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Polybius
Polybius's Journal
Polybius's Journal
November 5, 2018
Will there be any major upsets on Tuesday?
By "major upset," I mean if a candidate wins that is down by 8-10 points or more. So for example, Beto O'Rourke winning wouldn't be a major upset, since he is down 4-6 points in most polls. Heitkamp beating Cramer would be though, as would Hugin beating Menendez.
I don't think we'll get any gubernatorial or Senate major upsets. I do think we'll win a lot of elections where we're 5 points behind. Beto takes it. I'm a little less confidant in Bredesen winning in TN, but I think it will be a close all-nighter. Certainly possible.
November 4, 2018
Exactly 10 years ago today, Barack Obama was elected President
November 4, 2008. Time sure does fly! In honor of this, let's replicate the feeling of celebration this Tuesday! 
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Gender: MaleHome country: United States
Member since: Thu Sep 28, 2017, 10:03 PM
Number of posts: 15,390
