nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalWho is likely to be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Senate Election in AZ,MI,MT,NV,and WI?
AZ
Lake?
Masters?
MI
Snyder?
Rogers?
Craig?
MT
Sheehy?
Rosendale?
NV
Brown?
Marchant?
WI
Clarke?
Hovde?
How strong of a primary and general election candidate in OH is
Yost-R?
Dolan-R?
LaRose,Moreno,and Jordan are damaged goods.
Democrats will win AZ,MI,MT,NV,OH,PA,and WI.
Republican nominee for the 2024 US Senate Elections in AZ,MI,MT,NV,OH,PA,and WI.
AZ- Kari Lake-R
MI- Mike Rogers-R
MT- Tim Sheehy-R
NV- Sam Brown-R
OH- Frank LaRose-R
PA- David McCormick-R
WI- David Clarke-R
Democrats will win AZ,MI,MT,NV,OH,PA,and WI.
Poor quality of the 2024 Republican US Senate candidates in battleground states is why Democrats
will win.
AZ(Gallego-D)Kari Lake-R
MI(Slotkin-D)Mike Rogers-R
MT(Tester-D)Tim Sheehy-R
NV(Rosen-D)Sam Brown-R
OH(Brown-D)Frank LaRose-R
PA(Casey-D)David McCormick-R
WI(Baldwin-D) Eric Hovde-R
In 2018, Brown(D-OH) won by a 6.82 percent margin,Tester(D-MT) won by a 3.55 percent margin.
Cruz(R-TX) won by a 2.56 percent margin, and Scott(R-FL) won by a .12 percent margin.
US Senate seats that will help Democrats increase their majority in the US Senate.
2024.
FL(Debbie Mucarsel Powell-D)
TX(Collin Allred-D)
2026
AK(Mary Peltoka-D)
IA(Rob Sand-D)
ME(Jared Golden-D)
NC(Jeff Jackson or Wiley Nickel-D)
TX(Lizzie Fletcher-D)
2028
NC(Jeff Jackson or Wiley Nickel-D)
OH(Greg Landsman-D)
WI(Sarah Godlewski-D,Josh Kaul-D,or Sara Rodriguez-D)
In the south, Democrats won both US Senate seats in VA(2006 and 2008),GA(2021-regular and special),
NC will be the next Southern state to elect a Democrat to both US Senate seats(2026 and 2028)
The most vulnerable Democratic and Republican held US Senate seats in 2026 and 2028.
2026 Democratic held seat is GA(Ossoff-D) if Kemp-R is the Republican nominee.
2026 Republican held seat is ME(Collins-R) if Collins-R retires and Golden-D is the Democratic nominee or NC(Tillis-R) Jackson-D and/or Nickel-D are the best Democratic candidates.
2028 Democratic held seat is ??? GA(Warnock-D) does Kemp-R make another run for the US Senate? NV(Cortez Masto-D) Lombardo-R is more likely to run in 2030 if he wins re-election to a 2nd term for Governor. AZ(Kelly-D) and PA(Fetterman-D) are not going to face top tier Republican challengers.
2028 Republican held seat is WI(Johnson-R) Rodriguez-D,Godlewski-D,and/or Kaul-D are the Democratic frontrunners if they run.
2024 Democratic held seat is WV(Manchin-D).
2024 Republican held seat is FL(Scott-R) or TX(Cruz-R).
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2024 by a solid to slight margin.
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2024 by a solid to slight margin.
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2024 by a solid to slight margin.
CA(Schiff-D vs Porter-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
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