nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's Journal2018 US House Election- Democrats guide to a majority.
1)AZ-2
2)CA-39
3)CA-49
4)FL-26
5)FL-27
6)MI-11
7)MN-2
8)NJ-2
9)NJ-11
10)PA-5
11)PA-6
12)PA-7
13)VA-10
14)WA-8
15)CA-25
16)CA-48
17)CO-6
18)IL-12
19)IA-1
20)MN-3
21)NE-2
22)NJ-7
23)NY-19
24)NY-22
25)PA-1
26)PA-17
27)TX-23
2018 US House,Senate,and Governors Election- Democrats guide to a majority.
US House
195D 240R
Democrats lose PA-14
Democrats pick up
0)AZ-2 195D 240R
1)CA-10 196D 239R
2)CA-25 197D 238R
3)CA-39 198D 237R
4)CA-48 199D 236R
5)CA-49 200D 235R
6)CO-6 201D 234R
7)FL-26 202D 233R
8)FL-27 203D 232R
9)IL-12 204D 231R
10)IA-1 205D 230R
11)MI-11 206D 229R
12)MN-2 207D 228R
13)MN-3 208D 227R
14)NE-2 209D 226R
15)NJ-2 210D 225R
16)NJ-7 211D 224R
17)NJ-11 212D 223R
18)NY-19 213D 222R
19)NY-22 214D 221R
20)PA-1 215D 220R
21)PA-5 216D 219R
22)PA-6 217D 218R
23)PA-7 218D 217R
24)PA-17 219D 216R
25)TX-23 220D 215R
26)VA-10 221D 214R
27)WA-8 222D 213R
US Senate
49D 51R
Democrats pick up
1)AZ(Sinema-D) 50D 50R
2)NV(Rosen-D) 51D 49R
If Democrats lose IN
3)TN(Bredesen-D)51D 49R
If Democrats lose MO
4)TX(O'Rourke-D) 51D 49R
If Democrats lose ND
5)MS special(Espy-D) 51D 49R or
5)AZ special(Gallego-D or Kelly-D) 51D 49R
Governors
16D 33R 1I
Democrats pick up
1)FL(Graham-D) 17D 32R 1I
2)IL(Pritzker-D) 18D 31R 1I
3)ME(Mills-D) 19D 30R 1I
4)MI(Whitmer-D) 20D 29R 1I
5)NV(Giunchigliani-D) 21D 28R 1I
6)NM(Lujan Grisham-D) 22D 27R 1I
7)OH(Cordray-D) 23D 26R 1I
8)NH(Marchand-D) 24D 25R 1I
9)WI(Evers-D) 25D 24R 1I
2018 AZ-8CD US House Election- Hiral Tipirini-D
If Hiral Tipirini-D wins this Tuesday's special election in ruby red AZ-8, and wins re-election to a full term in November 2018, Could she be a viable candidate for statewide office- US Senate Special Election in 2020?
2018,2020,and 2022 US Senate Election- Democrats path to a supermajority w/Democrat in W.H. in 2021.
2018
Hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2018. 49D 51R
Pick up AZ(Sinema-D) and NV(Rosen-D. +2D 51D 49R
2020
Hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2020 including AL(Republicans will nominate another Moore type candidate). 51D 49R
Pick up AZ special(Gallego-D),CO(Neguse-D),GA(Evans-D),IA(Boulton-D),ME(Gideon-D),and NC(Foxx-D)+6D 57D 43R
2022
Hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2022. 57D 43R
Pick up FL(Murphy-D),PA(Lamb-D),and WI(Pocan-D) 60D 40R
Could the 2018 and 2020 US Senate Election cycle be like the 2006 and 2008 US Senate Election?
During the 2006 and 2008 US Senate Election cycles Democrats picked up
1)AK(Begich-D)2008
2)CO(Udall-D)2008
3)MN(Franken-D)2008
4)MO(McCaskill-D)2006
5)MT(Tester-D)2006
6)NH(Shaheen-D)2008
7)NM(Udall-D)2008
8)NC(Hagan-D)2008
9)OH(Brown-D)2006
10)OR(Merkley-D)2008
11)PA(Casey-D)2006
12)RI(Whitehouse-D)2006
13)VA(Webb-D)2006
14)VA(Warner-D)2008
If 2018 and 2020 US Senate Election cycles are like 2006 and 2008, Democrats will pick up
1)AZ(Sinema-D)2018
2)AZ special(Tipirnini-D)2020
3)CO(Neguse-D)2020
4)GA(Evans-D)2020
5)IA(Finkenauer-D)2020
6)KY(McGrath-D)2020
7)ME(Hannah Pingree-D)2020
8)MS(Baria-D)2020
9)MT(Bullock-D)2020
10)NV(Rosen-D)2018
11)NC(Foxx-D)2020
12)TN(Bredesen-D)2018
13)TX(O'Rourke-D)2018
14)TX(Castro-D)2020
2018,2020,and 2022- US Senate Election- best and worse case scenarios for Democrats.
