AZ(Kelly-D)
CO(Bennet-D) if the national environment is bad for Democrats.
GA(Warnock-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
NH(Hassan-D) if the national environment is bad for Democrats.

Democratic US Senators won their previous US Senate races by a narrow to high single digit margin.

AZ(Sinema-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
OH(Brown-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
These US Senators won in 2024 by a narrow to high single digit margin.

GA(Ossoff-D)
MI(Peters-D)
MN(Smith-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
These US Senators won in 2020 by a narrow to high single digit margin.

2024 will be the year Democrats might lose 1 or 2 seats. WV(Manchin-D),MT(Tester-D), and possibly OH(Brown-D). The Republican nominee in those seats will benifit from the 2024 Republican presidential nominee coattails.
In 2022, Democrats need to hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2022 including AZ(Kelly-D,NV(Cortez Masto-D) and GA(Warnock-D) and pick up PA(Fetterman-D),WI(Barnes-D),and NC(Beasley-D).
In 2024, Democrats will hold onto AZ(Sinema-D),MI(Stabenow-D),MN(Klobuchar-D),NV(Rosen-D),PA(Casey-D), and WI(Baldwin-D).
In 2026, Democrats will pick up ME and NC. Democrats could lose GA

NC(Beasley-D) or WI(Barnes-D)?

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

Which one runs for Governor? Polis-D is term limited in 2026.
Which one runs for US Senator in 2026 if Hickenlooper decides not to seek re-election and Polis decides not to run for the US Senate?
Which one runs for the US Senator in 2028 if Bennet decides not to seek re-election?

Neguse or Crow become Governor in 2026.
Polis,Neguse, or Crow become US Senator in 2026 if Hickenlooper decides not to seek re-election.
Polis,Neguse, or Crow become US Senator in 2028 if Bennet decides not to seek re-election.

CO(Bennet-D) Crow-D or Neguse-D
CT(Blumenthal-D) Hayes-D or Himes-D
NY(Schumer-D) S.P. Maloney-D or Delgado-D
OR(Wyden-D) Hoyle-D
WA(Murray-D) DelBene-D, Jayapal-D,Schrier-D, or Strickland-D)

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are likely going to win.
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)

Warren is running for re-election in 2024. She is likely to get a cabinet Secretary position in Biden’s 2nd Presidential Term. MA is going to have Democratic Governor next year due to the fact that Charlie Baker is not seeking re-election.
Markey will be 80 years old when he is up for re-election in 2026.

Both Warren and Markey are in their late 70’s.

Their successors are going to be Lori Trahan-D Jake Achonoliss, Seth Moulton or Ayanna Presley.