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Polybius

Polybius's Journal
Polybius's Journal
March 30, 2022

What's the rating for Harvard-Harris polling company?

Because I'm not liking their current polling numbers at all.

March 30, 2022

Federal investigation of Hunter Biden heats up

Source: CNN

Washington (CNN)A Justice Department investigation into Hunter Biden's business activities has gained steam in recent months, with a flurry of witnesses providing testimony to federal investigators and more expected to provide interviews in the coming weeks, according to multiple sources familiar with the matter.

The probe, led by the US Attorney in Wilmington, Delaware, began as early as 2018 and concerns multiple financial and business activities in foreign countries dating to when Biden's father was vice president. Investigators have examined whether Hunter Biden and some of his associates violated money laundering, tax and foreign lobbying laws, as well as firearm and other regulations, multiple sources said.

To do so, law enforcement has gathered information from lobbyists connected to Hunter Biden, from his business partners, and from others who've observed his financial engagements, including a woman with whom he had a child.

Hunter Biden has not been charged with any crimes and has denied any wrongdoing. His father, President Joe Biden is not being investigated as part of the probe of his son's business activities, according to sources who have been briefed.

Read more: https://edition.cnn.com/2022/03/30/politics/hunter-biden-federal-investigation-heats-up/index.html



This is madness. Garland needs to put an end to this right now and focus on the insurrection!
March 29, 2022

Joe Manchin swings at Biden's billionaire tax, saying the superrich can't be taxed on 'things you do

Source: Business Insider

Joe Manchin swings at Biden's billionaire tax, saying the superrich can't be taxed on 'things you don't have'


Sen. Joe Manchin poured cold water on President Joe Biden's new billionaire-tax plan on Monday, dealing a potentially fatal blow to its prospects in Congress.

The wealthiest Americans shouldn't be taxed on "things you don't have," he said, according to Bloomberg. "You might have it on paper. There are other ways for people to pay their fair share, and I think everyone should pay."

The conservative Democrat's reluctance could be the end of the road for the White House's proposal. Democrats are closer to reviving swaths of their climate and healthcare agendas, but those can reach Biden's desk only if all 50 Senate Democrats back them.

The plan would establish a 20% minimum tax rate on households worth $100 million or more and would expand the definition of taxable income to include the accruing value of unsold investments like stocks or bonds, otherwise known as unrealized capital gains. Currently, gains on investments are taxed only when they're sold for cash.

Read more: https://www.businessinsider.com/joe-manchin-biden-billionaire-tax-plan-2022-3

March 26, 2022

Foo Fighters Drummer Taylor Hawkins Dead at 50

Source: Rolling Stone

Taylor Hawkins, the jovial, ferocious drummer for Foo Fighters, has died at the age of 50, according to a statement from the band.

“The Foo Fighters family is devastated by the tragic and untimely loss of our beloved Taylor Hawkins,” read the message, which was posted to social media. “His musical spirit and infectious laughter will live on with all of us forever.” Foo Fighters are currently on tour in South America and were preparing to perform at Festival Estéreo Picnic in Bogotá, Colombia, a rep for the band told Rolling Stone.

Born in Fort Worth, Texas, Hawkins relocated to Southern California with his family in his early childhood. He first rose to prominence as the touring drummer for Alanis Morissette during the Jagged Little Pill era. “The second I heard ‘You Oughta Know,’ I was like, ‘I’m in that band!'” Hawkins told Rolling Stone in November 2021. “I just knew.” Hawkins also appeared in the music videos for the singer’s hit singles “You Oughta Know” and “You Learn.”

After inter-studio conflict led to the departure of Foo Fighters’ original drummer William Goldsmith during recording sessions for the group’s breakthrough album The Colour and the Shape, forcing frontman Dave Grohl to handle drumming duties, Hawkins officially joined the band in the spring of 1997. Throughout his career with Foo Fighters, Hawkins occasionally handled vocal duties, singing lead on the group’s 2005 single “Cold Day in the Sun” and “Sunday Rain” from 2017’s Concrete and Gold.

Read more: https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-news/foo-fighters-drummer-taylor-hawkins-obituary-1327112/



March 25, 2022

Supreme Court temporarily blocks order requiring Navy to deploy unvaccinated forces

Source: CNN

(CNN)The Supreme Court on Friday agreed to temporarily freeze a lower-court opinion requiring the Navy to deploy special operations forces even though they have refused to get vaccinated for Covid-19.

The court's order means that while special operations forces -- including more than two dozen Navy SEALs -- continue to challenge the Navy's vaccine mandate on religious grounds in court, they will not be actively deployed or punished for their position.

Justices Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito and Neil Gorsuch dissented.

Alito, writing for himself and Gorsuch, said that he agreed that the Navy had a "compelling interest" in preventing Covid-19 infection from "impairing its ability to carry out its vital responsibilities" but that it's "summary rejection" of requests for religious exemptions was by "no means the least restrictive means" for furthering its interests. He said the challengers "who have volunteered to undertake demanding and hazardous duties to defend our country" had been treated "shabbily" by the Navy.

