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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
June 7, 2022

2026 US Senate Elections in

CO(Hickenlooper-D)
GA(Ossoff-D)
MI(Peters-D)
MN(Smith-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
Who is likely to be the Republican nominee in those seats?
CO(Boebert-R)
GA(Taylor Greene-R)
MI(McClain-R)
MN(Fischbach-R)
NM(Herrell-R)

June 7, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)


June 5, 2022

Winners in the 2022 US Senate Elections.

30)AL(Britt-R)
31)AK(Murkowski-R)
37)AZ(Kelly-D)
32)AR(Boozman-R)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)CO(Bennet-D)
40)CT(Blumenthal-D)
33)FL(Rubio-R)
41)GA(Warnock-D)
42)HI(Schatz-D)
34)ID(Crapo-R)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
35)IN(Young-R)
36)IA(Grassley-R)
37)KS(Moran-R)
38)KY(Paul-R)
39)LA(Kennedy-R)
44)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)MO(Greitens-R)
45)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
46)NH(Hassan-D)
47)NY(Schumer-D)
41)NC(Budd-R)
42)ND(Hoeven-R)
43)OH(Vance-R)
44)OK(Lankford-R)
45)OK(Mullin-R)
48)OR(Wyden-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
46)SC(Scott-R)
47)SD(Thune-R)
48)UT(Lee-R)
50)VT(Welch-D)
51)WA(Murray-D)
52/49)WI(Johnson-R or Barnes-D)

June 5, 2022

Which Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 is likely to flip?

GA - if there is a low turnout runoff election taking place in 1/2023.
Democrats will hold onto
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
Pick up
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)

June 2, 2022

The maximum number of US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.

37)HI(Schatz-D) 1
38)NY(Schumer-D) 2
39)CA(Padilla-D) 3
40)MD(Van Hollen-D) 4
41)VT(Welch-D) 5
42)CT(Blumenthal-D) 6
43)OR(Wyden-D) 7
44)IL(Duckworth-D) 8
45)WA(Murray-D) 9
46)CO(Bennet-D) 10
47)NH(Hassan-D) 11
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D) 12
49)AZ(Kelly-D) 13
50)PA(Fetterman-D) 14
51)GA(Warnock-D) 15
52)WI(Barnes-D) 16
53)NC(Beasley-D) 17
54)OH(Ryan-D) 18
55)FL(Demings-D) 19




June 2, 2022

Democrats ending up with 50 US Senate seats in 2023 is trading

GA or NV for PA.
Democrats will hold onto AZ,CA,CO,CT,HI,IL,MD,NH,NY,OR,VT, and WA. 48
Democrats will pick up PA. 49
The 50th seat for Democrats will be WI(Barnes-D)
The 51st seat for Democrats will be NC(Beasley-D)
The 52nd seat for Democrats will be OH(Ryan-D)
Democrats will end up holding onto GA and NV. 54.
What are the chances of Democrats winning FL and/or MO?
What are the chances of Grassley(IA) getting defeated?

June 2, 2022

If the Clinton/Kaine ticket won in 2016, who would have McAullife appointed in 2017?

LG Ralph Northam
AG Mark Herring
US Rep Bobby Scott
US Rep Don McEachin
US Rep Don Breyer
US Rep Gerry Connelly

McAullife was governor in 2016/2017.

Luria,Spanberger,and Wexton were elected to the US House in 2018.

Northam and/or Herring were the frontrunners.
One would get appointed to the US Senate, the other one would be the front runner for the 2017 VA Governors’ Election. Another option would be McAullife appointing himself.

June 1, 2022

In the 2022 OH US Senate Race, Ryan-D is trailing Vance-R by 3 points. 39-42.

Ryan-D has a 40-23 percent favorable/unfavorable rating
Vance-R had a 35-38 percent favorable/unfavorable rating
Democrats will end up with 54 seats.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

June 1, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will definitely win in 2022 in order to remain in the majority.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Tell Manchin and Sinema to get lost.
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

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