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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AM
Number of posts: 7,149

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Antonio Delgado's performance in his 2020 re-election to the US House.

NY-19 went for Biden by a 50 to 48 percent margin and Delgado by a 55 to 43 percent margin.
Delgado carried
Columbia 61-37
Dutchess 54-44
Otsego 55-43
Rensselaer 49-49
Sullivan 52-46
Ulster 63-35
Ulster is the most populated in NY-19

Based on Delgadoís performance in the 2020 US House Election in NY-19CD based in Upstate NY, Delgado is a perfect candidate for statewide elected office in NY.


Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Mar 24, 2022, 08:13 PM (0 replies)

Democratic US House Incumbents from NY that have raised the most money in their US House campaign.

AOC
over 7 million
Delgado
Jefferies
over 3 million
Torres
Jones
SP Maloney
over 2 million
Delgado is the perfect candidate for statewide office in NY.
Black Hispanic Congressman from Upstate NY.
Congressional District has a lot of Republican counties.
Delgado knows how to win in a Republican leaning Swing Congressional District.
Delgado is an excellent fundraiser.
Delgado has won in tough campaigns by a margin greater than 5%.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Mar 24, 2022, 05:35 PM (0 replies)

Democrats will remain in the majority in the US Senate by winning most of the Biden states.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Mar 24, 2022, 02:56 PM (0 replies)

US Reps. Nikema Williams(GA) and Shontel Brown(OH) are members of the Progressive Caucus

and the New Democratic Coalition. Are they left of center? Could they win statewide election in GA and OH?
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Mar 24, 2022, 02:31 PM (0 replies)

Democratic Nominee for the 2028 US Senate Elections in

AZ(Kelly-D loses re-election in 2022)
Greg Stanton-D or Ruben Gallego-D
CO(Bennet-D decides not to seek re-election.)
Joe Neguse-D or Jason Crow-D(Jared Polis is most likely to run in 2026 to succeed Hickenlooper-D.)
CT(Blumenthal-D decides not to seek re-election.)
Jahana Hayes-D.
GA(Warnock-D loses re-election in 2022)
Stacy Abrams-D or Lucy McBath-D or Nikema Williams.
NV(Cortez Masto-D loses re-election in 2022)
Steve Horsford-D
NY(Schumer-D decides not to seek re-election.)
Antonio Delgado-D or AOC.
OR(Wyden-D decides not to seek re-election.)
Shemia Fagan-D(OR SOS completing her 2nd term in 2028.) or Tobias Read-D(current OR Governor or former OR Treasurer.)
WA(Murray-D decides not to seek re-election.)
Pramila Jayapal-D or Kim Schrier-D

If Democrats donít win Republican held US Senate seats in FL,NC,OH,PA,and WI.
FL(Darren Soto-D).
NC(Clay Aiken-D)
OH(Shontel Brown-D)
PA(Brendan Boyle-D)
WI(Josh Kaul-D)
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Mar 24, 2022, 01:40 PM (2 replies)

Democrats will expand their majority in the US Senate in 2022 by winning all of the Biden states.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D/Lamb-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)





Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Mar 24, 2022, 12:09 AM (0 replies)

Who will be the Democratic Nominee for the 2028 US Senate Elections in WA,OR,and NY?

Murray(WA),Wyden(OR),and Schumer(NY) have been in Congress for at least 30 years. 2028 is the year they retire.
WA- Pramila Jayapal-D.
OR- Shemia Fagan-D or Tobias Read-D
NY- Alexandria Ocasio Cortez-D or Brian Benjamin-D

In 2022, Democratic incumbents in AZ(Kelly)GA(Warnock)and NV(Cortez Masto);lose re-election due to the Anti Biden wave.
AZ- Ruben Gallego-D
GA- Nikema Williams-D
NV- Steven Horsford-D

In 2022, Democratic nominees in NC(Beasley), PA(Fetterman or Lamb) and WI(Barnes) lose due to the Anti Biden wave.
NC- Clay Aiken-D
PA- Brendan Boyle-D
WI- Josh Kaul-D


Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Mar 23, 2022, 09:56 PM (0 replies)

Who would be the Democratic nominee for the 2028 US Senate Elections in

AZ(if Kelly-D loses.) Ruben Gallego-D
FL(if Rubio-R wins.) Darren Soto-D
GA(if Warnock-D loses.) Nikema Williams-D
IA(OPEN seat or Pat Grassley-R is the incumbent.) Cindy Axne-D.
NV(Cortez Masto-D loses.) Steven Horsford-D
NC(Beasley-D loses.) incoming US Representative Jeff Jackson-D or Clay Aiken-D. One is likely to run in 2026 against Tillis-R the other is likely to run in 2028.
OH(Ryan-D loses.) Shontel Brown- or Morgan Harper-D
PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D loses.) Brendan Boyle-D
WI(Johnson-R.) Alex Lasry-D


CT(if Blumenthal retires)Jahana Hayes-D.
NY(if Schumer retires) Brian Benjamin-D the current Lt Governor or AOC.
OR(if Wyden retires)Shemia Fagin-D the current Secretary of State.
WA(if Murray retires)Pramila Jayapal-D.

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Mar 23, 2022, 03:09 PM (3 replies)

Democrats will expand their majority in the US Senate in 2022 by winning all of the Biden states.

The states Biden carried by a margin greater than 1 percent.
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs another D in the general election. 2016(Harris-D vs Sanchez-D) and 2018(Feinstein-D vs DeLeon-D).
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
States Biden carried by a margin less than 20 percent.
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
States Biden carried by a margin less than 15 percent.
46)CO(Bennet-D)
States Biden carried by a margin less than 10 percent.
47)NH(Hassan-D)
States Biden carried by a margin less than 5 percent.
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
States Biden carried by a margin less than 1 percent.
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.

Trump states that Democrats might carry is NC(Beasley-D) and OH(Ryan-D).
Both of the US Senate Races have a unified Democratic field and a divided Republican field .
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Mar 23, 2022, 02:29 PM (0 replies)

Democrats could expand their US Senate majority by winning all the Biden states including PA and WI.

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)


Republicans need to win at least 3 Biden states to regain control of the US Senate.

Democrats could win US Senate Elections in several Trump states like NC(Beasley-D)
The Republican US Senators treatment of US Supreme Court Judicial nominee Ketanji Brown Jackson could help Beasley who was a black female NC Supreme Court Chief Justice.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Tue Mar 22, 2022, 07:45 PM (5 replies)
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