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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
November 24, 2023

former Democratic US House Members that lost in the member vs member election that is likely to make a comeback?

Al Lawson(FL)
Carolyn Bourdeau GA)
Marie Newman(IL)
Andy Levin(MI)
Carolyn Maloney(NY)

November 24, 2023

Between Alsobrooks-D and Trone-D, Which one defeats the Republican nominee by a wider margin?

Whose margin of victory is going to be greater than Van Hollen’s margin of victory in 2022? 11.7 percent margin.

November 24, 2023

Senior US Senators that will outlast their Junior Counterparts.

TX-Cornyn-R/if Cruz-R loses to Allred-D?
SD-Thune-R
ME-Collins-R/if she runs for and wins re-election in 2026. 2024 is King’s last re-election bid due to his age.
LA-Cassidy-R
ID-Crapo-R
HI-Schatz-D
GA-Ossoff-D if he avoids or survives a challenge from Kemp-R.
FL-Rubio-R/if Scott-R loses to Mucarsel Powell-D?
CO-Bennet-D
CA-Padilla-D



November 22, 2023

If Jon Cardin were to seek the Democratic nomination for his uncle's US Senate seat, Who does he hurt the most?

Cardin received 30 percent of the popular vote in the 2014 Democratic primary race for MD Attorney General. Cardin,Alsobrooks,and Trone will each get 30 percent of the popular vote. The minor candidates will get a total of 10 percent of the popular vote.

Alsobrooks- 35 percent of the popular vote.
Trone- 30 percent of the popular vote.
Cardin- 25 percent of the popular vote.
Other- 10 percent of the popular vote.

November 20, 2023

What are Jennifer McClellan's chances of succeeding US Senator Mark Warner if he decides to retire in 2026?

Elaine Luria lost re-election to her VA US House seat in 2022.
Abigail Spanberger is likely to get elected Governor of VA in 2025.
Jennifer Wexton is retiring from politics due to an illness.
Bobby Scott,Don Beyer,and Gerry Connelly will be over 75 years old in 2026.
The next US Representative from VA-7 and VA-10 will run for re-election in 2026.

Mark Herring lost re-election to the VA Attorney General’s office in 2021.
Ralph Northam has a problem with the African American community due to the yearbook controversy.
Justin Fairfax faced rape allegations during his 2021 VA Governors Race.


The Republican nominee will be Glenn Youngkin.

November 19, 2023

Split outcome in 2024 US Presidential and US Senate Races.

MT(Trump-R/Tester-D)
OH(Trump-R/Brown-D)
AZ(Trump-R/Gallego-D)???
WI(Trump-R/Baldwin-D)???

November 19, 2023

US Senators up for re-election in 2024 that have yet to formally announce their re-election plans.

AZ(Sinema-I) is going to lose in the November General Election if she runs again.
NJ(Menendez-D) is going to lose in the Democratic Primary if he runs again.
VT(Sanders-I) favored to win re-election. Democratic hold.
WY(Barrasso-R) favored to win re-election Republican hold.


AZ(Gallego-D)will be the next US Senator from AZ.
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D) will be the next US Senator from CA.
DE(Blunt Rochester-D) will be the next US Senator from DE.
IN(Banks-R) will be the next US Senator from IN.
MD(Alsobrooks-D or Trone-D) will be the next US Senator from MD.
MI(Slotkin-D) will be the next US Senator from MI.
NJ(Kim-D or Murphy-D) will be the next US Senator from NJ
UT(Wilson-R) will be the next US Senator from UT.
WV(Justice-R) will be the next US Senator from WV.



November 19, 2023

2024 US Senate Election- Trump Republican/Trump Democratic/Biden Republican/Biden Democratic.

Trump Republican
FL(Scott-R)
IN(Banks-R)
MS(Wicker-R)
MO(Hawley-R)
NE-regular(Fischer-R)
NE-special(Ricketts-R)
ND(Cramer-R)
TN(Blackburn-R)
TX(Cruz-R)
UT(????)
WV(Justice-R)
WY(Barrasso-R)

Trump Democratic
MT(Tester-D)
OH(Brown-D)

Biden Republican -None

Biden Democratic
AZ(Gallego-D)
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
ME(King-I)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Kim-D or Murphy-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
PA(Casey-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)



November 18, 2023

After the 2024 Elections, This is how many Trump state Democratic US Senators there will be!

1)Kelly-AZ
2)Gallego-AZ
3)Ossoff-GA
4)Warnock-GA
5)Peters-MI
6)Slotkin-MI
7)Tester-MT
8)Cortez Masto-NV
9)Rosen-NV
10)Brown-OH
11)Casey-PA
12)Fetterman-PA
13)Baldwin-WI

Biden wins NV,MI,PA,and WI.
Trump wins AZ,GA,OH,and MT.

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