2022 US Senate Election Prediction- Democrats will gain between 1 to 4 seats,

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Holden-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
Tossup
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.

Democratic held US Senate seats likely to stay Democratic.
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.
Democrats will pick up
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

I am predicting that FL stays Republican because Rubio-R is not unpopular unlike DeSantis-R.

2022 US Senate Elections in the states the Democrats are favored to win.

37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.



Tossup
WI(Barnes-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are favored to win.

37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R general election opponent.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023 runoff


All of the seats have sacrificial lamb Republican nominee.
Walker-GA,Laxalt-NV,Oz/McCormick-PA,and Brnovich/Lamb-AZ.

WI(Barnes-D),NC(Beasley-D),and OH(Ryan-D) are in the Tossup category.

2022 US Senate Elections in the states the Democrats are performing well in.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

If Pat Grassley gets appointed to his grandfather's US Senate seat,

How will Pat Grassley do in the primary and the general?

If Feinstein-CA is forced to leave office before 2024, who does Governor Newsom appoint?

Can Democrats win the 2022 US Senate Election in PA and OH but not WI,NC,and FL?

In WI,NC, and FL, The Republican nominee has the incumbency advantage.
In PA and OH, The Democratic nominee has the incumbency advantage.
PA- Fetterman-D vs the sacrificial lamb R
OH- Ryan-D vs the sacrificial lamb R
Democrats will hold onto AZ,NV, and GA due to the self destruction of the Republican nominee.

Incumbent US Senators running for re-election in 2022 likely to lose re-election.

WI(Johnson-R loses Barnes-D)
Democratic US Senators that are highly vulnerable
AZ(Kelly-D vs Brnovich-R)
GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R)
NV(Cortez Masto-D vs Laxalt-R)
I expect the Democratic incumbent US Senator from at least one of these states to win.
There is also lot of open Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 likely to go Democratic.
PA(Toomey-R/Fetterman-D)
NC(Burr-R/Beasley-D)
OH(Portman-R/Ryan-D)
The Republican nominee in PA,NC,and OH are pretty weak.
PA- McCormick-R and Oz-R
NC- Budd-R and McCrory-R
OH- Mandel-R, Gibbons-R, Dolan-R,Tinken-R and Vance-R. I expect the Republican nominee in these states to self destruct.

They are the 2022 version of Sharon Angle/Ken Buck.
In 2010- Democrats survived in CO and NV due to the weakness of the Republican nominee.

Democrats guide to 60 seats is

48)AZ
49)PA
50)NV
51)GA
52)WI
53)NC
54)OH
55)FL
56)MO(Greitens needs to be the Republican nominee.)
57)IA(Mike Franken needs to be the Democratic nominee.)
58)
59)
60)