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/25/politics/navy-covid-supreme-court-seals/index.html

March 25, 2022

Let's say a Supreme Court Justice resigned today because of health reasons or whatever...

What happens to the cases coming up in April, May, or June? Will their vote be on record, or will any case that's decided after they leave be with only 8 Justices?

March 23, 2022

Can someone please let me know which Senators asked Ketanji Brown Jackson about abortion?

I know Sen. Feinstein did, but it was more about if Roe was precedent and if it's super-precedent like Brown. This subject is super-important to me, thank you.

March 23, 2022

United States Supreme Court reverses decision on Wisconsin legislative maps

Source: WBAY

WASHINGTON, D.C. (WBAY) - The United States Supreme Court has reversed the Wisconsin Supreme Court’s judgment regarding legislative maps backed by Gov. Tony Evers.

The case was remanded for further proceedings.

“On remand, the court is free to take additional evidence if it prefers to reconsider the Governor’s maps rather than choose from among the other submissions. Any new analysis, however, must comply with our equal protection jurisprudence,” reads the majority opinion.

The redistricting maps created an additional majority-Black district in Wisconsin, saying it was necessary to comply with the Voting Rights Act.

Read more: https://www.wbay.com/2022/03/23/united-states-supreme-court-reverses-decision-wisconsin-legislative-maps/



Breaking...
March 19, 2022

Who do you think will be the 2028 nominees for each Party?

We always hear about 2024, but that's boring (and divisive, because Biden is our President and he said that he's running again if he remains healthy). It will almost certainly be Biden and Trump (assuming that he'd not indited and is relatively healthy as well). So let's talk about 2028.

Only one thing is certain about 2028: It won't be Biden or Trump, no matter who wins in 2024, one reason being age. So who will it be? Well, first we must divide the question into two different scenarios. One if we win in 2024, and one if we lose. The 2028 Republican nominee won't make much difference on 2028 regardless if they win or lose in 2024, but ours will.

ON THE DEMOCRATIC SIDE

If we win in 2024 (and I suspect that we will), Harris will be the clear favorite in 2028. While I don't think that there will be any serious challengers, I could be wrong. There could be some. I expect the VP to win. Sitting VP's haven't lost their Party's nomination in over a century.

If we lose in 2024, it's a whole new ballgame. I'd expect a fierce primary. Harris will almost certainly run, but I doubt that she would win the nomination. After a Party loses, the VP usually doesn't get the nomination again. Dan Quale tried this in 2000 and didn't come close, and I suspect the same will happen to Pence if he runs in 2024. Biden did, but as VP his Party won twice. So who will it be? Pete Buttigieg will be 46, but I don't know if he'd be the front-runner. Blinken? Possibly. Gavin Newsom? I like this choice. He'll be 60, still young. AOC? She'll turn 39 in the October before the election, but winning nationally might be a stretch. Beto? If he can pull of an upset in Texas this year and get re-elected in 2026, than oh yeah he's the frontrunner. But that's a very big IF. Now...

ON THE REPUBLICAN SIDE

Tucker Carlson would be my guess. They seem to love snake oil salesmen, and he does have a big following on their side. Can he fire up a crowd as good as Trump? I don't know, but he doesn't seem so. Can he debate himself to a win in the primaries like Trump did? Absolutely (against their people at least). He made Ted Cruz choke, who himself is a good debater. As for Cruz, I guess he'd have a chance, but I expect him to finish 2nd or 3rd more than 1st. Perhaps he'll be their VP choice. Donald Jr.? I doubt it. No charisma, even if Trump wind in 2024 and he's running an coattails. Josh Hawley? Perish the thought. Rubio? He has to win his own Senate Seat first. DeSantis? Probably has the best shot to the nomination out of all of them, but my guess is still Tucker. Remember, they are insane. They picked Trump, and will likely pick him again.

Opinions?

March 14, 2022

Manchin comes out against Biden Fed nominee Raskin, throwing her confirmation into doubt

Source: CNBC

Sen. Joe Manchin, the most conservative Democrat in the Senate, said Monday that he opposes one of President Joe Biden’s nominees to the Federal Reserve, leaving her candidacy to join the central bank with the slimmest of hopes.

“I have carefully reviewed Sarah Bloom Raskin’s qualifications and previous public statements. Her previous public statements have failed to satisfactorily address my concerns about the critical importance of financing an all-of-the-above energy policy to meet our nation’s critical energy needs,” Manchin said in a statement.

“I have come to the conclusion that I am unable to support her nomination to serve as a member of the Federal Reserve Board,” he added. Raskin is a former Fed governor and served as the deputy Treasury secretary in the Obama administration.

Manchin’s formal opposition all but dooms Raskin’s bid to be the Fed’s next vice chair for supervision, one of the most powerful banking regulators in the world. While it’s possible Raskin could garner support from a moderate Republican, a Senate split 50-50 means anything but a unified Democratic party makes the odds of success for any presidential nominee perilous at best.

Read more: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/14/joe-manchin-opposes-sarah-bloom-raskin-federal-reserve-nomination.html

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