nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's Journal2018 US Senate Election Prediction- Democrats floor/ceiling.
Democrats ceiling
Holding onto every Democratic held seat up in 2018
Picking up AZ(Sinema-D),NV(Rosen-D),TN(Bredesen-D)and TX(O'Rourke-D)+4D 53D 47R
Democrats floor
Picking up AZ(Sinema-D), NV(Rosen-D) and TN(Bredesen-D) +3D 52D 48R
Losing IN(Braun-R),MO(Hawley-R),and ND(Cramer-R)-3D 49D 51R
2018 US Governors Election prediction- If 2018 is a strong Democratic wave
AL(Ivey-R)
AK(Walker-I/D)
AZ(Garcia-D)+1D
AR(Hutchinson-R)
CA(Newsom-D)
CO(Polis-D)
CT(Lamont-D)
FL(Levine-D)+2D
GA(Abrams-D)+3D
HI(Hanabusa-D)
ID(Labrador-R)
IL(Pritzker-D)+4D
IA(Boulton-D)+5D
KS(Kobach-R)
ME(Mills-D)+6D
MD(Hogan-R)
MA(Baker-R)
MI(Whitmer-D)+7D
MN(Walz-D)
NE(Ricketts-R)
NV(Sisolak-D) +8D
NH(Sununu-R)
NM(Lujan Grisham-D) +9D
NY(Cuomo-D)
OH(Cordray-D)+10D
OK(Lamb-R)
OR(Brown-D)
PA(Wolf-D)
RI(Brown-D)
SC(McMaster-R)
SD(Noem-R)
TN(Black-R)
TX(Abbott-R)
VT(Scott-R)
WI(Walker-R)
WY(Gordon-R)
If Indiana Congressman elect Greg Pence wants to help his brother become POTUS,
He should make a motion to impeach President Trump, convince 15 Republican US Senators to vote to convict.
2018 US House Election in NC-9 and WV-3 should be in the Tossup category Likely Republican.
NC-9 Republican incumbent was defeated in the primary yesterday by a Rightwinger. Democrats nominated an Iraq War Veteran/businessman. McCready-D narrowly defeats Harris-R
WV-3 Democratic candidates received more votes than the Republican candidates in yesterday's election.
2018 US Senate Election rating.
AZ(Sinema-D vs McSally-R) Lean Democratic
AZ(Sinema-D vs Ward-R) Likely Democratic
AZ(Sinema-D vs Arpaio-R) Solid Democratic
+1D/-1R 50D 50R
CA(Feinstein-D vs ????) Solid Democratic
CT(Murphy-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
DE(Carper-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
FL(Nelson-D vs Scott-R) Tossup
-1D 49D 50R
HI(Hirono-D vs White-R) Solid Democratic
IN(Donnelly-D vs Braun-R) Tossup
-1D 48D 50R
ME(King-I vs Brakey-R vs Ringelstein-D) Solid Independent/Democratic
MD(Cardin-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
MA(Warren-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
MI(Stabenow-D vs ???R) Solid Democratic
MN(Klobuchar-D vs Newberger-R) Solid Democratic
MN(Smith-D vs Housley-R) Likely Democratic
MS(Wicker-R vs Baria-R) Solid Republican
MS(Hyde Smith-R vs ????) Likely Republican
MO(McCaskill-D vs Hawley-R) Tossup
-1D 47D 50R
MT(Tester-D vs Rosendale-R) Lean Democratic
NE(Fischer-R vs Raybould-D) Likely Republican
NV(Heller-R vs Rosen-D) Lean Democratic
+1D/-1R 48D 49R
NJ(Menendez-D vs Hugin-R) Solid Democratic
NM(Heinrich-D vs Rich-R) Solid Democratic
NY(Gillibrand-D vs Farley-R) Solid Democratic
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R) Tossup
-1D 47D 49R
OH(Brown-D vs Rennacci-R) Lean Democratic
PA(Casey-D vs Barletta-R) Likely Democratic
RI(Whitehouse-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
TN(Blackburn-R vs Bredesen-D) Tossup
-1R 47D 48R
TX(Cruz-R vs O'Rourke-D) Lean Republican
UT(Romney-R vs Wilson-D) Solid Republican
VT(Sanders-I vs ???R vs ???D) Solid Independent/Democratic
VA(Kaine-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
WA(Cantwell-D vs ????R) Solid Democratic
WV(Manchin-D vs Morrisey-R) Tossup
-1D 46D 48R
WI(Baldwin-D vs ???R) Likely Democratic
WY(Barrasso-R vs Trauner-D) Solid Republican
Tossup Races are FL,IN,MO,ND,TN,and WV.
