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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
November 9, 2023

Sherrod Brown(D-OH) won his last two US Senate Races by a 6 percent margin.

Is he going to continue that trend for his 3rd US Senate Race in 2024?
Trump won OH in 2016 and 2020 by an 8 percent margin.

November 9, 2023

What are MD state Senator Sarah Elfreth's chances of winning the Democratic nomination for MD-3?

Sarah Elfreth represents Anne Arundel County while the other Democratic candidates Calvin Ball,Vanessa Atterbeary,Teri Hall, Clarence Lam, and Courtney Watson represents Howard County. Sarah Elfreth has received an endorsement from Anne Arundel County Executive Steuart Pittman.

November 6, 2023

What are the chances of Peltola(D-AK),Beshear(D-KY),and Bel Edwards(D-LA) getting elected to the US Senate?

2024
51)Mucarsel Powell(D-FL)
52)Allred(D-TX)
2026
53)Peltola(D-AK)
54)Bel Edwards(D-LA)
55)Golden(D-ME)
56)Cooper(D-NC)
57)Kelly(D-TX)
2028
58)Beasher(D-KY)
59)Jackson(D-NC)
60)Godlewski(D-WI)

November 5, 2023

Are Jon Tester(MT) and Sherrod Brown(OH) the only Trump state Democratic US Senators going to be left?

Biden state Democratic US Senators.
AZ(Mark Kelly-D and Ruben Gallego-D)
CA(Alex Padilla-D and Adam Schiff-D)
CO(Michael Bennet-D and John Hickenlooper-D)
CT(Richard Blumenthal-D and Chris Murphy-D)
DE(Chris Coons-D and Lisa Blunt Rochester-D)
GA(Raphael Warnock-D and Jon Ossoff-D)
HI(Brian Schatz-D and Mazie Hirono-D)
IL(Richard Durbin-D and Tammy Duckworth-D)
ME(Angus King-I/D)
MD(Chris Van Hollen-D and Angela Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Elizabeth Warren-D and Ed Markey-D)
MI(Gary Peters-D and Elissa Slotkin-D)
MN(Amy Klobuchar-D and Tina Peters-D)
NV(Catherine Cortez Masto-D and Jacky Rosen-D)
NH(Jeanne Shaheen-D and Maggie Hassan-D)
NJ(Cory Booker-D and Andy Kim-D)
NM(Martin Heinrich-D.and Ben Ray Lujan-D)
NY(Chuck Schumer-D and Kirsten Gillibrand-D)
OR(Ron Wyden-D and Jeff Merkley-D)
PA(Bob Casey-D and John Fetterman-D)
RI(Jack Reed-D and Sheldon Whitehouse-D)
VT(Bernie Sanders-I/D and Peter Welch-D)
VA(Mark Warner-D and Tim Kaine-D)
WA(Patty Murray-D and Maria Cantwell-D)
WI(Tammy Baldwin-D).
If Jon Tester(D-MT) and Sherrod Brown(D-OH) survive re-election in 2024, How would they do in 2030 if they decide to run in 2030?
Would.Debbie Mucarsel Powell(D-FL) and Colin Allred(D-TX) be additional Trump state Democratic US Senators in 2024? How would they do in 2030?

November 5, 2023

If Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock switched GA US Senate seats in 2020 and won?

What would the outcome of the 2022 GA US Senate Election between Jon Ossoff-D vs Herschel Walker-R and the 2026 GA US Senate Election between Raphael Warnock-D vs Brian Kemp-R be like?

November 5, 2023

If Mark Kelly ran for the US Senate in 2018 and won and Kyrsten Sinema ran for the US Senate in 2020 and won.


What would the outcome of the 2022 AZ US Senate Election be like?
Ruben Gallego was the Democratic nominee.
Blake Masters was the Republican nominee.
Kyrsten Sinema was the Independent nominee.
November 5, 2023

If Mark Kelly decided to run for the US Senate in 2018 instead of waiting in 2020.

How would he have done in the primary against Sinema and in the general against McSally?
Would Sinema have ran for the US Senate in 2020 if she lost to Kelly in the Democratic Primary and Would Gallego have challenged her in 2020 or 2022?

Kelly has been a celebrity in since 2011 being Gabby Giffords husband and an astronaut.
Gallego would have benefited from Joe Biden’s coattails in 2020 like the GA Democratic US Senators Ossoff and Warnock. Kelly would have won either AZ US Senate seat in 2018 or 2020.

November 4, 2023

The most vulnerable US Senate seats in 2024.

1)WV(Manchin-I?) goes Republican. Justice-R
2)AZ(Sinema-I) goes Democratic. Gallego-D
3)MT(Tester-D)
4)OH(Brown-D)
5)NV(Rosen-D)
6)MI(OPEN Stabenow-D)
7)WI(Baldwin-D)
8)PA(Casey-D)

Democrats will win AZ,NV,MI,WI,and PA.
Republicans will win WV.
MT and OH are currently in the Tossup column.

November 4, 2023

Feingold's WI US Senate Elections in 1992,1998,2004 and 2010 vs Johnson's WI US Senate Elections in 2010,2016, and 2022.

In 1992 Feingold won by a 7 percent margin against Republican Incumbent Kasten.
In 1998 Feingold won by a 3 percent margin against Neumann.
In 2004 Feingold won by a 11 percent margin against Michels.
In 2010 Feingold lost by a 5 percent margin against Johnson.
In 2016 rematch against Johnson, Feingold lost by a 3 percent margin.
In 2022 Johnson won by a 1 percent margin against Barnes.
In 2028 it is going to be a Presidential Election Year and Johnson’s 4th term.
Feingold was denied a 4th term and in a Republican wave election year.
WI US Senators that were not denied a 4th term.
The class 1 seat.
LaFollette
LaFollette Jr.
Proxmire
Kohl
The class 3 seat.
Wiley- 1956. Lost re-election in 1962.
Nelson,Kasten,and Feingold lost re-election.
In the class 1 seat.
LaFollette Sr and McCarthy died in office.
LaFollette Jr lost in 1946 to a 5th term in a Republican primary to McCarthy.
Proxmire and Kohl retired voluntarily.
Proxmire served 6.5 terms.
Kohl served 4 terms.

Johnson is not a progressive Republican like LaFollette sr and jr.







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