2018- best
Hold onto every Democratic held seat up in 2018
Pick up AZ,NV,TN,and TX. +4D 53D 47R
2018- worse
Pick up AZ and NV
Lose IN,MO,and ND -1D 48D 52R
2020- best
Hold onto every Democratic held seat up in 2020
Pick up AZ special,CO,GA,IA,ME,NC,and TX +7D 55 to 60D 40 to 45R
2020- worse
Pick up AZ special,CO,and NC
Lose AL +2D 50 to 55D 45 to 50R
2022- best
Hold onto every Democratic held seat up in 2022
Pick up FL,GA,IA,NC,OH,PA,and WI. +7D 57 to 67D 33 to 43R
2022- worse
Pick up FL,NC,PA,and WI. +4D 54 to 64D 36 to 46R
Democrats guide to 60 US Senate Seats in 2020.
2018
Democrats will pick up AZ(Sinema-D),NV(Rosen-D),and TN(Bredesen-D) +3D 52D 48R
Republicans will pick up ND(Cramer-R)+2D 51D 49R
2020
Republicans will pick up AL(Roby-R). -1D
Democrats will pick up
1)AZ special(Kelly-D) 0D
2)CO(Kennedy-D or Polis-D whoever does not win the Democratic Nomination for the 2018 CO Governors Race) +1D
3)GA(Abrams-D or Evans-D whoever does not win the Democratic Nomination for the 2018 GA Governors Race) +2D
4)IA(Boulton-D or Hubbell-D whoever does not win the Democratic Nomination for the 2018 IA Governors Race) +3D
5)KY(Beshear-D or Lundergan Grimes-D whoever does not win the Democratic Nomination for the 2019 KY Governors Race) +4D
6)ME(Chellie or Hannah Pingree-D)+5D
7)MS(Hood-D if he narrowly loses the 2019 MS Governors Race) +6D
8)MT(Bullock-D)+7D
9)NC(Stein-D) +8D
10)WV(Paula Jean Swearengin-D faces Don Blankenship-R who defeats Moore Capito-R in the Republican primary) +9D
2018/2020 MS US Senate Election- David Baria.
David Baria-D is the likely Democratic Nominee for the 2018 MS US Senate Race against Wicker-R. If Baria-D beats expectations and Cindy Hyde Smith-R wins the other 2018 MS US Senate Race against Espy-D and McDaniel-R, Would Baria be a candidate for the US Senate in 2020- assuming McDaniel-R challenges Hyde Smith-R in the primary?
2018 US Senate Election- 51 to 53 Democratic US Senators after 2018.
Democrats will pick up AZ(Sinema-D),NV(Rosen-D),TN(Bredesen-D),and TX(O'Rourke-D) but lose ND(Heitkamp-D) and MO(McCaskill-D) or
pick up AZ(Sinema-D),NV(Rosen-D),TN(Bredesen-D),and TX(O'Rourke-D) and hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2018.
2018,2020,and 2022 US Senate Election- How Democrats regain control 2018/retain control 2020/2022?
2018
Democrats pick up
AZ(OPEN-Flake-R)Sinema-D
NV(Heller-R)Rosen-D
TN(OPEN-Corker-R)Bredesen-D
Democrats could lose
MO(McCaskill-D)
+2 to +3D 51D 49R
2020
Democrats pick up
AZ special(VACANT)Kelly-D
CO(Gardner-R)Perlmutter-D
ME(OPEN-Collins-R)Pingree-D
NC(Tillis-R) Ross-D
Democrats lose
AL(Jones-D)
+3D 54D 46R
2022-Democratic POTUS
Democrats pick up
FL(Rubio-R)Murphy-D
NC(OPEN-Burr-R) Jackson-D
PA(Toomey-R)Lamb-D
WI(OPEN-Johnson-R)Pocan-D
+4D 58D 42R
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