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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 09:37 AM
Number of posts: 7,793

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4 MD US House Members likely to run for the US Senate in 2024 if OPEN seat are in their 60's.

John Sarbanes) 62 years old in 11/2024.
Jamie Raskin) 61 years old in 11/2024.
David Trone) 69 years old in 11/2024.
Glenn Ivey) 63 years old in 11/2024.

I expect Sarbanes,Raskin,and Ivey to serve 3 to 4 terms in the US Senate.
I expect Trone to serve 2 to 3 terms in the US Senate.

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Jan 26, 2023, 09:13 PM (0 replies)

If Jeff Jackson(NC) decides to run for the US Senate, What year will he run in?

2026 against Tillis-R?
2028 against Budd-R?

Democrats get Ross-D to run in 2026 and Jackson-D to run in 2028.

Josh Stein-D gets elected Governor of NC in 2024.
Deborah Ross-D gets elected to the US Senate in 2026.
Jeff Jackson-D gets elected to the US Senate in 2028.

If Jackson-D runs for the US Senate in 2026 and gets elected, Which Democrat will run for the US Senate in 2028?
Don Davis-D or Wiley Nickel-D?



Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Jan 26, 2023, 03:42 AM (0 replies)

Besides Stabenow(MI), What other Democratic US Senators up in 2024 retires voluntarily?

DE(Carper-D) Blunt Rochester-D
MD(Cardin-D) Raskin-D or Sarbanes-D
RI(Whitehouse-D) Ciciline-D
VT(Sanders-I) Balint-D

Sinema(AZ) and Feinstein(CA) will retire or lose re-election.
Democrats need Tester(MT) and Manchin(WV) to seek re-election in 2024 otherwise the Republicans will win those seats.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Jan 26, 2023, 02:59 AM (1 replies)

Mark Kelly's 2020 and 2022 AZ US Senate Election victories.

In 2020 against Martha McSally, Kelly-D won by a 51.2-48.8 percent margin.
In 2022 against Blake Masters, Kelly-D won by a 51.4-46.5 percent margin.
The Libertarian nominee for the 2022 AZ US Senate Election Marc Victor received 2.1 percent of the popular vote.
Other AZ US Senate Elections where 3rd party nominees made a decent showing.
2018 Green(Angela Green) 2.4 percent. Total 2.4 percent.
2016 Green(Gary Swing)5.5 percent. Total 5.5 percent.
2012 Libertarian(Marc Victor)4.6 percent. Total 4.6 percent.
2010 Libertarian(David Nolan)4.7 percent. Green(Jerry Joslyn)1.4 percent. Total 6.1 percent.
2006 Libertarian(Richard Mack)3.2 percent. Total 3.2 percent
2004 Libertarian(Ernest Hancock)3 percent. Total 3 percent
2000 Independent(William Toel)7.8 percent. Green(Vance Hansen)7.8 percent.Libertarian(Barry Hess)5.1 percent. Total 20.7 percent

Kyrsten Sinema will receive 5 percent of the popular vote.
Ruben Gallego will receive 50 percent of the popular vote.
The Republican will receive 45 percent of the popular vote.



Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Jan 25, 2023, 09:14 PM (1 replies)

I am very anxious to see Kelly,Giffords,and Stanton endorse Gallego in the 2024 AZ US Senate Race.

Kelly,Giffords,and Stanton will increase Gallego’s chances in winning the 2024 AZ US Senate Race by taking away any incentive from Sinema to stay in the race. The moderate Democrats are going to support Gallego.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Tue Jan 24, 2023, 08:23 PM (0 replies)

States that have 2 Democratic US Senators, Which Democratic US Senator is more popular?

AZ(Kelly-D or Gallego-D)?
CA(Padilla-D or Porter-D)?
CO(Bennet-D or Hickenlooper-D)?
CT(Blumenthal-D or Murphy-D)?
DE(Carper-D or Coons-D)?
GA(Ossoff-D or Warnock-D)?
HI(Schatz-D or Hirono-D)?
IL(Durbin-D or Duckworth-D)?
MD(Cardin-D or Van Hollen-D)?
MA(Warren-D or Markey-D)?
MI(Peters-D or Slotkin-D)?
MN(Klobuchar-D or Smith-D)?
NV(Cortez Masto-D or Rosen-D)?
NH(Shaheen-D or Hassan-D)?
NJ(Menendez-D or Booker-D)?
NM(Heinrich-D or Lujan-D)?
NY(Schumer-D or Gillibrand-D)?
OR(Wyden-D or Merkley-D)?
PA(Casey-D or Fetterman-D)?
RI(Reed-D or Whitehouse-D)?
VT(Sanders-D or Welch-D)?
VA(Warner-D or Kaine-D)?
WA(Murray-D or Cantwell-D)?
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Tue Jan 24, 2023, 02:10 AM (1 replies)

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that the Democrats will win.

AZ(Gallego-D)
CA(Porter-D or Schiff-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Carper-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
ME(King-I)
MD(Cardin-D or Raskin-D or Sarbanes-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Gilchrist-D or Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
VT(Sanders-I or Balint-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Tue Jan 24, 2023, 01:46 AM (3 replies)

The moment Ruben Gallego announces his candidacy for the US Senate, will Mark Kelly and his wife

Gabby Giffords endorse and campaign fo Ruben Gallego? Mark Kelly and Gabby Giffords are the most popular Democratic political figures in AZ. The moment Kelly and Giffords support Gallego, Gallego will be the next US Senator from AZ.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Jan 22, 2023, 07:43 PM (5 replies)

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that will get a new Democratic US Senator.

AZ(Gallego-D)
CA(Porter-D)
MD(If Cardin decides not to seek re-election)Raskin-D(If Raskin prefers being a chairperson of the House Oversight and Reform Committee over being a US Senator.)Sarbanes-D.
MI(Slotkin-D)
VT(Balint-D)
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Jan 22, 2023, 07:27 PM (1 replies)

Democratic Nominee in all of the 2024 US Senate Elections.

AZ(Gallego-D)
CA(Porter-D or Schiff-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Carper-D)
FL(Murphy-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
IN(Hogsett-D)
ME(King-I)
MD(Cardin-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
MS(Pinkens-D)
MO(Kunce-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NE regular(Shelton-D)
NE special(
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
ND(Hedger-D)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
TN(
TX(Allred-D or Fletcher-D)
UT(
VT(Sanders-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
WY(


Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Jan 22, 2023, 02:39 AM (0 replies)
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