Democratic US Senate Breakdown after 2022 will be 50D-48R 1Sinema 1Manchin.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA runoff(Warnock-D)




The Tossup/Lean Republican Seats are
NC(Budd-R vs Beasley-D)
OH(Vance-R vs Ryan-D)
FL(Rubio-R vs Demings-D)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by solid to slight margin.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)CA(Padilla-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

Democrats are definitely going to have 51 to 55 US Senate seats after 2022.

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)

Voters in WI,NC,and FL will be electing the 1st black US Senator this year.

WI(Mandela Barnes-D)
NC(Cheri Beasley-D)
FL(Val Demings-D)

Republicans need to win 2 Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022.

Masters(R-AZ),Walker(R-GA) and Laxalt(R-NV) are all weak candidates.
Democrats will hold onto CO(Bennet-D) and NH(Hassan-D).
Democrats will win 1 to 4 Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022.
PA(OPEN Toomey-R), WI(Johnson-R), NC(OPEN Burr-R) and OH(OPEN Portman-R)).

US Senate seats in the states that the Democrats will win in 2022 will be in the Biden 2020 states.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

There are 2 Trump 2020 states the Democrats will win the 2022 US Senate Election in.
OH(Ryan-D) and NC(Beasley-D).

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win are the Biden states.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are more likely going to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

If Tom Harkin(D-IA) ran for re-election in 2014 and 2020, How would he have done?

US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats are more likely going to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CA(Padilla-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Tossup
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)