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Polybius

Polybius's Journal
Polybius's Journal
October 31, 2022

Biden lost temper with Zelenskyy in June phone call when Ukrainian leader asked for more aid

Source: NBC News

It’s become routine since Russia invaded Ukraine: President Joe Biden and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy speak by phone whenever the U.S. announces a new package of military assistance for Kyiv.

But a phone call between the two leaders in June played out differently from previous ones, according to four people familiar with the call. Biden had barely finished telling Zelenskyy he’d just greenlighted another $1 billion in U.S. military assistance for Ukraine when Zelenskyy started listing all the additional help he needed and wasn’t getting. Biden lost his temper, the people familiar with the call said. The American people were being quite generous, and his administration and the U.S. military were working hard to help Ukraine, he said, raising his voice, and Zelenskyy could show a little more gratitude.

Administration officials said Biden and Zelenskyy’s relationship has only improved since the June phone call, after which Zelenskyy made a statement praising the U.S. for its generous assistance. But the clash reflects Biden’s early awareness that both congressional and public support for sending billions of dollars to Ukraine could begin to fade. That moment has arrived just as the president prepares to ask Congress to greenlight even more money for Ukraine.

Biden now faces resistance from some Republicans and Democrats that wasn’t present when Congress approved previous Ukraine funds. The White House has discussed asking Congress for billions of dollars during the lame-duck legislative session after the midterm elections.

Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/biden-lost-temper-zelenskyy-phone-call-ukraine-aid-rcna54592

October 31, 2022

Pittsburgh Post-Gazette endorses Mehmet Oz

I thought they were a liberal newspaper? WTF? If they had trouble with Fetterman, they should have stayed neutral.

Despite deep ideological differences between Mehmet Oz, a right-leaning Republican, and John Fetterman, a left-leaning Democrat, the U.S. Senate campaign in Pennsylvania has mostly skirted the issues. It has been a slugfest, marked by relentless attacks and counter-attacks that generated more heat than light.

Mr. Oz hammered on — and sometimes misrepresented — Mr. Fetterman’s criminal justice policies, even though a U.S. senator has nothing to do with state criminal justice and sentencing policies. Mr. Fetterman, in turn, characterized Mr. Oz’s legitimate calls for Mr. Fetterman to release his medical records as mean-spirited and insensitive. His campaign huffed and puffed over Mr. Oz’s use of “crudites” for raw vegetables on a platter. It was, admittedly, a tone-deaf blunder, but hardly a pivotal matter in the U.S. Senate race.

During Tuesday’s debate, after hundreds of thousands of votes had already been cast, voters finally learned something about where the candidates stood. They learned, among other things, that Mr. Oz opposes federal intervention in abortion rights, and Mr. Fetterman supports the broader Constitutional guarantees provided by the overturned Roe v. Wade decision. They learned Mr. Fetterman supports a federally mandated $15-an-hour minimum wage, and Mr. Oz wants market forces to raise wages. They learned both candidates support fracking. They also learned both men are politicians, as they ducked and dodged questions about why they had changed their minds on fracking.

Neither candidate has experience as a U.S. senator. Given the lack of substance during the campaign, many voters will have to make a leap of faith on Nov. 8.


Read more...
October 29, 2022

Alaska Senate race

Is Lisa Murkowski still a lock to win this race? Can MAGA Kelly Tshibaka get the most votes after ranked-choice? Or will Republicans split the vote so that the Democrat (Pat Chesbro) can get elected? Murkowski voters hate Tshibaka. That's ever more true for Tshibaka voters, so they won't get many second choice votes (like what happened with Palin). Any chance we can win this?

Remember, Palin was expected to win too, and look how that turned out for her!

October 29, 2022

538 Senate forecast

538 has the Senate winning percentage 52-48 in our favor, which they classify as a dead heat. July 27th was the last time it was this low, while July 21st was the last time Republicans were in the lead. Our peak was 71%, from September 13th to 19th. Hovering over each state will tell you that state's candidate's chances of winning.

I personally don't agree with some, such as GA where they give Walker a 53% chance of winning. Others I think they have way too high, such as Lee winning in Utah (95%), and Vance in Ohio (78%).

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo

October 28, 2022

Jerry Lee Lewis, free-wheeling 'wild man' of rock 'n' roll, dies at 87

Source: NBC News

Jerry Lee Lewis, the rock ’n’ roll trailblazer and piano virtuoso who electrified audiences with his raucous, free-wheeling performances but attracted scandal after he married his 13-year-old cousin, died Friday, his publicist said.

He was 87.

Lewis was a consummate showman who gleefully blended the styles of Black rhythm-and-blues musicians, country crooners and ecstatic Pentecostal preachers. He was nicknamed “the Killer,” and his admirers believed he could be the next Elvis Presley.

In performances on stages and television screens, Lewis delighted audiences with flamboyant shenanigans. He stomped on his piano, tapped the keys with his feet and hopped around with devil-may-care verve while belting out popular songs like “Great Balls of Fire.”

“He pounded the piano with such abandon that it’s a wonder it didn’t come apart. He is a defiant, reckless, indefatigable wild man that can rock you into oblivion,” the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame said when he was inducted in 1986.

Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/pop-culture/music/jerry-lee-lewis-free-wheeling-wild-man-rock-n-roll-dies-87-rcna4456

October 28, 2022

Oz ahead of Fetterman, Shapiro leads Mastriano in new PA poll (InsiderAdvantage)

First poll taken after the debate.

U.S. Senate:

John Fetterman (D) – 45%

Mehmet Oz (R) – 48%

Erik Gerhardt (Libertarian) – 3%

Someone else/Undecided/No opinion – 4%


Governor:

Josh Shapiro (D) – 50%

Doug Mastriano (R) – 42%

Matt Hackenburg (Libertarian) – 4%

Someone else/Undecided/No opinion – 4%


Regardless of who you support, who do you believe won the Senate debate?

Mehmet Oz – 54%

John Fetterman – 21%

No opinion – 25%


https://insideradvantage.com/2022/10/27/breaking-oz-ahead-of-fetterman-shapiro-leads-mastriano-in-new-pa-poll/
October 28, 2022

Schumer: Georgia Senate race 'going downhill' but Pennsylvania debate 'didn't hurt us too much'

Source: CNN

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer expressed some concern Thursday over Democratic prospects in Georgia in the final weeks before the midterm elections, but he remained hopeful about Pennsylvania after the their nominee’s recent debate performance.

“The state where we’re going downhill is Georgia. It’s hard to believe that they will go for Herschel Walker,” the Democratic leader said of the Republican Senate nominee, adding later, “But our vote, our early turnout in Georgia is huge, huge.”

Of Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman’s high-stakes debate performance against Republican Mehmet Oz, Schumer said: “It looks like the debate didn’t hurt us too much in Pennsylvania … so that’s good.”

The overheard comments came during a conversation among Schumer, President Joe Biden and New York Gov. Kathy Hochul on the tarmac of Hancock Field Air National Guard Base in Syracuse, New York. Biden gave a speech in the state Thursday as part of his midterm closing message in which he painted Republicans as a threat to Americans’ pocketbooks.

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/27/politics/schumer-georgia-pennsylvania-democrats-senate-midterms/index.html

October 27, 2022

There are a plethora of polls that were released the past two days

Mixed news. I discount the polling companies that are slanted.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

October 27, 2022

Chris Cuomo: It's not unfair to point out Fetterman's speech difficulties

I know many here like Chris Cuomo, so what's your take on this?

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