D or Brandon Presley-D is the Democratic nominee?
2018 US House Elections-Democrats guide to a majority.
1)AZ-2
2)CA-10
3)CA-25
4)CA-39
5)CA-48
6)CA-49
7)CO-6
8)FL-26
9)FL-27
10)IL-12
11)IA-1
12)MI-11
13)MN-2
14)MN-3
15)NE-2
16)NJ-2
17)NJ-7
18)NJ-11
19)NY-19
20)NY-22
21)PA-1/PA-8
22)PA-5/PA-7
23)PA-6
24)PA-7/PA-15
25)PA-17/PA-12
26)TX-23
27)VA-10
28)WA-8
Democrats will lose PA-14/PA-18(Lamb-D runs in the new PA-17)
2018 US Senate Election- maximum number of seats Democrats will have after 2018.
Democrats will win
AZ(Sinema-D) 24
CA(Feinstein-D) 25
CT(Murphy-D) 26
DE(Carper-D) 27
FL(Nelson-D) 28
HI(Hirono-D) 29
IN(Donnelly-D) 30
ME(King-I/D) 31
MD(Cardin-D) 32
MA(Warren-D) 33
MI(Stabenow-D) 34
MN(Klobuchar-D) 35
MN(Smith-D) 36
MS(Espy-D)37
MO(McCaskill-D) 38
MT(Tester-D) 39
NV(Rosen-D) 40
NJ(Menendez-D) 41
NM(Heinrich-D) 42
NY(Gillibrand-D) 43
ND(Heitkamp-D) 44
OH(Brown-D) 45
PA(Casey-D) 46
RI(Whitehouse-D) 47
TN(Bredesen-D) 48
TX(O'Rourke-D) 49
VT(Sanders-I/D) 50
VA(Kaine-D) 51
WA(Cantwell-D) 52
WV(Manchin-D) 53
WI(Baldwin-D) 54
2018 US Gubernatorial Elections-Democrats guide to a majority.
Democratic Governors after 2018
1)AK(Walker-I/D)
2)AZ(Garcia-D)
3)CA(Newsom-D)
4)CO(Polis-D)
5)CT(Bysiewicz-D)
6)DE(Carney-D)
7)FL(Gillum-D)
8)GA(Abrams-D)
9)HI(Hanabusa-D)
10)IL(Pritzker-D)
11)LA(Bel Edwards-D)
12)ME(Eves-D)
13)MI(Whitmer-D)
14)MN(Walz-D)
15)MT(Bullock-D)
16)NV(Sisolak-D)
17)NH(Marchand-D)
18)NJ(Murphy-D)
19)NM(Lujan Grisham-D)
20)NY(Cuomo-D)
21)NC(Cooper-D)
22)OH(Cordray-D)
23)OR(Brown-D)
24)PA(Wolf-D)
25)RI(Raimondo-D)
26)VA(Northam-D)
27)WA(Inslee-D)
2018 NY-3 US House Election- Due to Suozzi-D making the 2nd Amendment gaffe, I have made a donation
to Suozzi's Democratic Primary challenger Josh Sauberman's campaign.
NY-3 is a swing district and we cannot afford to lose this US House seat due to Suozzi-D suggesting using the 2nd Amendment to confront Trump. NY-3 is better of with a strong progressive like Josh Sauberman.
NY-3 is where I grew up in. My mother lives in NY-3.
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