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Polybius's Journal
Polybius's Journal
March 1, 2020

Alabama Senate polls

This is a couple of weeks ago, but it's the first I'm hearing of it. The real bad news is that this poll came before Jones voted to convict Trump, yikes! Anyway, here's a snip:

All three of them would beat Mr. Jones, according to the poll.

The poll found Mr. Sessions beating Mr. Jones 54%-41%, while Mr. Tuberville led him 50%-42% and Mr. Byrne by 51%-42%.

Overall, Mr. Jones came out underwater, with 47% of those polled viewing him unfavorably and just 31% favorably.

The poll was conducted while the Senate was mulling its vote in President Trump’s impeachment trial. Mr. Trump remains popular in Alabama, and Mr. Jones‘ Feb. 5 vote to remove him was regarded by some Alabama prognosticators as a death sentence to his reelection prospects.


February 26, 2020

Regardless of who you support, who's winning this debate?

I think Warren and Bloomberg are doing extremely well. Steyer and Amy are doing ok. Pete is just being a smart-aleck and very sarcastic. Biden and Sanders are seem a bit angry, particularly Biden. Opinions?

February 26, 2020

Biden is super-angry tonight

Even yelled at the moderator about not yielding his time. This whole debate is way too divisive tonight.

February 25, 2020

Trump's controversial "public charge" rule takes effect, reshaping legal immigration

Source: CBS News

Washington — The Trump administration on Monday began enforcing stringent income-based requirements for green cards and certain visas, instituting the most ambitious unilateral effort in recent history to change the nation's legal immigration system.

After multiple legal barriers blocking the implementation of the new requirements were cleared by the conservative-leaning Supreme Court, most green card applicants in the U.S. and abroad will now be subjected to a redefined "public charge" test. Under the rules by the Departments of State and Homeland Security, immigration officials have more power to deny applications from petitioners they deem are, or could become, an economic burden on the country.

The sweeping policy change, one of the administration's top immigration priorities, is expected to block the entry of hundreds of thousands of people, disproportionately affecting prospective immigrants from Asia, Africa and Latin America, according to experts.

Since it unveiled the final regulation last summer, the administration has portrayed it as a way to promote "self-sufficiency" among immigrant communities. " (The rule) enforces longstanding law requiring aliens to be self-sufficient, reaffirming the American ideals of hard work, perseverance and determination," said Ken Cuccinelli, the acting deputy secretary of the Department of Homeland Security.

Read more: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-public-charge-rule-immigration-green-card-public-assistance/

February 22, 2020

Supreme Court allow public charge rule to take effect across country

Source: The Hill

The U.S. Supreme Court ruled in favor of the Trump administration in a case that contested the president’s “public charge” rule, which critics have called a “wealth test” for legal immigrants.

The policy in question, the Immigration and Nationality Act, makes immigrants who are “likely at any time to become a public charge” ineligible for greencards. The policy virtually bars legal immigrants in the process of obtaining permanent legal status or citizenship from using public assistance, including Medicaid, housing vouchers and food stamps.

The case heard by the Court, Wolf v. Cook County, sought to reject the policy’s effect in Illinois. The district court filed a preliminary injunction, which temporarily stalled the policy in the state and sent the case to the Supreme Court. On Friday, the five conservative justices ruled in favor of the stay, while the liberal justices opposed it.

The Supreme Court had previously voted 5-4 in January to lift a nationwide injunction imposed by a federal judge in New York while the case plays out in appeals court. Last week Solicitor General Noel Francisco sent a request asking the court to do the same for an injunction imposed by an Illinois district court.

Read more: https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/484196-supreme-court-allow-public-charge-rule-to-take-effect-across-country

Another 5-4 decision, ugh...
February 18, 2020

Breaking: Bloomberg qualifies for next Democratic debate

Former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg on Tuesday qualified for his first appearance in a Democratic presidential primary debate.

The billionaire media mogul received 19 percent of support from an NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll, allowing him to join the stage at the Feb. 19 debate in Las Vegas.

Candidates need four national polls showing 10 percent or higher support or 12 percent or more in two single-state polls of Nevada and South Carolina. They have until 11:59 p.m. on Feb. 18 to qualify for the debate, which is being hosted by NBC News, MSNBC and the Nevada Independent.

Candidates can also qualify by winning at least one delegate from the Iowa caucus or the New Hampshire primary. To date, former Vice President Joe Biden, former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and Sens. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., and Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., have all qualified for the stage, according to an unofficial NBC News survey.


February 13, 2020

New Alabama Senate and Presidential polls

Here's the Republican primary Senate polls. Looks like our best hope at winning, Roy Moore, is way behind:

And here's the General Election polls, against Doug Jones:

Alabama Senate - Sessions vs. Jones: Sessions 54, Jones 41 - Sessions +13
Alabama Senate - Tuberville vs. Jones: Tuberville 50, Jones 42 - Tuberville +8
Alabama Senate - Byrne vs. Jones: Byrne 51, Jones 42 - Byrne +9

Not looking good at all.


Now, here's the General Election President's race polls. Not for the faint of heart, although Bloomberg does best:

Alabama: Trump vs. Sanders: Trump 60, Sanders 37 - Trump +23
Alabama: Trump vs. Buttigieg: Trump 58, Buttigieg 37 - Trump +21
Alabama: Trump vs. Bloomberg: Trump 54, Bloomberg 40 - Trump +14
Alabama: Trump vs. Biden: Trump 58, Biden 38 - Trump +20
Alabama: Trump vs. Warren: Trump 62, Warren 35 - Trump +27


February 12, 2020

Bernie Sanders projected to win New Hampshire primary: NBC News

Source: CNBC

Bernie Sanders will win Tuesday’s New Hampshire Democratic primary, NBC News projected, setting him up near the top of a fractured presidential field.

The Vermont senator will edge out former South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete Buttigieg. Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota will come in third, according to NBC.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and former Vice President Joe Biden were vying for fourth place as final results came in. Neither candidate will reach the 15% threshold needed to win pledged delegates, statewide and in both of its congressional districts.

The victory gives Sanders an early boost in the push for the Democratic presidential nomination after he left the Iowa caucuses with the second-most pledged national delegates in the field. The process now enters a series of generally larger, more diverse states, where the Vermont senator has outperformed Buttigieg and Klobuchar in polls.

Read more: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/11/new-hampshire-primary-2020-results-and-updates.html

Congrats to Bernie. Pete and Klobuchar did excellent as well.
February 6, 2020

Let's say John Roberts stays on as Chief Justice another 16 years

Entirely possible, since he’d be 81. Well, if he does last that long on the Court, that will mean that we would have a Right-Wing Chief Justice for 50 freaking years!!! Are we kidding? As it stands now, it’s been 34 years of Rehnquist/Roberts as Chief Justice. Ridiculous!

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