nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalUS Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a landslide to narrow margin.
NY(Schumer-D)37
HI(Schatz-D)38
CA(Padilla-D)39
VT(Welch-D)40
MD(Van Hollen-D)41
CT(Blumenthal-D)42
IL(Duckworth-D)43
OR(Wyden-D)44
WA(Murray-D)45
CO(Bennet-D)46
PA(Fetterman-D)47
NH(Hassan-D)48
AZ(Kelly-D)49
NV(Cortez Masto-D)50
GA(Warnock-D)51
WI(Barnes-D)52
Looking at the recent public opinion polls in the 2022 US Senate Election- Democrats are ahead in
AZ(Kelly-D) is ahead in every poll and is outside the margin of error. high single digit margin.
CA(Padilla-D) will defeat (Meuser-R) by a landslide margin.
CO(Bennet-D) will defeat (O’Dea-R) by a high single/low double digit margin.
CT(Blumenthal-D) will win re-election by a double digit margin.
GA(Warnock-D) will defeat (Walker-R) by a narrow margin.
HI(Schatz-D) will win re-election by a landslide margin.
IL(Duckworth-D) will win re-election by a landslide margin.
MD(Van Hollen-D) will win re-election by a landslide margin.
NV(Cortez Masto-D) will defeat (Laxalt-R) by a narrow margin.
NH(Hassan-D) will defeat (Bolduc-R) by a single digit margin.
NY(Schumer-D) will defeat (Pinion-R) by a landslide margin.
OR(Wyden-D) will defeat (Rae Perkins-R) by a landslide margin.
PA(Fetterman-D) will defeat (Oz-R) by a high single digit margin.
VT(Welch-D) will defeat (Nolan-R) by a landslide margin.
WA(Murray-D) will defeat (Smiley-R) by a high single/low double digit margin.
WI(Barnes-D) will defeat (Johnson-R) by a narrow margin.
We need to keep an eye on OH(Ryan-D vs Vance-R) red state but Ryan-D is a much stronger candidate than Vance-R.
US House seats do the Democrats need to win to stay in the majority.
D vs D incumbent races.
219)GA(Boudreaux-D)
218)IL(Newman-D)
217)MI(Levin-D or Stevens-D)
216)NY(Maloney-D or Nadler-D)
D vs D races with D retiring.
215)CA(McNerney-D)
214)CA(Roybal-Allard-D and Lowenthal-D)
213)MI(Lawrence-D)
D vs R incumbent races.
212)FL-2(Lawson-D vs Dunn-R)
Democrats will pick up.
213)CA-13
214)CA-22
215)CA-27
216)CA-45
217)CO-8
218)IL-3
219)IL-13
220)MI-3
221)MI-13
222)NM-2
223)NY-22
224)NC-14
225)OH-1
226)OR-6
227)TX-15
228)TX-35
Democrats lose.
227)AZ-2
226)AZ-6
225)FL-7
224)FL-13
223)IA-3
222)ME-2
221)OH-13
220)PA-8
219)TN-5
218)WI-3
Democratic incumbents need to win.
VA-2(Luria-D)
PA-7(Wild-D)
PA-8(Cartwright-D)
OH-9(Kaptur-D)
NJ-7(Malinowski-D)
MI-7(Slotkin-D)
MI-8(Kildee-D)
The number of US Senate seats the Democrats will end up with after 2022 is 52.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Democrats will gain 2 seats in the US Senate in 2022.
Democrats will win every Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
Democrats will win 2 Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022.
51)PA(OPEN Toomey-R)Fetterman-D
52)WI(Johnson-R)Barnes-D
Why the Republican won the US House special election in TX-34?
TX-34 has a Democratic incumbent - Vicente Gonzalez.
Vicente Gonzalez-D is favored to defeat Mayra Flores-R.
Which 2022 Democratic US Senate nominee will win by a wider margin?
Murray(WA) or Bennet(CO)?
Ryan(OH) or Beasley(NC)?
Democrats will win
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)IA(Franken-D)
Worse case scenario for Democrats in the 2022 US Senate Elections is a 1 seat gain.
Democrats will hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2022.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Democrats will pick up
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
If things go well
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
Democrats will make FL(Demings-D),IA(Franken-D) and MO(Kunce-D vs Greitens-R) close.
Republican challengers of Red State Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2024?
WV(Manchin-D) Mooney-R
MT(Tester-D) Zinke-R
OH(Brown-D) ????
Sherrod Brown’s performance in 2018 was better than the Republican statewide winners.
Governor DeWine-R 50.4-46.7
Attorney General Yost-R 52.2-47.8
Secretary of State LaRose-R 50.9-46.7
Treasurer Sprague-R 53-47
Auditor Faber-R 49.7- 46.3
Sherrod Brown’s performance in 2018 is 53.4-46.6
Brown more votes statewide that any other winner for statewide office in 2018.
What was Sherrod Brown's best OH statewide election performance?
1986 OH Secretary of State against an unknown Vincent Campanella-R?
2006 OH US Senator against Mike DeWine-R, then a incumbent US Senator who is now Governor?
The only election Sherrod Brown lost was the 1990 OH Secretary of State Election to Bob Taft.
If both Brown and Taft were to face each other again, Brown will defeat Taft.
Profile Information
Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AMNumber of posts: 8,617
