nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalWho is likely to be the next Democratic US Senator from TX?
Scott Kelly-D(Mark Kelly’s Twin)
Julian or Joaquin Castro-D
Lizzie Fletcher-D)
Colin Allred-D)
When will it happen?
2024 or 2026?
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a Sacrificial Lamb D or R
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.
Which US Senate seat is going to keep Democrats in the majority?
NV or GA(1/2023 runoff)?
Democrats are going to win-
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a Sacrificial Lamb D or R.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R.
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
WI(Barnes-D),NC(Beasley-D) and OH(Ryan-D) are in the Tossup category.
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023
2022 US House Election Prediction-
Democrats lose/Republicans gain.
1)WI-3
2)VA-2
3)TN-5
4)PA-7
5)PA-8
6)PA-17
7)OH-9
8)OH-13
9)NJ-7
10)NH-1
11)MI-7
12)MI-8
13)ME-2
14)KS-3
15)IA-3
16)FL-13
17)AZ-2
18)AZ-6
Democrats lose
19)CA-9
20)CA-42
21)GA-7
22)IL-6
23)MI-11
24)MI-12
25)TX-34
Democrats gain/Republicans lose
24)OH-1
23)NY-1
22)NY-11
21)NY-22
20)NM-2
19)MI-3
18)FL-26
17)FL-27
16)CA-22
15)CA-27
14)CA-45
Democrats gain
13)CA-13
12)IL-3
11)IL-13
10)MI-13
9)NC-14
8)OR-6
7)TX-15
6)TX-35
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that will keep Democrats in the majority. GA is the 51st.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023.
Could Democrats retain majority control of the US Senate without GA?
The answer is yes.
Democrats are favored to win-
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumethal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
People are overestimating how many US Senate seats the Democrats will lose in 2022.
The maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will lose in 2022 is 3 not 4.
AZ,GA,and NV. Democrats will hold onto CO,NH,and WA.
Democrats will pick up PA.
The worst case scenario for Democrats is a 2 seat loss. Democrats will remain in the majority by winning AZ and/or NV and GA in the 1/2023 runoff.
Democrats will definitely remain in the majority in the US Senate in 2023.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetter-man-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AMNumber of posts: 8,617
