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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
May 28, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats have a 50 percent chance or greater of winning in 2022.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

OH(Ryan-D is a stronger candidate than Vance-R)
NC(Beasley-D is a stronger candidate than Budd-R)
WI(Barnes-D is a stronger candidate than Johnson-R)
GA(Warnock-D is a stronger candidate than Walker-R)
PA(Fetterman-D is a stronger candidate than Oz/McCormick-R)
NV(Cortez Masto-D is a stronger candidate than Laxalt-R)

May 28, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 are in the states that Biden won in 2020.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

May 28, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 are in states that Biden carried in 2020.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CA(Padilla-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)






May 27, 2022

Democrats will have a net loss of 2 seats in the US House in 2022.

Democrats lose
1)AZ-2(O’Halleran-D)
2)AZ-6(Kirkpatrick-D)
3)CA-9(McNerney-D)
4)CA-42(Roybal Allard-D or Lowenthal-D)
5)FL-2(Lawson-D)
6)FL-7(Murphy-D)
7)FL-13(Crist-D)
8)GA-7(Boudreaux-D)
9)IL-6(Casten-D or Newman-D)
10)MI-11(Levin-D or Stevens-D)
11)MI-12(Jones-D)
12)NJ-7(Malinowski-D)
13)NY-12(Maloney-D or Nadler-D)
14)NY-19(Delgado-D)
15)OH-13(Ryan-D)
16)PA-7(Wild-D)
17)TN-5(Cooper-D)
18)TX-34(Whoever replaces Vela-D)
19)WI-3(Kind-D)
Democrats gain
1)CA-13
2)CA-22
3)CA-27
4)CA-45
5)CO-8
6)IL-3
7)IL-13
8)MI-3
9)MI-13
10)NM-2
11)NY-18
12)NY-22
13)NC-13
14)NC-14
15)OH-1
16)OR-6
17)TX-35

May 27, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.

37)NY(Schumer-D
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)


I am putting WI,NC,OH,and FL in the Tossup category.

May 27, 2022

Democratic held US House seats that will go Republican.

AZ- O’Halleran
AZ- Kirkpatrick
FL- Murphy
FL- Crist
IA- Axne
ME- Golden
MI- Slotkin
MI- Kildee
NH- Pappas
NJ- Malinowski
NY- Delgado seat in the special election
OH- Kaptur
PA- Wild
PA- Cartwright
TN- Cooper
VA- Luria
WI- Kind

May 26, 2022

Democratic US House members that will lose their seat in the primary.

Incumbent vs Incumbent matchup.
Boudreaux-GA.
Casten or Newman- IL
Levin or Stevens- MI
Nadler or C. Maloney-NY
Jones-NY is facing DeBlasio.
SP Maloney-NY is facing Biaggi.
Schrader-OR
Cuellar-TX
Gonzalez or Whoever replaces Vela-TX

May 26, 2022

Which NY Democratic US House member is going to lose in the primary?

Carolyn Maloney-D or Jerrold Nadler-D?

Both of these Democratic US House Members been is Congress since 1992/1993.
Both of them serve on powerful committees.

Nadler serves on the Judiciary Commitee.
Maloney serves on the Oversight Committee.

May 26, 2022

Can anyone tell me why Schrader(OR) lost his party's nomination by a wider margin than

Cawthorn(NC) lost his party’s nomination?

Schrader(OR) lost by a 41-59.
Cawthorn(NC) lost by a 34-32-34(other)

Cawthorn was an embarrassment to the Republican Party or the Republican Party was an embarrassment before Cawthorn.

What was Schrader’s crime?

Did Schrader have a Manchin/Sinema voting record?


May 26, 2022

Who is Orenthal James supporting in the 2022 GA US Senate Election?

Herschel Walker is every thing Orenthal James is except a double murderer.

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