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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
March 21, 2022

Current Longest Serving US Senators from each state.

AL(Shelby-R)
CA(Feinstein-D)
IL(Durbin-D)
IA(Grassley-R)
KY(McConnell-R)
NY(Schumer-D)
OK(Inhofe-R)
OR(Wyden-D)
SD(Thune-R)
VT(Leahy-D)

March 21, 2022

Maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will have after 2022 is 57.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)MO(Kunce-D or Sifton-D)
57)IA(Finkenauer-D)







March 20, 2022

US House seats that the Democrats will gain and lose in 2022.

new districts
1)CO-8
2)IL-3
3)IL-13
4)MI-13
5)NC-14
6)OR-6
7)TX-15
8)TX-35
Republicans in Biden districts.
9)CA-22
10)CA-27
11)CA-45
12)MI-3
13)NM-2
14)NY-1
15)NY-11
16)NY-22
Democrats lose in Incumbent vs Incumbent matchump
1)CA-9(McNerney)
2)CA-42(Roybal Allard)
3)GA-7(McBath)
4)IL-6(Newman)
5)MI-11(Stevens)
6)MI-12(Lawrence)
7)OH-14(Ryan)
8)TX-34(Vela)
Democrats lose in Trump districts.
9)WI-3(Kind)
10)TN-5(Cooper)
11)PA-7(Wild)
12)PA-8(Cartwright)
13)OH-9(Kaptur)
14)ME-2(Golden)
15)AZ-2(O’Halleran)



March 20, 2022

Maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will have after 2022 is 57.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)MO(Lunce-D or Sifton-D) vs Greiteins-R
57)IA(Finkenauer-D)

March 20, 2022

The maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will have after 2022 is 57.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)MO(Kunce-D or Sifton-D) vs Greitens-R.
57)IA(Finkenauer-D)

March 19, 2022

Maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will end up with after 2023 is 54

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)



March 19, 2022

US Senate races in 2022 that the Democrats are definitely going to win.

37)CA(Padilla-D will face another Democrat in 11/2022 like Feinstein did in 2018 and Harris did in 2016.)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Lamb-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D)
53)GA(Warnock-D) will have to face voters in the 1/2023 runoff and will win.

OH,MO,FL,and IA are pretty red for Democrats to win in a midterm election with a Democratic President.

March 19, 2022

The Democratic majority in the US Senate next Congress will be Manchin/Sinema proof.

In 11/2022, Democrats will be declared winners in
37)CA(Padilla-D faces another Democrat in the 11/2022 general election like Feinstein did in 2018 and Harris did in 2016.)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D or Kenyatta-D)
Fetterman-D is the frontrunner in public opinion polls due to high name ID but is doing poorly in endorsements. Lamb is the clear frontrunner in endorsements. Kenyatta also has more endorsements than Fetterman.
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D)
GA(Warnock-D) will be decided in 1/2023. Warnock-D will be declared a winner like he was in 2020/2021.

March 19, 2022

US Senate Races in 2022 that are winnable for the Democrats.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)MO(Kunce-D or Sifton-D) if Greitens-R ends up being the Republican nominee. Greitens is Akin part 2.
Concede FL(Rubio-R has been leading Demings-D in every public opinion poll.).

March 19, 2022

Newly elected Democratic US Senators in 2022,2024,and 2026.

2022
VT(Welch-D)
PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
MO(Kunce-D or Sifton-D)
2024
CA(Porter-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
HI(Gabbard-D)
ME(Jared Golden-D or Troy Jackson-D)
MD(John Sarbanes-D or Jamie Raskins-D)
2026
CO(Jared Polis-D, Jason Crow-D, or Joseph Neguse-D)
IL(Lauren Underwood-D)
IA regular(Cindy Axne-D or Abby Finkenauer-D)
IA special(Cindy Axne-D or Abby Finkenauer-D)
ME(Jared Golden or Troy Jackson-D)
NC(Erica Smith-D or Jeff Jackson-D)
RI(David Ciciline-D)

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