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Polybius

Polybius's Journal
Polybius's Journal
November 10, 2020

North Carolina Senate race

What are the chances we win this? I know it's unlikely, but how unlikely is it? Because if we win, we only need one Georgia Senate seat to get to 50.

November 10, 2020

Manchin shoots down chance that Senate Democrats nix filibuster, expand court

Source: The Hill

Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) on Monday night effectively shot down any chance that Democrats are able to nix the legislative filibuster if they find themselves with control of the Senate next year.

Democrats are currently poised to have 48 seats in January and are fighting to win two seats in Georgia that would give the party control of the Senate because in a 50-50 split Vice President Harris could break a tie, giving the party the majority.

Manchin, during an interview with Fox News, said that if there's a 50-50 tie that he would not vote to nix the legislative filibuster, a decision that would take it off the table for Democrats. In order to nix the legislative filibuster should they have 50 seats, Democrats would need the support of every member of their caucus including Manchin.

"50-50 means there's a tie. But if one senator does not vote on the Democratic side there is no tie. ... When they talk about, whether it be packing the courts or ending the filibuster, I will not vote to do that," Manchin said.

Read more: https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/525236-manchin-shoot-down-chance-that-senate-democrats-nix-filibuster-expand-court

November 9, 2020

Mike Espy is a great person

I donated to him in the Mississippi Senate race, thinking he had an outside chance of winning, or at least coming close. Yet he lost 42-56%. He ran a good campaign and can appeal to everyone. Can anything else be done in that state?

November 6, 2020

Can someone tell me a list of the House members who lost or are losing?

How many guaranteed seats do we have? I have searched and can't find anything. I know many races haven't been called.

As of now there are 30 seats that haven't been called!

November 6, 2020

Are there really 34 House seats that are still undecided?

That seems like a ton. How are we looking?

November 5, 2020

Nightmare scenario: Biden wins AZ and NV and gets to 270, and we have a Faithless Elector

Trump would have to sweep the rest, so it's still rather unlikely. However, if he does, just one Biden Faithless Elector would throw it into State House Delegations, where Republicans hold a majority. I believe the Senate would then pick the Vice President, but correct me if I'm wrong.

If Trump is selected, riots would erupt everywhere. I'm talking full-blown Civil War 2. Think it can't happen? In 2016 Hillary Clinton, lost five of her Electors.

November 5, 2020

What's going on in North Carolina (President and Senate)?

Seriously, both races seem to have not moved in 24 hours. What are our chances?

November 4, 2020

Congress Will Get Its Second QAnon Supporter, As Boebert Wins Colorado House Seat

Source: Forbes

TOPLINE Republican Lauren Boebert won her House race in Colorado, the Associated Press projects, making her the second congressional candidate to win election this year who has openly supported the fringe conspiracy theory QAnon.

Boebert won her race for Colorado’s third congressional district over Democratic challenger and former member of the Colorado House of Representatives Diane Mitsch Bush.

The Colorado Republican has previously said she had hopes that “Q”—the anonymous leader of the fringe movement—”is real”—she has since attempted to distance herself from the conspiracy theory.

Georgia Republican and QAnon supporter Marjorie Taylor Greene also won her House race in Georgia on Tuesday, the Associated Press projected.

Read more: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackbrewster/2020/11/04/congress-will-get-its-second-qanon-supporter-as-boebert-wins-colorado-house-seat/?sh=424d4331568f





Wouldn't surprise me if they form a QAnon Caucus.
November 4, 2020

The Michigan Senate race is a total teeter-totter

Peters moved in front about an hour ago, but James is ahead again, this time by nearly 10,000.

November 4, 2020

So Wyoming has become the Reddest state in the Union?

70.4% for Trump? Seriously, WTF?

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