nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalUS House seats the Democrats will gain and lose in 2022.
Democratic Loss
1)AZ-2(OHalleran-D)
2)GA-7(Boudreaux-D or McBath-D)
3)MI-11(Levin-D or Stevens-D)
4)NJ-7(Malinowski-D) If Tom Kean jr. -R runs.
5)NC-11(Manning-D)
6)OH-6(Ryan-D)
7)OH-9(Kaptur-D)
8)VA-2(Luria-D)
9)WI-3(OPEN Kind-D)
Democratic Gain
1)CA-22(Valadao-R)
2)CA-27(Garcia-R)
3)CA-45(Steel-R)
4)CO-8(new)
5)IL-13(new)
6)MI-3(Mejier-R)
7)NM-2(Herrell-R)
8)OR-6(new)
9)TX-35(new)
The new MI-3rd CD is a +3D district but no Democrat has expressed interest yet.
The DCCC, MIDP, Grand Rapids MIDP, and Kent County MIDP need to recruit top tier Democratic politicians like
Grand Rapids Mayor Rosalynn Bliss-D
State Senator Winnie Brinks-D
State Representatives David LaGrand-D and/or Rachel Wood-D
In the new MI-10 CD-
Macomb County Executive Mark Hackel-D
State Senator Peter Wojno-D
State Representatives Kevin Hertel-D,Richard Steenland-D,Nate Shannon-D, Lori Stone-D, and/or William Sowerby-D.
Democrats guide to retaining majority control of the US Senate in 2022 is winning PA,WI,and NC.
There are 3 Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that are in the Tossup column. AZ,GA,and NV.
Democrats are going to win-
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
Does anyone see MI US Representative Levin and Stevens running for the US Senate in 2024/2026?
2024(Stabenow-D decides to retire after 4 terms. Stevens-D runs for that seat.)
2026(Peters-D gets a primary challenge from Levin-D for the seat previously held by Levins uncle.)
Incumbent vs Incumbent US House Races in NY and PA
NY(Katko-R vs Tenney-R) Tenney-R could also run against Delgado-D.
PA- since Lamb-D and Doyle-D are both leaving, The 2 US House Districts in Pittsburgh will be combined into 1.
Who will win the incumbent vs incumbent US House Races in 2022?
GA-7(Boudreaux-D vs McBath-D)Boudreaux-D.
IL-6(Casten-D vs Newman-D)Casten-D
IL-12(Bost-R vs Miller-R)Bost-R
MI-4(Huzienga-R vs Upton-R)Upton-R
MI-11(Levin-D vs Stevens-D)Levin-D
WV-2(McKinley-R vs Mooney-R)McKinley-R
Who will win the 10 battleground US Senate Races in 2022
1)AZ(Kelly-D)
2)CO(Bennet-D)
3)FL(Rubio-R)
4)GA(Warnock-D)
5)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
6)NH(Hassan-D)
7)NC(Budd-R or McCrory-R)
8)OH(Mandel-R)
9)PA(Fetterman-D)
10)WI(Barnes-D)
2022 US House Election in MI-3. Who should the Democrats nominate?
Grand Rapids Mayor Rosalynn Bliss-D.
Mayor of Grand Rapids, largest city based in MI-3.
Bliss-D could make the race against Meijer-R a pure Tossup.
Winnie Brinks-D state Senator from Grand Rapids.
David LaGrand-D state Representative from Grand Rapids.
Rachel Hood-D state Representative from Grand Rapids.
2022 Michigan and Virginia US House Redistricting.
Which Democratic US House member is going to be forced out of office next year?
Michigan-
Haley Stevens-D is not going to defeat Andy Levin-D in the new MI-11. Levin is a household name in MI. This is going to be like the 2002 MI US House Race between John Dingell-D and Lynn Rivers-D.
Virginia-
Elaine Luria-D- new district(VA-2) is a +6R district. Jennifer Wexton-D and Abigail Spanberger-D got Democratic friendly districts. Wexton(+8D) and Spanberger(+2D)
US Senate replacements for
Feinstein-CA,Murray-WA,Wyden-OR,Durbin-IL and Reed-RI.
Feinstein-CA(2024)
Xavier Becerra-D
Fiona Ma-D
Murray-WA(2028)
Suzanne DelBene-D
Pramila Jayapal-D
Marilyn Strickland-D
Wyden-OR(2028)
Shemia Fagan-D
Tobias Reed-D
Durbin-IL(2026)
Julianna Stratton-D
Kwame Raoul-D
Susana Mendoza-D
Reed-RI(2026)
Gina Raimondo-D
Sabina Matos-D
Nellie Gorbea-D
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