The Democratic primary race for the 2022 PA US Senate Election is similar to the Democratic Primary race for the 2004 IL US Senate Race.
A charismatic young black progressive state legislator running against two moderate white candidates.
Kenyatta is able to defeat the 2 Republican front runners,(McCormick-R and Oz-R).
|
IL(Durbin-D)Lauren Underwood-D(A young black female outside of Chicago.)
RI(Reed-D)David Cicilline-D
MA(Markey-D)Katherine Clark-D
|
CA(Feinstein-D)Linda Sanchez-D(high name recognition and is more progressive than her sister Loretta.)
DE(Carper-D)Lisa Blunt Rochester-D
MI(Stabenow-D)Andy Levin-D
MD(Cardin-D)John Sarbanes-D
VT(Sanders-I/D)Molly Gray-D
HI(Hirono-D)Tulsi Gabbard-D
ME(King-I/D)Jared Golden-D
|
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman/Lamb/Kenyatta-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
|
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
|
Safe D
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
Likely D
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Lean D
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D/Lamb-D)
Tilt D
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Tossup
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
|
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
|
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
GA(Warnock-D) will be decided in the 1/2023 runoff which is unpredictable.
Democrats will win at least 2 additional seats to make the US Senatr Manchin/Sinema proof.
51/52)WI(Barnes-D)
52/53)NC(Beasley-D)
OH,IA,and MO are too red for Democrats to win in a Republican leaning midterm election.
FL tilts Republican.
|
1)IA(Grassley-R) 48 years in 2028
2)WA(Murray-D) 36 years in 2028
3)OR(Wyden-D) 32 years in 2028
4)NY(Schumer-D) 30 years in 2028
5)ID(Crapo-R) 30 years in 2028
6)AK(Murkowski-R) 26 years in 2028
7)SD(Thune-R) 24 years in 2028
These US Senators are or will be longest serving in their home state.
|