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nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
January 30, 2018

2018 US House and US Senate Election- Democrats guide to a majority.

US House
Democrats will regain control of the US House.
US Senate
Holding onto Democratic held seats in Trump won by a double digit margin IN,MO,MT,ND,and WV plus pick up AZ and NV
Democrats can replace AZ Special and TN with IN and MO.

January 28, 2018

Earl Blumenauer(D-OR) is boycotting Trump's State of the Union Address.

Other members of Congress that announced they are boycotting Trump's SOTU are John Lewis(D-GA),Gregory Meeks(D-NY),Maxine Waters(D-CA),and Frederica Wilson(D-FL)- members of the Congressional Black Caucus. and Primala Jayapil(D-WA).
Will we see more white members of Congress like Blumenauer announce they are boycotting Trump's SOTU Address.?

January 28, 2018

2020 Democratic Ticket that energizes and unites the Democratic Party- Kamala Harris/Tim Ryan.

A Non White Female with a White Male with Blue Collar appeal. Harris/Ryan could help Democrats win back MI,PA,and WI.
Tim Ryan-OH should be on the ticket with Kamala Harris,Cory Booker,Julian Castro,or Eric Garcetti.

January 28, 2018

2020 US Senate Election-most vulnerable Democratic held seat-AL and Republican held seat-CO

Jones-D loses to Byrne-R,Roby-R,Rogers-R,Aderholt-R,Brooks-R,and Palmer-R by a high single to low double digit margin.
Gardner-D loses to Hickenlooper-D and Perlmutter-D by a double digit margin. Gardner-D loses to Hancock-D,Kennedy-D,or Markey-D by a high single digit margin. Gardner-R loses to DeGette-D,Johnston-D,or Lynne-D by a narrow margin.

January 28, 2018

2018 US Senate Election-Democrats could end up with 54 seats if the following happens.

Democrats hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2018
Safe - CA,CT,DE,HI,ME,MD,MA,MI,MN regular,MN special,NM,NY,RI,VT,VA,and WA. 39D
Semi Vulnerable - FL,MT,NJ,ND,OH,PA,WV,and WI. 47D
Vulnerable - IN and MO. 49D
Pick up AZ regular,AZ special,NV,TN,and TX. 54D
Democrats could end up with 60 seats after 2020.
Democrats hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2020 except AL-unless the Republicans nominate another controversial candidate. 53D
Democrats pick up AK-if Begich-D or Walker-I/D runs,CO,IA-if Vilsack-D or Loebsack-D runs,ME-if Collins-R loses in the GOP primary,MT-if Bullock-D runs,NC,and TX-if Castro-D runs.

January 27, 2018

Could Democrats win the 2020 TX US Senate Race if Cornyn-R decides to retire?

Julian Castro is on the 2020 Democratic Presidential/Vice Presidential Ticket.
Beto O'Rourke or Joaquin Castro is the Democratic Nominee for the 2020 TX US Senate Race.

January 27, 2018

Hispanic Mayors for the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination. Garcetti-D or Castro-D.

Garcetti-D or Castro-D carries all of the states Clinton carried in 2016 except for ME statewide, MN, and NH. and pick up AZ,FL,and NC. 271ev.

January 27, 2018

2018 US House Election-Democrats guide to a majority.

OPEN Republican held US House Seats in purple and blue districts.
AZ-2 195
CA-39 196
CA-49 197
FL-27 198
MI-11 199
NJ-2 200
PA-7 201
PA-15 202
WA-8 203
Republican incumbents in purple and blue districts.
CA-10 204
CA-21 205
CA-25 206
CA-48 207
CO-6 208
FL-26 209
IL-6 210
IA-1 211
MN-2 212
MN-3 213
NE-2 214
NJ-11 215
NY-19 216
NY-22 217
NY-24 218
TX-7 219
TX-23 220
VA-10 221

January 27, 2018

Is Kennedy the 3rd Democratic response to Trump's SOTU address a preparation for 2020?

Obama's 2004 Keynote address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention helped him prepare for 2008.
If Kennedy the 3rd gives an excellent response to Trump's State of the Union Address, he should be on the 2020 Democratic Ticket as a Presidential candidate or Vice Presidential runningmate.
Kennedy has high name recognition, charisma, and appeal to blue collar white working class voters.
Kennedy selects a Hispanic Mayor of a big city (Julian Castro or Eric Garcetti) as his Vice Presidential runningmate.
A Kennedy Castro or Castro Kennedy ticket would be an outstanding 2020 Democratic Ticket.

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