If Rubio loses re-election in 2022 or wins by a narrow margin.
Scott loses in 2024 if he is more unpopular than Rubio.


Democrats need to target FL and TX in 2024.
FL(S. Murphy-D or Soto-D)
TX(Allred-D) Professional Football is very popular in TX.

A Republican poll Trafalgar has him in a dead even race against both of the likely Democratic nominees. Lucas Kunce-D and Scott Sifton-D.
Greiten is leading in the Republican primary race in all but one poll.

Democrats are going to hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D) in the 1/2023 runoff.

Democrats are going to pick up
51)PA(OPEN-Toomey-R) Fetterman-D or Lamb-D
52)WI(Johnson-R) Barnes-D or Lasry-D
53)NC(OPEN Burr-R) Beasley-D
54)OH(OPEN Portman-R) Ryan-D
55)MO(OPEN Blunt-R) Kunce-D or Sifton-D
56)FL(Rubio-R) Demings-D

Democratic Favored
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
Tossup
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D) Tilt D
51)GA(Warnock-D)Tossup
52)WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D) Tilt R

Before 2023
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028

Is he going to leave the US Senate in handcuffs or in a bodybag.
Will IA have 2 US Senate Elections in 2026?

A regular election for Ernst’s seat.
A special election for Grassley’s seat.

Axne runs in the regular election against Ernst.
Finkenauer runs in the special election against Pat Grassley.

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023 runoff.
52)WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
Democrats have 50 percent chance of winning
51)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023 runoff.
52)WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

How would Palin do against Mark Begich?

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
The Republicans will win OH due to Governor DeWine’s coattails and FL due to Governor DeSantis’s coattails.

The Democrats will win NV due to Sisolack’s coattails,PA due to Shapiro’s coattails,
AZ due to Hobbs’s coattails,GA due to Abrams’s coattails, and WI due to Evers’s coattails.
NC could go either way.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)