Two reports from Asia here....

I noticed a weird series of events in my state's CV infection data today.

On the DU Kentucky board, DUer Elleng posted that there was a recent disturbing increase in CV infections reported by our governor today for the whole state.

I went to this data site to see if I could localize the source: https://infection2020.com/#

(to the left, click on "KY" to get a county drop-down, then click on the "curve" symbol to see the county's case curve)

But by looking at the individual graph of reported infections for several counties, I'm seeing sudden upticks in cases, all beginning on or near the 16th or 17th and all having a quick jump in rate on that day and continuing until today. For example, I see it in Jefferson, Kenton, Daviess, Warren, and Boone counties and numerous others.

This makes me wonder if this could be the result of Easter church services and family gatherings on the 10th (Good Friday) and 12th (Easter Sunday).

It just seems odd that the same sudden increase in infection rate occurred in several diverse areas of the state with almost identical curves starting on the 16th or 17th.

Any other ideas for a possible cause?

KY...............


4/21/20 edit: added this screen shot of the graph for one county to demonstrate this change in slope of the curve. Almost identical change noted in several counties although I have no way to determine where these new cases come from (a normal change, a change in state or federal testing locations or change in test reporting methods, etc.).

Also note that I do not observe this change in very many counties in adjacent states as I would have expected if it were Easter related.

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