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honest.abe

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Member since: Sun Dec 3, 2017, 10:40 AM
Number of posts: 4,815

Journal Archives

New PPP South Carolina -- Biden regains big lead! +15 over Sanders

Joe Biden 36%
Bernie Sanders 21%
Elizabeth Warren 8%
Tom Steyer 7%
Pete Buttigieg 7%
Tulsi Gabbard 6%
Amy Klobuchar 3%
Someone else / Undecided 11%

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/SouthCarolinaResultsFebruary2020.pdf

PPP’s newest poll of Democratic primary voters in South Carolina finds it looking like a two person race, with only Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders reaching double digits in their support. Biden gets 36% to 21% for Sanders, with Elizabeth Warren at 8%, Pete Buttigieg and Tom Steyer at 7%, Tulsi Gabbard at 6%, and Amy Klobuchar at 3% rounding out the field.

Other recent polls have found Steyer’s support in the 15-20% range. If he has indeed collapsed, as our poll seems to suggest, it appears his former supporters are making their way to Biden and helping him to open a bigger lead in the state. The key to Biden’s success continues to be strong support from African Americans- he gets 50% to 21% for Sanders, with no one else polling above 6%.

The South Carolina numbers show the difficulty Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, and even Elizabeth Warren are going to face as the Democratic contest moves to more diverse states. The race is actually pretty close among white voters with Sanders getting 22%, Biden 20%, and Warren and Buttigieg each 15%. But Warren and Buttigieg are each at 2% with black voters, dropping their overall support into single digits. Klobuchar gets just 1% with African Americans.

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/south-carolina-looks-like-a-two-person-race/

Looks like Joe got his mojo back!

Michael Bloomberg gives record $1.8 billion to Johns Hopkins for financial aid

I know this is old news but perhaps some may not have heard about it. To me this is a very big deal and it will help many many students attend one of the best universities in the world and is another example of Bloomberg trying to do the right thing with his wealth.

Philanthropist, business leader, and three-term New York City Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg will commit a record-breaking $1.8 billion to support undergraduate financial aid at Johns Hopkins, the university announced today, the largest-ever single contribution to a U.S. college or university.

"This historic gift reflects Mike Bloomberg's deep belief in the transformative power of higher education and his insistence that it be accessible to all qualified students, regardless of financial means," Johns Hopkins University President Ronald J. Daniels wrote in a message to the university community today. "It also affirms Mike's profound devotion to this university for the role that it played in enriching his life."

Bloomberg, a 1964 Johns Hopkins graduate, announced his historic gift in a New York Times op-ed in which he identified college affordability as a national challenge.

"America is at its best when we reward people based on the quality of their work, not the size of their pocketbook," Bloomberg said. "Denying students entry to a college based on their ability to pay undermines equal opportunity. It perpetuates intergenerational poverty. And it strikes at the heart of the American dream: the idea that every person, from every community, has the chance to rise based on merit."

https://hub.jhu.edu/2018/11/18/michael-bloomberg-record-financial-aid-gift/

Polls show that many Americans don't think they are benefiting from the bustling economy.

From the Hill..

A pair of polls released Monday showed that many Americans don't think they are benefiting from the bustling economy, revealing weak spots for President Trump in public opinion despite strong economic growth.

A Monmouth University Poll found that more than half of Americans don't think they've been substantially helped by the strong macroeconomic trends, with 27 percent saying they haven't benefited much and another 27 percent saying they haven't benefited at all.

Just 12 percent said the strong economy has helped their family a great deal.

https://thehill.com/policy/finance/441202-polls-show-possible-economic-weak-spots-for-trump

This is a very good sign. Even a "good" economy wont help Trump win the election.

Kamala Harris's record and character matter -- not the race of her father and husband

Good article from the Wash Post:

California Democratic Sen. Kamala D. Harris hardly had time to finish basking in the glow of her presidential bid’s five-star rollout before 20,000 adoring Oakland hometown fans, when two black-media-inspired questions hit her in the face: Why did she marry a white man? And: Is she black enough?

<snip>

Last March, the Economist-YouGov poll found that 17 percent of Americans think interracial marriage is “morally wrong.” On a racial basis, a nearly equal percentage of respondents felt the same way: 17 percent of whites said it was morally wrong. So did 18 percent of blacks and 15 percent of Hispanics.

Thus, notions of black inferiority still abide in some whites. So too, hostility toward intermarriage among some blacks who regard crossing the color line to marry a white person as an act of racial betrayal.

White and black separatists miss the point. Individuals, regardless of pigmentation, don’t marry a race. Marriage is a decision by two people — not two racial groups — to form a union. They do it because they want to share their lives — with each other.