2018 US House Election- What are Democrats chances in winning NC-9,OH-12,and WV-3?
In NC-9
Iraq war veteran Dan McCready-D won the Democratic Nomination, Baptist Minister Mark Harris-R won the Republican nomination over incumbent Robert Pittenger-R.
In OH-12
Danny O'Connor-D won the Democratic Nomination, Troy Balderson-R is narrowly leading Melanie Lenagan-R in the Republican side.
In WV-3
State Senator and Iraq War Veteran Richard Ojeda-D won the Democratic Nomination. State House Majority Whip Carol Miller-R won the Republican nomination.
Democrats hold 193 US House Seats. They hold onto MI-13 and NY-25. 195. They lose PA-14,MN-1,and MN-8. 192.
Democrats pick up
AZ-2 193
CA-10 194
CA-25 195
CA-39 196
CA-48 197
CA-49 198
CO-6 199
FL-26 200
FL-27 201
IL-12 202
IA-1 203
MI-11 204
MN-2 205
MN-3 206
NE-2 207
NJ-2 208
NJ-7 209
NJ-11 210
NY-19 211
NY-22 212
PA-1 213
PA-5 214
PA-6 215
PA-7 216
PA-17 218
TX-23 219
VA-10 220
WA-8 221
2018 NC-9 US House Race- McCready-D vs Harris-R
Pittenger-R is trailing in the vote count.
2018 US Senate Election- Tossup US Senate Races.
Democratic Strongly Favored
CA(Feinstein-D) 24D
CT(Murphy-D) 25D
DE(Carper-D) 26D
HI(Hirono-D) 27D
ME(King-I/D) 28D
MD(Cardin-D) 29D
MA(Warren-D) 30D
MI(Stabenow-D) 31D
MN(Klobuchar-D) 32D
MN(Smith-D) 33D
NJ(Menendez-D) 34D
NM(Heinrich-D) 35D
NY(Gillibrand-D) 36D
PA(Casey-D) 37D
RI(Whitehouse-D) 38D
VT(Sanders-I/D) 39D
VA(Kaine-D) 40D
WA(Cantwell-D) 41D
Republican Strongly Favored
MS(Wicker-R) 43R
MS(Hyde Smith-R) 44R
NE(Fischer-R) 45R
UT(Romney-R) 46R
WY(Barrasso-R) 47R
Democratic Slightly Favored
AZ(Sinema-D) 42D
MT(Tester-D) 43D
NV(Rosen-D) 44D
OH(Brown-D) 45D
TN(Bredesen-D) 46D
WV(Manchin-D)47D
WI(Baldwin-D) 48D
Republican Slightly Favored
TX(Cruz-R) 48R
Tossup
FL(Nelson-D vs Scott-R)
IN(Donnelly-D vs Braun-R)
MO(McCaskill-D vs Hawley-R)
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R)
2018 US House Election- How many US House seats Democrats will have after 2018?
193 minus MN-1,MN-8, PA-14= 190 plus MI-13,NY-25,PA-5,and PA-7= 194
195) AZ-2
196) CA-10
197) CA-25
198) CA-39
199) CA-48
200) CA-49
201) CO-6
202) FL-26
203) FL-27
204) IA-1
205) MI-11
206) MN-2
207) MN-3
208) NE-2
209) NJ-2
210) NJ-7
211) NJ-11
212) NY-19
213) PA-1
214) PA-6
215) PA-17
216) TX-23
217) VA-10
218) WA-8
If McCain leaves the US Senate this month, there will be another 2018 US Senate Election in AZ.
Democrats will definitely regain control of the US Senate in 2018.
Democrats pick up both AZ US Senate seats,NV,and TN. +4D. 53D 47R.
Democrats can afford to lose 2 highly vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seats. ND and IN, ND and MO, or IN and MO.
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