“Look, I love my husband, and he happened to be the one that I chose to marry because I love him — that was that moment in time, and that’s it. And he loves me.” No more needs saying.

more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/kamala-harriss-record-and-character-matter--not-the-race-of-her-father-and-husband/2019/02/22/011f62a0-36c0-11e9-854a-7a14d7fec96a_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.41cd3f1a5430


My personal belief is interracial marriage is good for society and their children also benefit from hybrid vigor.

Heterosis, hybrid vigor, or outbreeding enhancement, is the improved or increased function of any biological quality in a hybrid offspring. An offspring is heterotic if its traits are enhanced as a result of mixing the genetic contributions of its parents.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heterosis

Clearly Kamala is evidence of that!

Kamala Harris is off to the fastest start among Democrats

From The Hill:

Kamala Harris is off to the fastest start among Democrats who have already entered the 2020 presidential race, say party strategists and donors closely following the contest’s early stages.

<snip>

Neither Biden nor Sanders has entered the race, and the polls showing them at the top of the contest likely reflects their widespread name recognition. Biden served eight years as vice president to Barack Obama after a long career in the Senate, while Sanders ran a tough campaign against Hillary Clinton in 2016 for the party’s presidential nomination.

Harris, in contrast, has not been on the national stage nearly as long. She was elected to the Senate in 2016 in a campaign that first brought her to national attention.

Democrats attribute her strong standing to a relatively seamless launch last month.

They say Harris largely beat her competitors to the punch in announcing a full-blown presidential campaign and capitalizing on the momentum which followed.

“There’s always been this motto, 'You have one day to launch and you have to get it right,' and Kamala crushed it,” said Robert Wolf, the prominent Democratic donor. “It’s the day that you have all the media buzz, the grass roots excitement and to tell your story. That is the one day all eyes are on you and she hit out of the ballpark.”


More: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/430298-harris-off-to-best-start-among-dems-in-race-say-strategists-donors

I know its early but I have already made up my mind. Harris is the one. She has what it takes to get the vote out and will know exactly what to do to counter Trump's aggressive insulting style of campaigning and debating. Also, it appears her campaign is very well organized and well run. That's a huge plus.

Also a good VP choice would be either Beto or Julian Castro. Either of those would likely result in a huge victory.

My Senate map prediction -- looks like it comes down to TX or TN for the win.



Trump Tower today in NYC



How about the possibility Kavanaugh withdraws and refuses to come out for the hearing?

I think I would if I were him. This final part of the hearing is going to make him look ridiculous.

Lyft Announces Half-Price (And Free!) Rides To The Polls For Midterms

Lyft will offer free and discounted rides to the polls on Election Day, the company announced Thursday.

Voters nationwide can score a half-off coupon code for Nov. 6 through voter registration groups including Vote.org, Nonprofit Vote and TurboVote.

Nonpartisan nonprofit groups Voto Latino, Urban League and the National Federation for the Blind also plan to help voters catch free Lyft rides to the polls in communities where they provide services.

″[W]e want to help people across America exercise their right to vote,” Lyft said in a blog post.


https://www.yahoo.com/news/lyft-announces-half-price-free-201257021.html

===================

Love it! I am now a Lyft fan!

NY Times Mag: "George Soros Bet Big on Liberal Democracy. Now He Fears He Is Losing."

An excellent although somewhat depressing article about Soros' career.. his achievements, failures, controversies and about how much of the world has treated him unfairly.

Its a long detailed article. Here are a couple of paragraphs:

Yet the political realm is where Soros has made his most audacious wager. After the fall of the Berlin Wall, in 1989, he poured hundreds of millions of dollars into the former Soviet-bloc countries to promote civil society and liberal democracy. It was a one-man Marshall Plan for Eastern Europe, a private initiative without historical precedent. It was also a gamble that a part of the world that had mostly known tyranny would embrace ideas like government accountability and ethnic tolerance. In London in the 1950s, Soros was a student of the expatriated Austrian philosopher Karl Popper, who championed the notion of an “open society,” in which individual liberty, pluralism and free inquiry prevailed. Popper’s concept became Soros’s cause.

It is an embattled cause these days. Under Vladimir Putin, Russia has reverted to autocracy, and Poland and Hungary are moving in the same direction. With the rise of Donald Trump in the United States, where Soros is a major donor to Democratic candidates and progressive groups, and the growing strength of right-wing populist parties in Western Europe, Soros’s vision of liberal democracy is under threat in its longtime strongholds. Nationalism and tribalism are resurgent, barriers are being raised and borders reinforced and Soros is confronting the possibility that the goal to which he has devoted most of his wealth and the last chapter of his life will end in failure. Not only that: He also finds himself in the unsettling position of being the designated villain of this anti-globalization backlash, his Judaism and career in finance rendering him a made-to-order phantasm for reactionaries worldwide. “I’m standing for principles whether I win or lose,” Soros told me this spring. But, he went on, “unfortunately, I’m losing too much in too many places right now.”


https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/17/magazine/george-soros-democrat-open-society.html
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